Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$192,583

Trades

15,086

Unique wallets

1,787

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-15

First seen

2026-02-15

last 02-15 21:22

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +20,000 (anon) +13,703 (anon) +5,500 (anon) +4,910 Right-Strawman +3,000 (anon) +2,479 (anon) +2,440 Prize-Edge +2,000

NO holders

(anon) +14,632 (anon) +9,112 (anon) +6,100 (anon) +5,611 (anon) +5,104 (anon) +5,034 (anon) +4,999 (anon) +4,721

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -10.8¢ (top1%: 11% YES on $111.8K vs crowd: 22% YES on $167.3K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	103	$12.8K	$101.4K	$88.5K
🐬 Dolphin	311	$9.4K	$13.1K	$3.6K
🐟 Fish	629	$9.2K	$14.1K	$4.9K
🦐 Shrimp	744	$4.7K	$2.7K	+$2.0K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	132	$12.0K	$99.7K	$87.7K
🏆 Top 5%	160	$3.0K	$3.6K	$667
✅ Top 10%	98	$750	$2.1K	$1.4K
Median	180	$950	$740	+$210
Below median	625	$4.0K	$2.9K	+$1.1K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	258	$3.7K	$4.3K	$606
🔻 Bottom 5%	243	$6.6K	$6.9K	$228
💀 Bottom 1%	91	$5.1K	$10.9K	$5.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x6911…947c	Up	+20,000	$200	$200	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+14,632	$14,618	$14,618	17	02-15 21:22
(anonymous) 0x9be8…98ad	Up	+13,703	$111	$187	41	02-15 21:22
(anonymous) 0xd507…982e	Down	+9,112	$9,021	$9,021	19	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xf27b…5680	Down	+6,100	$6,039	$6,039	68	02-15 21:21
(anonymous) 0x1d77…468a	Down	+5,611	$5,555	$5,555	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x2de6…498c	Up	+5,500	$55	$55	11	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x46e6…4587	Down	+5,104	$5,053	$5,053	9	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x69f9…6ea7	Down	+5,034	$4,884	$4,884	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xb8ea…5281	Down	+4,999	$4,949	$4,949	46	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xaed4…4881	Up	+4,910	$5	$5	1	02-15 21:21
(anonymous) 0xf015…a1e2	Down	+4,721	$4,674	$4,674	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xf33e…87bd	Down	+4,704	$4,657	$4,657	41	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x28c0…faa1	Down	+4,456	$1,887	$1,887	68	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0xbfe2…65a4	Down	+3,928	$3,862	$3,862	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xe0a5…c0ba	Down	+3,535	$3,500	$3,500	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xd05e…369e	Down	+3,411	$3,377	$3,377	17	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x1fcd…d059	Down	+3,292	$3,259	$3,259	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x7416…fef6	Down	+3,240	$1,780	$1,780	48	02-15 21:15
(anonymous) 0xaaa4…5ef2	Down	+3,147	$3,116	$3,116	4	02-15 21:20
Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c	Up	+3,000	$1,215	$1,215	1	02-15 21:20
Crooked-Tabernacle 0x45bc…978b	Down	+2,969	$2,039	$2,039	57	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Down	+2,743	$1,262	$1,262	107	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+2,479	$1,047	$1,047	85	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x254e…517e	Up	+2,440	$860	$860	2	02-15 21:16
(anonymous) 0xca6a…3bd1	Down	+2,105	$2,000	$2,000	1	02-15 21:20
Prize-Edge 0x2583…4250	Up	+2,000	$20	$20	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,819	$994	$1,205	262	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x9169…bf95	Up	+1,711	$17	$17	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+1,672	$678	$678	65	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+1,656	$667	$853	259	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+1,576	$937	$937	139	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+1,551	$909	$909	93	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x5924…5af6	Down	+1,544	$1,088	$1,088	11	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+1,462	$559	$559	161	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+1,422	$852	$852	76	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Down	+1,418	$814	$814	149	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0xc7fe…b391	Up	+1,269	$500	$500	1	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0xb1ae…df3b	Down	+1,261	$734	$734	1	02-15 21:18
(anonymous) 0x0188…a94c	Down	+1,230	$1,218	$1,218	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x24f9…dd17	Up	+1,223	$448	$448	19	02-15 21:16
(anonymous) 0x5924…5af6	Up	+1,218	$548	$548	87	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Up	+1,201	$565	$565	142	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x1c66…516a	Up	+1,200	$12	$12	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x953b…b914	Up	+1,126	$2	$2	2	02-15 21:21
(anonymous) 0x97e6…0691	Up	+1,095	$69	$69	7	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0xc120…55ca	Up	+1,088	$441	$441	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x37c9…7e6d	Up	+1,076	$388	$651	27	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+1,060	$737	$737	77	02-15 21:18
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+1,031	$696	$696	51	02-15 21:16
Rundown-Brilliant 0xaf8b…15f1	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x9e7e…c359	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	02-15 21:20
French-Iridescence 0x066e…ceb2	Down	+1,000	$570	$570	32	02-15 21:17
Leading-Leprosy 0x66e8…0838	Up	+957	$220	$220	2	02-15 21:20
Inferior-Facelift 0x5374…042e	Up	+936	$253	$361	111	02-15 21:20
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+914	$414	$414	59	02-15 21:19
(anonymous) 0x70ec…bb5d	Up	+911	$352	$2,084	260	02-15 21:20
Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff	Up	+900	$232	$232	14	02-15 21:20
International-Challenge 0x27b0…fc67	Up	+793	$250	$250	1	02-15 21:16
(anonymous) 0xef5a…df22	Up	+741	$16	$28	36	02-15 21:20