Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?
open
Total volume
$444
$12,192 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$130,832
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 05:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $364 | $364 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $1 | $73 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | — | $334 | $334 |
| Median | 7 | — | $73 | $73 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +868 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 17:07 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +301 | $301 | $301 | 12 | 05-07 21:02 |
| Vengeful-Approach 0x686d…f866 | Yes | +175 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 15:52 |
| Rough-Outlaw 0x56f0…327f | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-08 05:18 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-07 18:46 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 13:24 |
| Willing-Team 0xc460…a63c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Detailed-Outrigger 0xe160…fb2a | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 05:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 05:49:49 | Detailed-Outrigger 0xe160…fb2a | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x46fdb2… |
| 05-08 17:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 868 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x2b7f7d… |
| 05-08 15:52:22 | Vengeful-Approach 0x686d…f866 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x68b182… |
| 05-08 13:24:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf0dfb6… |
| 05-08 05:23:27 | Willing-Team 0xc460…a63c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbf6f0a… |
| 05-08 05:18:57 | Rough-Outlaw 0x56f0…327f | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xd90071… |
| 05-08 04:38:06 | Tight-Blast 0x128d…9340 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbeb84f… |
| 05-08 04:33:26 | Tight-Blast 0x128d…9340 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8569ef… |
| 05-08 01:27:31 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa42c39… |
| 05-07 21:02:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4f0cd9… |
| 05-07 21:02:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xd121e0… |
| 05-07 20:51:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x84bce4… |
| 05-07 20:51:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x7a61a3… |
| 05-07 19:36:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb37b17… |
| 05-07 19:36:07 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x7f9b40… |
| 05-07 19:26:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f0832… |
| 05-07 19:26:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x872016… |
| 05-07 19:26:05 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7fe8c… |
| 05-07 19:26:05 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1092e1… |
| 05-07 19:26:05 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc22e7… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0378b6… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac07f4… |
| 05-07 19:26:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42d8e7… |
| 05-07 18:46:23 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xd4d6b5… |
| 05-07 18:41:26 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x011a5d… |
| 05-07 15:56:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x912444… |
| 05-07 15:42:12 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e2fe3… |
| 05-07 15:42:09 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72501a… |
| 05-07 15:31:42 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef774… |
| 05-07 09:16:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f3e90… |
| 05-07 08:57:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5ec5e7… |
| 05-07 08:34:53 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb61e8f… |
| 05-07 08:34:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9f2888… |
| 05-07 08:34:41 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e49f3… |
| 05-07 08:34:41 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62a41d… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40127b… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d9534… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b2678… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e038a… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d63b1… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f3f45… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e94d7… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77b2cd… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x430996… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10758… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe0644f… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf07fca… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4de8c9… |
| 05-07 08:34:21 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5429ad… |
| 05-07 08:25:03 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x178cf9… |
| 05-07 08:23:23 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x105595… |
| 05-07 08:23:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x6a574b… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb54055… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20020e… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29df7f… |
| 05-07 05:08:16 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fb6fa… |