Realized P&L (30d)
-$123.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$135
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved (30d)
16
Trades (30d)
4
29,860 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$36
$4.18M lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$14.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-12 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
65% 18% +$9,888
Sports
34% 16% -$252,868
Tech
1% 67% +$561
Politics
0% 50% -$159
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +9,827 $9,312 90¢ $8.8K -$473 09-20 09:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2,351 $1,268 100¢ $2.3K +$1,075 07-16 12:25
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +38,595 $523 2¢ $656 +$133 07-16 19:30
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,822 $1,194 10¢ $585 -$609 07-16 22:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,314 $466 19¢ $449 -$17 07-16 09:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,323 $291 18¢ $238 -$53 07-16 00:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +543 $220 40¢ $215 -$5 07-16 09:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +422 $131 42¢ $179 +$47 07-15 03:48
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +135 $126 95¢ $128 +$2 07-13 20:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +482 $107 17¢ $81 -$26 07-17 01:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +528 $63 13¢ $67 +$4 07-16 03:34
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +65 $56 100¢ $65 +$8 07-15 00:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +149 $30 40¢ $60 +$30 07-17 04:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +207 $45 16¢ $33 -$12 07-16 09:04
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +170 $53 16¢ $28 -$25 07-16 13:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +15 $12 97¢ $15 +$3 07-12 14:16
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +229 $14 5¢ $12 -$3 07-16 09:04
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +177 $28 6¢ $11 -$17 07-16 09:04
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +895 $117 1¢ $10 -$107 07-16 05:55
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,543 $25 0¢ $9 -$16 07-16 19:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +48 $13 18¢ $9 -$4 07-16 03:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +40 $10 22¢ $9 -$1 07-16 09:03
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +221 $46 3¢ $6 -$39 07-16 09:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +36 $5 17¢ $6 +$1 07-15 18:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +71 $9 6¢ $5 -$5 07-15 23:56
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +596 $6 0¢ $3 -$3 07-16 09:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +14 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 07-16 03:23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +229 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 07-09 12:33
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +158 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 07-10 10:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +33 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 07-16 09:03