Gaseous-Bear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

540

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$6.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-20 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 23% -$530

Other

19% 5% -$421

Politics

7% 3% -$277

Sports

2% 15% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	3	$263	250	243	+7	Yes	+$230	04-15 21:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:00 UTC	3	$175	171	171	+0	Down	+$166	02-07 14:15
xrp up or down march 6 9pm et	3	$150	133	133	+0	Up	+$115	03-07 03:02
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	6	$123	123,000	0	+123,000	No	-$123	01-20 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 22:30 UTC	4	$118	112	105	+7	Up	+$97	04-04 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:50 UTC	4	$101	95	95	+0	Up	+$87	02-17 22:55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	2	$84	80	80	+0	Yes	+$76	10-14 21:10
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 3pm et	2	$80	626	0	+626	Up	-$80	03-25 19:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:45 UTC	7	$74	87	71	+15	Up	+$34	02-06 01:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 22:30 UTC	3	$72	69	64	+4	Up	+$60	04-04 22:45
solana up or down march 6 8pm et	2	$71	42	41	+0	Down	+$11	03-07 02:00
ethereum up or down january 29 3pm et	3	$68	106	50	+56	Up	+$18	01-29 20:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 03:15 UTC	4	$64	169	89	+80	Up	+$32	02-07 03:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$62	527	0	+527	No	-$62	05-30 17:58
bitcoin up or down march 7 7am et	2	$61	42	42	+1	Down	+$23	03-07 13:00
will trump try to fire powell by january 31	4	$61	6,450	6,450	+0	No	-$29	01-30 23:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:00 UTC	3	$60	90	60	+30	Down	+$25	02-06 23:09
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$60	597	0	+597	No	-$60	02-02 22:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 00:15 UTC	2	$58	105	98	+7	Up	+$45	04-15 00:28
xrp up or down january 29 12pm et	2	$57	50	50	+0	Down	+$42	01-29 18:01
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1	2	$56	68	68	+0	Yes	+$26	02-09 23:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	3	$56	67	48	+19	Up	+$40	02-09 14:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	2	$53	4,781	0	+4,781	Up	-$53	02-09 14:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC	3	$52	43	43	+0	Down	+$33	03-08 01:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:30 UTC	5	$51	319	39	+281	Up	+$11	03-01 21:44
ethereum up or down march 6 9pm et	2	$48	43	43	+0	Up	+$37	03-07 03:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$45	31	31	+0	Yes	+$15	02-28 22:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	5	$43	69	69	+0	Down	+$24	03-02 21:00
xrp up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	3	$43	486	485	+0	Up	-$17	03-25 18:51
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 01:00 UTC	2	$43	36	36	+0	Up	+$27	03-07 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:40:50	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x92fd4c…
10-19 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3878ca…
10-19 19:36:45	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x510095…
10-19 19:35:21	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$4	0xc74d03…
10-19 19:34:05	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x98c2cc…
10-19 19:33:39	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	233	2¢	$5	0x636930…
10-19 19:32:56	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd24f3b…
10-17 15:52:48	Will Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x77beb0…
10-17 15:52:36	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x053859…
10-17 15:52:18	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	456	1¢	$5	0xab231a…
10-17 15:51:38	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,530	0¢	$4	0xfe1be6…
10-15 19:36:13	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	575	1¢	$5	0x3b735e…
10-15 19:35:44	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1,267	1¢	$10	0xdbf6ae…
10-15 19:34:22	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	710	1¢	$5	0xcfaa2a…
10-15 19:33:31	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	642	1¢	$5	0xaa3841…
10-15 19:31:07	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	704	1¢	$5	0x75af68…
10-14 21:10:24	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xadeb29…
10-14 20:21:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x88cbc5…
10-14 20:21:19	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x311da2…
10-14 20:21:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$7	0xa6ef4f…
08-20 09:13:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xd06888…
08-20 09:13:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4b5c66…
08-20 09:10:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6042fe…
07-19 21:51:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	320	6¢	$20	0x036f7f…
07-18 21:40:04	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x01f669…
07-18 21:39:39	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	750	4¢	$30	0x4a5246…
07-12 02:19:41	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	240	4¢	$9	0x093603…
07-03 00:47:20	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1e8bbd…
06-30 22:26:17	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x474b58…
06-30 22:20:16	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2,725	0¢	$10	0x6b5256…
06-27 22:39:25	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaa236b…
06-27 22:37:52	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	871	1¢	$6	0x47df64…
06-27 22:37:37	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0499dc…
06-20 18:36:28	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x647fe0…
06-13 23:37:57	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc81d12…
06-13 01:53:21	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3b4e0b…
06-11 21:01:01	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x9683af…
06-11 20:48:52	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	825	1¢	$5	0xbdddea…
05-30 17:58:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0x312494…
05-30 17:58:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	171	7¢	$12	0xfaf317…
05-30 17:52:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4fa9e0…
05-30 17:51:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x74974a…
05-30 17:51:25	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x6dde3e…
05-30 17:16:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x8de71a…
05-30 17:15:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7057d1…
05-23 23:38:24	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x738c19…
05-23 23:38:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x14d59e…
05-22 23:02:22	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6c563d…
05-22 23:02:13	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x2b9c9e…
05-22 23:01:59	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xae9a6d…
05-22 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x482b4a…
05-22 23:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd464b1…
05-22 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x92f11a…
05-22 23:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x00cb2d…
05-22 23:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1f0802…
05-22 23:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6b0c60…
05-22 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcb9e9…
05-22 22:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	921	0¢	$1	0xb0a2a6…
05-22 22:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x81578d…
05-22 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc1a045…
05-22 22:56:02	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x8b9ff9…
05-22 22:55:41	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x8a3e81…
05-22 22:55:32	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7ec64e…
05-22 22:55:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x43a751…
05-22 22:55:22	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x015d5a…
05-22 22:55:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x867d19…
05-22 22:54:57	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa02a7c…
05-19 01:37:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x9e9ac1…
05-19 01:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x7c4146…
05-16 20:01:06	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	6¢	$6	0x800673…
05-16 17:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x37bebb…
05-16 17:55:27	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf28259…
05-16 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xe5e223…
05-15 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x82d021…
05-15 15:55:20	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	77	3¢	$3	0xefad39…
05-15 15:52:48	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x5686f1…
05-15 15:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x1346b3…
05-15 15:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	244	0¢	$1	0xe5f2a9…
05-15 15:48:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xee08f5…
05-15 15:48:09	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4385c5…
05-15 15:47:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x24f0ac…
05-13 21:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	815	1¢	$5	0x61f366…
05-13 21:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x2c64be…
05-13 21:41:08	Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker	Ryan Dickerson	BUY	114	3¢	$3	0x4eb0f6…
05-13 21:39:03	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0xf06f10…
05-13 21:38:48	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x88997c…
05-13 21:38:25	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x5ca51b…
05-13 21:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x67c2f1…
05-13 21:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xebb165…
05-13 21:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x162377…
05-13 21:36:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xefaa9b…
05-13 21:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5d2dd0…
05-13 09:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1a25d8…
05-13 09:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x11db36…
05-13 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x64e350…
05-13 09:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc19943…
05-13 09:02:46	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xce61e2…
04-18 15:48:14	solana up or down april 18 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa6909d…
04-18 15:47:58	ethereum up or down april 18 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x4db402…
04-18 15:47:38	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0xe9f425…