Selfish-Pavilion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

190

Trades

874

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-07 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 29% -$36

Other

32% 27% +$3

Politics

17% 32% +$10

Tech

8% 0% -$2

Sports

4% 20% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	58	$175	834	834	+0	No	-$2	04-27 04:51
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	65	$148	1,446	1,326	+120	No	-$16	04-27 15:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	42	$117	829	801	+28	No	-$8	04-27 15:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	33	$90	114	109	+4	No	-$3	04-28 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	15	$76	74	79	-5	Yes	+$4	04-30 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	8	$74	198	198	+0	Yes	+$17	05-01 12:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	15	$71	649	670	-21	No	-$6	05-01 21:20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	18	$65	374	374	+0	No	-$5	04-25 06:25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?	7	$60	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-30 16:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	22	$53	289	274	+14	No	-$7	04-26 22:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	30	$45	287	268	+19	No	-$4	04-21 21:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$42	136	136	+0	No	+$23	04-24 17:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	21	$41	87	85	+2	No	-$2	04-22 05:06
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic	3	$39	29	29	+0	Dino Prizmic	+$19	04-24 16:35
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	11	$38	252	236	+16	No	-$10	04-28 04:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	6	$36	72	72	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 04:31
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	32	$35	316	316	+0	No	-$3	04-20 21:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$34	169	169	+0	No	+$4	04-25 06:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	14	$31	275	257	+18	No	-$5	04-28 04:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	7	$31	104	104	+0	No	-$3	05-06 01:18
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$30	33	33	+0	No	+$1	04-26 20:45
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	4	$30	149	149	+0	No	+$0	05-01 14:14
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$29	42	42	+0	No	$0	05-02 14:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	8	$28	88	88	+0	No	-$4	05-01 20:18
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$28	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 10:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	4	$27	27	27	+0	Yes	+$8	05-01 14:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	6	$26	42	40	+2	Yes	+$8	04-27 15:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$26	179	179	+0	No	$0	04-24 20:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$25	139	139	+0	No	-$1	04-25 06:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	12	$25	31	31	+1	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 11:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0xe972db…
05-07 08:47:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x012538…
05-07 08:42:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x0323ef…
05-07 08:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xec5a4d…
05-07 08:23:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xe0b4a1…
05-06 04:31:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xd0edd9…
05-06 04:14:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbffd42…
05-06 03:20:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0xcc36ee…
05-06 02:01:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x3febf6…
05-06 01:36:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x5c14e9…
05-06 01:24:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9d55ce…
05-06 01:19:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x2b2a4c…
05-06 01:18:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x65969c…
05-06 01:17:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9edc03…
05-06 01:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xc7de9b…
05-06 01:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa2fe39…
05-06 01:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x76d943…
05-06 01:17:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xee5580…
05-06 01:17:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x4a5394…
05-06 01:17:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x27bfbd…
05-06 01:01:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0xa4eea6…
05-06 00:15:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x984527…
05-06 00:12:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xcd1136…
05-06 00:09:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xf3bf58…
05-05 23:57:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x9582a6…
05-05 23:52:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xe0a08d…
05-05 23:50:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xe69ba3…
05-05 23:40:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xed5dd8…
05-05 23:24:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xce58e6…
05-05 21:57:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x3db0ab…
05-02 14:16:50	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	34¢	$14	0x83737c…
05-02 14:06:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb83f14…
05-02 14:06:10	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xce22c5…
05-01 21:20:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x60fffd…
05-01 21:05:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc1c7df…
05-01 20:18:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xd910d5…
05-01 20:18:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe2751b…
05-01 20:17:54	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x5c82be…
05-01 19:17:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7534de…
05-01 19:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x461db8…
05-01 19:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7888d9…
05-01 19:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc581e4…
05-01 19:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe524b7…
05-01 19:13:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xdb4233…
05-01 19:05:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x804a0e…
05-01 19:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0xecac35…
05-01 18:49:30	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xa85097…
05-01 18:41:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	63	8¢	$5	0xbfcb06…
05-01 18:41:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x667723…
05-01 18:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3465f8…
05-01 18:41:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xf75e02…
05-01 18:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7be777…
05-01 18:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x389290…
05-01 17:51:50	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x90ec66…
05-01 15:45:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	354	5¢	$18	0xbff71e…
05-01 15:45:36	Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0x720dcd…
05-01 15:45:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0x04865f…
05-01 15:12:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc14844…
05-01 15:12:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x5d703d…
05-01 14:58:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1314a5…
05-01 14:51:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2103ca…
05-01 14:41:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x816e29…
05-01 14:40:06	Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x95d06f…
05-01 14:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x732751…
05-01 14:31:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x399f29…
05-01 14:30:36	Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd8c909…
05-01 14:29:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0x437e34…
05-01 14:22:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0xd21032…
05-01 14:15:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	276	5¢	$14	0x250a5f…
05-01 14:14:50	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	SELL	149	10¢	$15	0x533649…
05-01 14:14:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x7cb19b…
05-01 14:14:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x122204…
05-01 14:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2eee0c…
05-01 13:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb9b7c8…
05-01 13:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x463256…
05-01 13:02:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe4b2cd…
05-01 13:01:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x61addb…
05-01 12:58:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x25799f…
05-01 12:58:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xc9b093…
05-01 12:58:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x28014c…
05-01 12:52:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0xaf06f0…
05-01 12:45:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0x08b48b…
05-01 12:43:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xfd4a94…
05-01 12:24:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1b417a…
05-01 12:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	64	35¢	$22	0xd8a4d5…
05-01 11:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xa80847…
05-01 11:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x599352…
05-01 11:34:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x291b86…
05-01 11:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	134	17¢	$23	0xa13e9c…
05-01 11:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xd44767…
05-01 10:36:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xffd904…
05-01 07:50:26	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0xe06f71…
05-01 07:44:06	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xed905d…
05-01 07:37:58	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xd8abc1…
05-01 07:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x41c114…
05-01 07:03:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x4bd3ea…
05-01 06:53:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x003427…
04-30 20:56:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x65e244…
04-30 16:39:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x0a99f2…
04-30 16:39:08	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	SELL	108	28¢	$30	0x453c34…