Creative-Pillbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

57 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$458

$492 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$43	44	+44	open	—	05-05 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$41	136	+136	Down	$-13	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$41	60	+60	open	—	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$40	42	+42	open	—	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$33	82	+82	Down	$-7	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$29	57	+57	open	—	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$20	24	+24	Down	$-20	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$18	55	+55	Up	+$32	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$16	27	+27	open	—	05-05 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$15	73	+73	open	—	05-05 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$13	14	+14	Down	+$0	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	Down	+$2	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-05 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Up	$-10	05-05 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$9	13	+13	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$9	97	+97	Up	$-9	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$9	14	+14	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$7	22	+22	open	—	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Down	+$5	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$5	142	+142	Up	$-5	05-05 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$4	21	+21	open	—	05-05 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0x00640a…
05-05 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0x241167…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe08490…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x115353…
05-05 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xb7da3c…
05-05 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9117d5…
05-05 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x79a14d…
05-05 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b222a…
05-05 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x78720d…
05-05 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x82edb8…
05-05 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x11ae01…
05-05 16:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x04f180…
05-05 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x1fc9eb…
05-05 16:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xbaf0aa…
05-05 14:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xc4f829…
05-05 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x27dcb7…
05-05 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x71c10e…
05-05 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x6fe136…
05-05 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0b24a6…
05-05 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x510ca1…
05-05 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xad5a7b…
05-05 12:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xfebc05…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xbfd889…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xae27cd…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x09bb3b…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x38abe6…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf3e15f…
05-05 09:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0d51ec…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xb3655b…
05-05 08:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x68636a…
05-05 06:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x4b6029…
05-05 06:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4919bf…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x775254…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xb039c2…
05-05 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3cd860…
05-05 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xb24b1a…
05-05 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x90a2cf…
05-05 05:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xe0fb54…
05-05 05:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x7671ce…
05-05 05:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xe9877d…
05-05 05:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xf8ddfe…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xacaa94…
05-05 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xbd824e…
05-05 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x695b03…
05-05 04:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x0ddab7…
05-05 03:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xac4028…
05-05 03:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0x16deaf…
05-05 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xe15697…
05-05 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2cd556…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8598cb…
05-05 00:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	10¢	$5	0x1eb69b…
05-05 00:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x2808e9…
05-04 22:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x4bf8de…
05-04 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xff7632…
05-04 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x7fa8fc…
05-04 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x593d12…
05-04 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0xe87cc7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	32	$790	181	05-05 20:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	31	$12.7K	221	05-05 20:54
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	29	$953	85	05-05 20:54
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	25	$917	134	05-05 20:49
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	23	$1.50K	100	05-05 20:12
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	23	$1.09K	59	05-05 21:00
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	22	$5.35K	125	05-05 20:50
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	22	$4.18K	165	05-05 20:50