Ringed-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

409

Trades

14,514

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-13 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 38% -$138

Politics

2% 88% +$2

Other

2% 75% +$1

Tech

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No		-5	-$5	98¢	$-5	$0	05-13 15:38
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	04-30 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	86	$419	1,027	+1,027	Up	+$236	03-22 16:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:45 UTC	81	$403	966	+966	Down	-$134	03-22 15:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:15 UTC	72	$360	924	+924	Down	-$69	03-22 16:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:15 UTC	195	$276	623	+623	Down	-$20	03-22 17:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 22:00 UTC	207	$254	821	+821	Down	+$117	03-22 22:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:15 UTC	50	$250	525	+525	Down	-$24	03-22 16:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 22:00 UTC	157	$217	674	+674	Down	-$10	03-22 22:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC	94	$217	601	+601	Up	-$10	03-22 16:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:15 UTC	178	$212	646	+646	Down	-$59	03-22 17:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:45 UTC	176	$210	486	+486	Down	+$21	03-23 00:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 22:00 UTC	178	$207	625	+625	Down	+$23	03-22 22:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC	173	$204	497	+497	Down	-$17	03-22 23:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	171	$192	407	+407	Down	+$1	03-22 23:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	161	$187	409	+409	Up	+$23	03-22 23:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	37	$185	368	+368	Down	-$11	03-22 16:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 15:45 UTC	37	$185	608	+608	Up	-$69	03-22 15:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC	82	$184	529	+529	Up	-$50	03-22 16:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC	156	$183	430	+430	Up	+$56	03-22 23:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 18:00 UTC	123	$178	441	+441	Up	+$41	03-22 18:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC	146	$170	421	+421	Up	+$99	03-22 17:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	142	$168	347	+347	Up	+$2	03-23 00:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC	116	$166	328	+328	Up	-$14	03-22 17:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:15 UTC	140	$163	388	+388	Down	+$41	03-23 00:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:15 UTC	134	$161	470	+470	Down	-$52	03-22 17:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:30 UTC	111	$159	371	+371	Down	-$13	03-22 23:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC	74	$151	371	+371	Down	+$52	03-22 16:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 20:45 UTC	125	$151	551	+551	Down	-$46	03-22 20:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 01:30 UTC	127	$149	379	+379	Down	-$26	03-23 01:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 21:45 UTC	107	$148	337	+337	Up	+$21	03-22 21:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC	126	$146	378	+378	Up	-$10	03-22 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 15:38:32	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x179f6e…
05-13 15:38:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xefd89f…
05-13 15:38:30	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc21110…
05-13 15:38:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaa57a1…
05-13 15:38:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa6870a…
05-13 15:38:30	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa56aa8…
05-13 15:38:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x95c5f7…
05-13 15:38:30	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x83e600…
05-13 15:38:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x756307…
05-13 15:38:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67fd20…
05-13 15:38:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6202e0…
05-13 15:38:28	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x468ccd…
05-09 17:16:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe10103…
05-09 17:06:27	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71e43b…
05-09 06:41:51	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf1c5f0…
05-09 06:40:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61f906…
05-07 12:47:14	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89698b…
05-07 08:59:39	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc42111…
05-04 11:26:08	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x872e8c…
05-04 11:24:06	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24f5b1…
05-04 11:01:16	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff5148…
05-04 10:40:06	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0807cf…
05-04 10:38:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9852e7…
05-04 10:08:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3078a6…
05-04 09:57:00	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57aa4f…
05-04 09:56:28	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x45e7a9…
05-04 09:52:58	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a5838…
05-04 07:43:00	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd5615c…
05-04 07:30:58	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed5aa6…
05-04 04:27:10	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26b5c0…
05-04 03:51:30	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1a247…
05-04 02:49:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5dd421…
05-04 00:41:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaee3d7…
05-03 21:12:26	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3df699…
05-03 20:46:22	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2104e7…
05-03 20:39:24	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa127b…
05-03 20:30:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67ff70…
05-03 20:18:52	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e8e17…
05-03 20:16:10	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa3c4a3…
05-03 20:16:10	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ca390…
05-03 18:03:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfccedd…
05-03 17:59:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcf4e8…
05-03 17:45:28	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x06e65e…
05-03 17:21:40	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5d256…
05-03 15:59:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02107b…
05-03 15:59:00	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8420d5…
05-03 15:54:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a38a6…
05-03 14:48:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21662d…
05-03 13:28:58	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x390ae4…
04-30 14:05:00	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0f090…
04-30 11:54:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf8bcfd…
04-30 09:19:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x95487b…
04-29 21:08:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75feed…
04-29 20:43:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3b6d6b…
04-29 20:17:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x273bc4…
04-29 18:34:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x497f28…
04-29 18:33:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0ab3df…
04-29 18:10:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6d76c0…
04-29 18:09:26	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x18b65c…
04-29 16:31:28	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7c6946…
04-29 13:17:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9bed01…
04-29 11:28:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xada9ef…
04-29 09:48:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0582c1…
04-29 09:11:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c6107…
04-29 09:07:28	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3c044e…
04-29 08:08:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6644f3…
04-29 04:59:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x69feae…
04-28 23:17:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcb328c…
04-28 22:43:28	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeeca5c…
04-28 16:54:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa4f933…
04-28 16:16:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e1773…
04-28 05:17:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f5165…
04-28 05:12:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb562dc…
04-28 05:06:48	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdad4ac…
04-27 14:40:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed68c2…
04-27 14:37:58	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d5176…
04-27 03:31:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6b2637…
04-27 00:54:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3dbc2f…
04-27 00:39:00	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75775e…
04-27 00:07:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4b37c8…
04-26 23:56:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x537c0b…
04-26 23:23:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75b9ba…
04-26 21:29:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9bb25e…
04-26 21:14:28	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11f81c…
04-26 21:12:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x741b0c…
04-26 19:09:02	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x68d978…
04-26 18:31:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7c2c9d…
04-26 18:09:42	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd09789…
04-26 18:05:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6453f1…
04-26 17:08:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6ee08a…
04-26 16:56:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xce2c5b…
04-26 16:44:50	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e55af…
04-26 16:04:08	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x69a5aa…
04-26 15:57:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x219737…
04-26 15:14:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x912e2e…
04-26 15:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ce189…
04-26 15:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x486d9f…
04-26 15:10:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe8da40…
04-26 15:10:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd9b751…
04-26 15:09:38	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x420911…