Ringed-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

14,484

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-13 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Other

1% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7814 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 15m 1774195200	86	$419	1,027	+1,027	open	—	03-22 16:14
xrp updown 15m 1774194300	81	$403	966	+966	open	—	03-22 15:57
xrp updown 15m 1774196100	72	$360	924	+924	open	—	03-22 16:24
eth updown 15m 1774199700	195	$276	623	+623	open	—	03-22 17:29
sol updown 15m 1774216800	207	$254	821	+821	open	—	03-22 22:14
eth updown 15m 1774196100	50	$250	525	+525	open	—	03-22 16:23
eth updown 15m 1774216800	157	$217	674	+674	open	—	03-22 22:14
eth updown 15m 1774197000	94	$217	601	+601	open	—	03-22 16:44
xrp updown 15m 1774199700	178	$212	646	+646	open	—	03-22 17:28
sol updown 15m 1774226700	176	$210	486	+486	open	—	03-23 00:59
xrp updown 15m 1774216800	178	$207	625	+625	open	—	03-22 22:14
xrp updown 15m 1774220400	173	$204	497	+497	open	—	03-22 23:14
sol updown 15m 1774222200	171	$192	407	+407	open	—	03-22 23:44
xrp updown 15m 1774222200	161	$187	409	+409	open	—	03-22 23:44
eth updown 15m 1774195200	37	$185	368	+368	open	—	03-22 16:13
eth updown 15m 1774194300	37	$185	608	+608	open	—	03-22 15:56
xrp updown 15m 1774197000	82	$184	529	+529	open	—	03-22 16:43
sol updown 15m 1774220400	156	$183	430	+430	open	—	03-22 23:13
eth updown 15m 1774202400	123	$178	441	+441	open	—	03-22 18:15
sol updown 15m 1774198800	146	$170	421	+421	open	—	03-22 17:14
sol updown 15m 1774224000	142	$168	347	+347	open	—	03-23 00:11
eth updown 15m 1774198800	116	$166	328	+328	open	—	03-22 17:14
sol updown 15m 1774224900	140	$163	388	+388	open	—	03-23 00:29
sol updown 15m 1774199700	134	$161	470	+470	open	—	03-22 17:28
eth updown 15m 1774222200	111	$159	371	+371	open	—	03-22 23:44
sol updown 15m 1774197000	74	$151	371	+371	open	—	03-22 16:44
xrp updown 15m 1774212300	125	$151	551	+551	open	—	03-22 20:58
sol updown 15m 1774229400	127	$149	379	+379	open	—	03-23 01:43
eth updown 15m 1774215900	107	$148	337	+337	open	—	03-22 21:59
xrp updown 15m 1774198800	126	$146	378	+378	open	—	03-22 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 15:38:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa6870a…
05-13 15:38:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6202e0…
05-13 15:38:28	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x468ccd…
05-09 17:06:27	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71e43b…
05-09 06:41:51	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf1c5f0…
05-07 08:59:39	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc42111…
05-04 04:27:10	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26b5c0…
05-04 03:51:30	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1a247…
05-04 02:49:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5dd421…
05-04 00:41:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaee3d7…
05-03 21:12:26	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3df699…
05-03 20:46:22	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2104e7…
05-03 20:39:24	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa127b…
05-03 20:30:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67ff70…
05-03 20:18:52	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e8e17…
05-03 20:16:10	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa3c4a3…
05-03 20:16:10	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ca390…
05-03 17:21:40	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5d256…
05-03 15:59:46	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02107b…
05-03 15:59:00	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8420d5…
05-03 15:54:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a38a6…
05-03 14:48:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21662d…
05-03 13:28:58	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x390ae4…
04-30 14:05:00	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0f090…
04-29 21:08:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75feed…
04-29 20:43:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3b6d6b…
04-29 20:17:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x273bc4…
04-29 18:34:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x497f28…
04-29 18:09:26	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x18b65c…
04-29 16:31:28	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7c6946…
04-29 13:17:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9bed01…
04-29 11:28:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xada9ef…
04-29 09:48:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0582c1…
04-29 09:11:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c6107…
04-29 09:07:28	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3c044e…
04-29 08:08:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6644f3…
04-29 04:59:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x69feae…
04-28 23:17:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcb328c…
04-28 22:43:28	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeeca5c…
04-28 16:54:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa4f933…
04-28 16:16:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e1773…
04-28 05:17:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f5165…
04-28 05:12:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb562dc…
04-28 05:06:48	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdad4ac…
04-27 14:40:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed68c2…
04-27 14:37:58	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d5176…
04-27 03:31:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6b2637…
04-27 00:54:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3dbc2f…
04-27 00:39:00	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75775e…
04-27 00:07:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4b37c8…
04-26 23:56:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x537c0b…
04-26 23:23:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x75b9ba…
04-26 21:29:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9bb25e…
04-26 21:14:28	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x11f81c…
04-26 21:12:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x741b0c…
04-26 19:09:02	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x68d978…
04-26 18:31:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7c2c9d…
04-26 18:09:42	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd09789…
04-26 18:05:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6453f1…
04-26 17:08:14	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6ee08a…
04-26 16:56:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xce2c5b…
04-26 16:44:50	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e55af…
04-26 16:04:08	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x69a5aa…
04-26 15:57:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x219737…
04-26 15:14:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x912e2e…
04-26 15:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ce189…
04-26 15:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x486d9f…
04-26 15:10:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe8da40…
04-26 15:10:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd9b751…
04-26 15:09:38	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x420911…
04-26 15:06:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x181622…
04-26 14:46:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5bf1c3…
04-26 14:46:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78fe9b…
04-26 14:46:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x665340…
04-26 14:33:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd6ace0…
04-26 14:15:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc512b1…
04-26 14:08:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x48e494…
04-26 13:06:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x33cf0f…
04-26 12:55:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x675289…
04-26 12:52:20	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x63ab45…
04-26 12:10:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8e4dad…
04-26 11:48:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9ee7d3…
04-26 11:36:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7cea7e…
04-26 10:22:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xda2365…
04-26 09:55:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9fe7f5…
04-26 09:25:28	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfee49a…
04-26 07:21:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9e779…
04-26 07:21:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ea944…
04-26 07:20:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x333f45…
04-26 07:06:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x028fc4…
04-26 07:05:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc0a623…
04-26 07:05:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe7cdbf…
04-26 06:56:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bcd1c…
04-26 06:51:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c902f…
04-26 06:19:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x502d4d…
04-25 14:47:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8c47ef…
04-25 14:30:42	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x025dd3…
04-25 13:02:48	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7d428a…
04-25 12:46:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe8fd6a…
04-25 11:15:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa781c8…