Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

188

Trades

891

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-11-02

last 11-06 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 41% -$113

Politics

6% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 778 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	52	$300	0	600	-600	Down	+$0	11-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	42	$297	0	600	-600	Up	-$3	11-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	27	$292	0	600	-600	Up	-$8	11-05 21:25
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	26	$115	0	255	-255	Down	-$31	11-05 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	18	$45	0	97	-97	Down	-$2	11-05 20:14
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	9	$45	131	131	+0	open	—	11-05 19:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	5	$45	104	104	+0	open	—	11-05 19:26
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	4	$44	59	59	+0	open	—	11-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	12	$44	0	85	-85	Up	-$2	11-05 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$39	70	10	+60	Down	+$1	11-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	16	$39	77	0	+77	Up	-$2	11-05 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	18	$38	75	0	+75	Down	-$3	11-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$38	0	80	-80	Down	-$2	11-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	10	$38	0	80	-80	Down	-$2	11-05 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$34	0	72	-72	Up	+$2	11-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$30	55	5	+50	Down	+$0	11-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$30	50	10	+40	Up	+$1	11-05 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$29	59	1	+59	Down	+$1	11-04 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	11-05 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	11-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$29	50	10	+40	Down	+$0	11-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	7	$29	50	10	+40	Down	$0	11-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$28	50	10	+40	Up	+$0	11-04 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$28	40	20	+20	Down	-$1	11-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$28	50	10	+40	Up	$0	11-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$28	50	10	+40	Up	$0	11-05 02:45
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	6	$27	107	107	+0	open	—	11-06 00:40
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	3	$26	60	60	+0	open	—	11-05 18:55
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	125	125	+0	open	—	11-06 12:32
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$25	0	40	-40	Down	-$5	11-05 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:33:04	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0x415221…
11-06 12:33:00	Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x7c275f…
11-06 12:32:55	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x01d253…
11-06 07:57:13	Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x441bec…
11-06 07:57:12	Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x26c134…
11-06 00:40:30	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0xe370da…
11-05 23:39:52	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x42a49a…
11-05 23:17:24	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0x09c9db…
11-05 23:08:06	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0xf62f16…
11-05 23:08:06	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd8b714…
11-05 23:08:06	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9b855f…
11-05 23:08:06	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x2c7030…
11-05 23:08:06	Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x108546…
11-05 22:41:22	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x0b8dfc…
11-05 22:41:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xea3252…
11-05 22:35:18	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x396c3a…
11-05 22:35:18	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x08b63f…
11-05 22:32:49	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x7fdbd0…
11-05 22:32:19	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xa1cda0…
11-05 22:32:10	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x8bf9ed…
11-05 22:31:55	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8bbf5a…
11-05 22:31:01	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x761a76…
11-05 22:31:00	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xd6f323…
11-05 22:30:36	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x1bf291…
11-05 22:27:30	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0138db…
11-05 22:27:09	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xa33729…
11-05 22:25:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xd57b27…
11-05 22:25:37	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xb930a2…
11-05 22:25:18	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x374d57…
11-05 22:21:31	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xaacf99…
11-05 22:20:58	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x03d2a3…
11-05 22:20:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x1b0733…
11-05 22:09:31	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x03c35a…
11-05 22:09:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x3897ba…
11-05 22:09:13	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x236eae…
11-05 22:09:01	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x7321c0…
11-05 22:08:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xe8b83a…
11-05 22:08:52	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	48¢	$26	0x516b9e…
11-05 22:08:52	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x2960e8…
11-05 22:08:39	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd6ac13…
11-05 22:08:37	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xaaada9…
11-05 22:08:33	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x5652f2…
11-05 22:08:15	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x5410a8…
11-05 22:08:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6a2db2…
11-05 22:08:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3676e1…
11-05 22:08:12	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x2d805c…
11-05 22:08:01	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x0d45d4…
11-05 22:06:46	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb09326…
11-05 22:06:46	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x918fe0…
11-05 22:06:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x493a37…
11-05 22:06:19	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xe19c1d…
11-05 22:06:19	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x98111f…
11-05 22:05:52	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6b1abe…
11-05 22:05:51	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xe81840…
11-05 22:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xb57fa3…
11-05 22:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xb158eb…
11-05 22:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x8f3f50…
11-05 22:05:33	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x6af2f8…
11-05 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd672f5…
11-05 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb6b585…
11-05 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x3c8120…
11-05 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x39cb93…
11-05 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x26b1ee…
11-05 21:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x113fa5…
11-05 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xbf0806…
11-05 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x3cda2d…
11-05 21:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc957ae…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xefb672…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe443a6…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc022f9…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xbca4aa…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xaa8400…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x2d96d8…
11-05 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x1d836f…
11-05 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xfbed3f…
11-05 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe99d1a…
11-05 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe868ce…
11-05 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xd47bfc…
11-05 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8e9c39…
11-05 21:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x7dc45c…
11-05 21:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0x55bf8b…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb2122a…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xabb289…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x91b722…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x417f01…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x13b4af…
11-05 21:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x0b9d48…
11-05 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xce6fba…
11-05 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5ea25b…
11-05 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x37b3bd…
11-05 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x2fe289…
11-05 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x27eb52…
11-05 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x7e9c6d…
11-05 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x591ac5…
11-05 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x1a5010…
11-05 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x0f6595…
11-05 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x0828a0…
11-05 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0xdabd8b…
11-05 21:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe58cbd…
11-05 21:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xdd9d67…