Dimpled-Deadline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-25 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 64% +$11

Other

27% — —

Sports

25% 33% $-26

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No		+40	$20	60¢	$24	+$4	06-20 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$317	197	197	+0	open	—	05-04 02:23
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	5	$66	88	36	+53	open	—	06-15 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$47	38	37	+1	Down	+$5	05-11 07:13
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	3	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	06-21 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$37	38	38	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 07:50
btc updown 5m 1782106200	6	$37	69	46	+23	open	—	06-22 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$36	40	40	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$33	36	15	+20	Up	+$13	05-11 07:19
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	1	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	06-22 23:19
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	1	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	06-22 00:43
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	2	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	06-15 22:13
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	05-26 01:46
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$25	116	0	+116	Pistons	$-25	05-05 23:48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	3	$24	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 03:20
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	2	$21	43	43	+0	open	—	06-21 16:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	06-20 17:01
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	06-22 03:27
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	06-13 00:57
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	06-21 01:33
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	06-23 23:00
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	06-21 15:18
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	2	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	06-15 04:09
btc updown 5m 1776754500	4	$18	17	16	+1	open	—	04-21 07:00
btc updown 5m 1776952500	3	$18	38	10	+28	open	—	04-23 13:58
btc updown 5m 1780757100	2	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	06-06 14:48
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	7	$12	2,003	1,904	+100	open	—	04-24 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-04 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 09:39:22	btc updown 5m 1782380100	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xafd60e…
06-25 06:52:25	btc updown 5m 1782370200	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd5ae9b…
06-23 23:00:44	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4ddc18…
06-22 23:19:16	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x429bda…
06-22 09:54:49	btc updown 5m 1782121800	Down	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x9bdd37…
06-22 09:53:59	btc updown 5m 1782121800	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb4e794…
06-22 06:58:32	btc updown 5m 1782111300	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4abc03…
06-22 06:44:40	btc updown 5m 1782110400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x91287b…
06-22 06:19:26	btc updown 5m 1782108900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb0b20c…
06-22 06:18:01	btc updown 5m 1782108900	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x614d89…
06-22 06:12:34	btc updown 5m 1782108600	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x90738c…
06-22 06:11:49	btc updown 5m 1782108600	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x74088a…
06-22 06:00:23	btc updown 5m 1782108000	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5766f1…
06-22 05:58:34	btc updown 5m 1782107700	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb15e4a…
06-22 05:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782107400	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3fc551…
06-22 05:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782107400	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3f4563…
06-22 05:44:11	btc updown 5m 1782106800	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x97339c…
06-22 05:38:38	btc updown 5m 1782106500	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x44b11a…
06-22 05:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782106500	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf5b1b3…
06-22 05:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782106500	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x37f78e…
06-22 05:34:40	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb98ecd…
06-22 05:34:14	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2a136f…
06-22 05:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc5c3d4…
06-22 05:33:25	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x4e5d97…
06-22 05:32:25	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x01586c…
06-22 05:31:20	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd0f053…
06-22 05:28:38	btc updown 5m 1782105900	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x002ebd…
06-22 05:28:07	btc updown 5m 1782105900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd45880…
06-22 05:21:08	btc updown 5m 1782105600	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0cada4…
06-22 05:17:53	btc updown 5m 1782105300	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe12b2c…
06-22 03:27:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x96e81e…
06-22 00:43:23	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xec6b33…
06-21 16:28:49	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	Spain	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd76dbd…
06-21 16:28:14	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	Spain	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6656e2…
06-21 16:28:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	Spain	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfe77da…
06-21 16:25:23	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xc5a891…
06-21 15:18:38	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xadad9b…
06-21 15:18:20	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x27b266…
06-21 01:33:55	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x123276…
06-20 17:01:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x664599…
06-20 05:27:37	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5829f8…
06-15 22:13:01	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xee7233…
06-15 22:12:48	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8efc15…
06-15 14:45:25	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc4d6b6…
06-15 14:44:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0331f2…
06-15 14:42:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x557134…
06-15 14:40:10	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9976d5…
06-15 04:22:37	btc updown 5m 1781497200	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbc10e3…
06-15 04:22:16	btc updown 5m 1781497200	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x02fa5d…
06-15 04:22:07	btc updown 5m 1781497200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x31d901…
06-15 04:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781496900	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc54458…
06-15 04:10:25	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7bdf07…
06-15 04:09:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x182c57…
06-15 03:51:03	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdabdfb…
06-13 00:57:07	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x51582d…
06-13 00:42:46	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x63ee33…
06-13 00:40:37	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc59ae7…
06-06 14:48:06	btc updown 5m 1780757100	Up	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0xb9be42…
06-06 14:46:58	btc updown 5m 1780757100	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf8489b…
06-06 14:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1db69f…
06-06 14:40:31	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe13714…
06-06 14:39:31	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe13170…
06-06 04:56:36	btc updown 5m 1780721700	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xba8b66…
06-06 04:55:39	btc updown 5m 1780721700	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6ecb87…
06-06 04:48:21	btc updown 5m 1780721100	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x588557…
06-06 04:45:19	btc updown 5m 1780721100	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfffefd…
06-06 04:43:28	btc updown 5m 1780720800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x95faf0…
06-06 04:41:01	btc updown 5m 1780720800	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9fb597…
06-04 00:10:36	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x431edb…
06-04 00:10:33	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6c484a…
06-04 00:10:27	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x576e1c…
06-04 00:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x67cf99…
06-03 23:55:51	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5910bd…
06-03 23:55:49	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x227969…
06-03 23:41:00	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc9310a…
06-03 23:40:51	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc726d6…
06-03 23:40:30	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x075088…
06-03 23:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x00b74e…
05-30 04:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4252f4…
05-30 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbbad59…
05-30 04:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x139e88…
05-30 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20a946…
05-30 04:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf7d593…
05-30 04:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x337c55…
05-30 04:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6375f…
05-30 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7b63bc…
05-26 01:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x134e0d…
05-26 01:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7bb226…
05-26 01:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6e8b9a…
05-17 12:20:02	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x50cfe1…
05-15 11:19:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x803247…
05-11 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x46cefc…
05-11 07:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$17	0x6f5a74…
05-11 07:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeef07b…
05-11 07:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xead742…
05-11 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdcabb3…
05-11 07:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x58c9b0…
05-11 07:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	46¢	$14	0xcd3033…
05-11 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7a0af5…
05-11 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0xf949c7…