Dimpled-Deadline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

206

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$565

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-18 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

57% 42% +$209

Crypto

21% 33% -$99

Sports

16% 50% +$83

Politics

6% 50% -$3

Tech

1% 100% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+256	$160	91¢	$233	+$73	07-23 14:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+123	$110	94¢	$116	+$6	07-29 00:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+113	$100	97¢	$110	+$10	08-02 04:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+80	$60	94¢	$76	+$16	07-29 00:03
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+278	$50	8¢	$21	-$29	10-18 19:22
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+12	$10	68¢	$8	-$2	10-18 19:06
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	10-18 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	5	$447	468	284	+185	England	+$112	07-18 22:33
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$317	197	197	+0	Cavaliers	+$77	05-04 02:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$306	355	96	+259	Yes	+$105	07-16 11:36
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?	2	$267	284	0	+284	No	+$17	07-06 23:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	2	$192	208	208	+0	Yes	-$8	07-29 00:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$160	256	0	+256	open	—	07-23 14:52
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners first half total 3pt5	1	$111	163	0	+163	Over	+$52	07-12 23:12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	2	$110	123	0	+123	open	—	07-29 00:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	133	0	+133	Yes	+$33	07-28 22:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	08-02 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$70	51	51	+0	Down	+$30	09-05 16:39
will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	2	$70	631	0	+631	Yes	-$70	07-29 13:56
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	1	$70	137	0	+137	Under	-$70	07-11 01:08
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	5	$66	88	36	+53	Under	+$26	06-15 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$65	224	0	+224	Up	-$65	09-05 14:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	07-29 00:03
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	278	0	+278	open	—	10-18 19:22
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$50	125	0	+125	Yes	-$50	08-02 04:04
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	3	$50	128	0	+128	Yes	+$78	06-23 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$50	93	0	+93	Up	-$50	09-05 16:45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	669	0	+669	No	-$50	07-05 09:48
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	2	$50	73	0	+73	Yes	+$23	06-20 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$47	38	37	+1	Down	+$5	05-11 07:13
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$40	105	0	+105	Yes	+$65	06-12 01:05
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	2	$40	96	0	+96	No	-$40	06-20 03:18
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	3	$40	186	0	+186	Yes	+$146	07-02 12:14
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	3	$40	235	0	+235	No	-$40	07-07 16:01
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	3	$40	77	0	+77	Saudi Arabia	-$40	06-21 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$37	38	38	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 05:30 UTC	6	$37	69	46	+23	Down	+$34	06-22 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 19:22:18	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x45e3c5…
10-18 19:21:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x10d80b…
10-18 19:16:23	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd3e17d…
10-18 19:06:24	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa328bb…
09-13 06:49:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	164	21¢	$34	0x0905c4…
09-06 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x658a51…
09-06 14:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x385c99…
09-06 14:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfceb2f…
09-06 14:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x7dbfae…
09-06 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdfd5dd…
09-06 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x96cb37…
09-06 14:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x86fe9b…
09-06 14:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7de0a3…
09-06 13:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	117	3¢	$3	0x5fcf79…
09-06 13:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xaba344…
09-05 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd1f3dc…
09-05 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xfdcfe0…
09-05 17:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0xd0d79b…
09-05 17:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1ec1c…
09-05 16:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x944a76…
09-05 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcf575c…
09-05 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x872202…
09-05 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x22c30f…
09-05 16:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x2a2725…
09-05 16:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa11e2d…
09-05 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1fdfc8…
09-05 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	224	29¢	$65	0x5104a0…
08-02 04:04:36	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xd62409…
08-02 04:04:00	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x1ad64c…
07-29 13:56:50	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	177	11¢	$20	0x323a22…
07-29 13:53:11	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x721a99…
07-29 00:22:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	SELL	208	44¢	$92	0xa1ed01…
07-29 00:03:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x021011…
07-29 00:02:29	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6fdbfe…
07-28 23:44:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x79b3ba…
07-28 22:50:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x3d2c0e…
07-23 14:52:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x76747b…
07-18 22:33:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x27d443…
07-18 21:24:07	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xce2fe7…
07-18 21:21:13	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9f441d…
07-18 08:01:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x8af3c0…
07-18 07:52:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	284	66¢	$187	0x708e2b…
07-18 07:45:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	134	67¢	$90	0x1794a2…
07-18 07:45:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xdb55d3…
07-18 04:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x44b9c9…
07-18 04:07:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8ec10d…
07-18 04:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0bb3eb…
07-18 04:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x60acf0…
07-18 03:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x261559…
07-18 03:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4796b6…
07-18 03:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xca5018…
07-18 03:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa7bb74…
07-16 11:37:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x394eac…
07-16 11:36:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6acba8…
07-15 23:28:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x66e585…
07-15 23:28:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xfe1353…
07-15 23:27:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x05a5cf…
07-12 23:12:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	163	68¢	$111	0xfd095c…
07-12 23:09:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	96	79¢	$76	0x3f3626…
07-11 01:27:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0xb8b0fd…
07-11 01:08:43	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x8d66a3…
07-07 19:51:40	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xb6ffac…
07-07 19:51:32	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x8149bc…
07-07 16:01:37	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xec631d…
07-07 16:01:02	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x848750…
07-07 16:00:49	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x82cf61…
07-07 16:00:37	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x59f8c7…
07-07 15:55:14	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8a461b…
07-06 23:50:08	Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x78d5cf…
07-06 23:49:22	Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5e71ef…
07-05 09:48:43	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	669	7¢	$50	0xf840e7…
07-02 12:14:28	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x9a3e35…
06-29 21:26:50	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xad0a61…
06-25 23:41:43	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x104a3d…
06-25 09:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xafd60e…
06-25 06:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe262ab…
06-25 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe9145e…
06-25 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd31989…
06-25 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xad9375…
06-25 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7db657…
06-25 06:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd5ae9b…
06-24 00:09:22	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6385f5…
06-23 23:03:37	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8e4c93…
06-23 23:00:44	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4ddc18…
06-23 03:37:50	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7a416a…
06-23 00:26:14	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x055d8c…
06-22 23:47:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x821e01…
06-22 23:47:07	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x0c2516…
06-22 23:29:46	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xba3e84…
06-22 23:19:16	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x429bda…
06-22 12:01:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x82013c…
06-22 09:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x9bdd37…
06-22 09:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb4e794…
06-22 06:58:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4abc03…
06-22 06:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x91287b…
06-22 06:19:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb0b20c…
06-22 06:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x614d89…
06-22 06:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x90738c…
06-22 06:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x74088a…
06-22 06:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcc2522…