Alive-Amenity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-10 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

81% 89% +$60

Politics

15% 50% +$10

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$500	260	260	+0	open	—	09-10 03:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$308	315	0	+315	No	+$7	04-09 07:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$268	308	0	+308	No	+$40	03-23 05:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$160	84	84	+0	open	—	09-10 03:25
Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys end in a draw?	2	$139	89	89	+0	Yes	+$39	07-30 16:02
Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-30?	2	$128	78	78	+0	No	+$28	07-30 15:59
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$120	122	0	+122	No	+$2	05-06 13:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$2	05-06 13:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	06-06 08:12
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	06-06 08:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	-$30	05-06 13:42
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-06 13:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 13:41
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-30?	1	$20	91	0	+91	Yes	-$20	07-30 15:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-06 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 03:25:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	84	96¢	$80	0xaba70b…
09-10 03:23:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	260	96¢	$250	0x23bfdf…
07-30 16:21:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0x8a558e…
07-30 16:02:44	Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x5070e4…
07-30 15:59:56	Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-30?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x05d12f…
07-30 15:49:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x1b67ed…
07-30 15:38:05	Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-30?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xb84b1c…
07-30 15:36:12	Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xebecb6…
07-30 15:14:21	Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-30?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x07b402…
06-06 08:12:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x5383ff…
06-06 08:11:45	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7dbec1…
05-06 13:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb9ad8b…
05-06 13:42:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x21ba10…
05-06 13:41:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdd7b8a…
05-06 13:41:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x568e74…
05-06 13:39:10	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xab07a2…
05-06 13:37:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x0ac729…
05-06 13:35:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x4e5939…
04-09 07:45:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	315	98¢	$308	0x89133b…
03-23 05:32:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	308	87¢	$268	0x2ff99b…