Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$543

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

1,447

Trades

1,939

lifetime

Volume

$59.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-12 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

31% 30% -$222

Crypto

31% 98% -$173

Other

26% 14% -$125

Sports

10% 50% +$8

Tech

2% 0% -$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-08 22:04
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes		+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	06-28 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	20	$3.0K	2,864	2,864	+0	No	-$158	06-19 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$2.9K	2,994	2,994	+0	No	-$15	07-01 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	33	$2.6K	2,335	2,335	+0	No	+$11	06-26 08:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	31	$2.3K	1,984	1,984	+0	No	+$3	06-21 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	13	$2.2K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	07-08 02:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	18	$2.0K	2,216	2,216	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 14:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.7K	997	997	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,580	1,580	+0	Yes	-$91	05-28 17:54
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	05-30 05:46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	11	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-25 20:03
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	28	$949	910	910	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 01:26
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$931	878	878	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$765	713	713	+0	open	—	07-08 22:04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$725	502	502	+0	No	+$12	06-14 15:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$603	619	619	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 14:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$589	359	359	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$572	566	566	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 09:12
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$567	383	383	+0	No	+$0	06-16 23:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$565	567	567	+0	open	—	05-30 04:53
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$559	368	368	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 07:46
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	13	$544	544	544	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 14:27
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$536	436	436	+0	No	+$0	07-06 22:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$531	432	432	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 11:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$528	440	440	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:21
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$493	268	268	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$490	586	586	+0	No	-$62	07-12 14:43
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$488	375	375	+0	Max Holloway	+$0	07-01 10:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	11	$485	326	326	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 15:25
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$469	361	361	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 14:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	12	$466	277	277	+0	open	—	06-20 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:46:28	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	256	36¢	$92	0x76a8bb…
07-12 14:43:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	277	45¢	$125	0x13f68d…
07-12 14:43:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	166	8¢	$13	0x14fe18…
07-11 10:50:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	48¢	$120	0x8abf7f…
07-11 10:49:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	48¢	$42	0x19adce…
07-10 19:43:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	242	83¢	$201	0xbdbb45…
07-10 19:30:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	242	81¢	$196	0x6b890e…
07-10 18:32:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x3d80fd…
07-10 15:16:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x83f5e4…
07-10 15:01:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	116	14¢	$16	0xffc2b0…
07-10 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	362	14¢	$51	0x143bb7…
07-10 08:30:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	46	83¢	$38	0x85ce94…
07-10 08:25:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	104	83¢	$86	0xf31934…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xa4f135…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	337	48¢	$162	0xacacc7…
07-08 22:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	204	83¢	$169	0x281eba…
07-08 21:57:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	153	82¢	$125	0xdaede3…
07-08 21:57:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x6f8154…
07-08 21:57:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe48409…
07-08 21:57:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x212f4f…
07-08 21:57:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd38b0b…
07-08 21:57:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0xedf9ca…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	204	82¢	$167	0xf023cf…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	204	83¢	$169	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 17:41:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	57	14¢	$8	0x9e0dd5…
07-08 17:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x4af1fe…
07-08 16:01:16	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	97	91¢	$88	0x6b7b94…
07-08 16:01:05	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x3d0417…
07-08 16:00:49	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x23bdbb…
07-08 16:00:47	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x64ba88…
07-08 16:00:47	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x5dcc58…
07-08 16:00:47	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x435466…
07-08 16:00:43	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	138	91¢	$126	0x4923df…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	878	53¢	$465	0xa31f40…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	302	38¢	$115	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	302	37¢	$112	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	302	37¢	$112	0x83f958…
07-07 23:59:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	256	41¢	$105	0xc677dc…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	277	65¢	$180	0xd34ded…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	878	53¢	$465	0xed6c15…
07-07 09:12:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	261	85¢	$222	0xbde24f…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	385	61¢	$235	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	385	60¢	$231	0x0ae558…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	385	60¢	$231	0xa9f42a…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	218	62¢	$135	0xb07ec0…
07-06 21:29:11	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x07dc61…
07-06 21:29:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xbe2719…
07-06 21:29:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	80	61¢	$49	0x8fb899…
07-06 21:29:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0x775b7a…
07-06 21:29:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	88	61¢	$54	0x3a669a…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	218	62¢	$135	0xaed008…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	218	61¢	$133	0x32a17b…
07-06 16:51:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	261	85¢	$222	0xff7125…
07-05 17:33:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	138	87¢	$120	0xb0bfa6…
07-05 16:49:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xb2d1ab…
07-05 13:57:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	309	29¢	$90	0x8111dd…
07-05 12:01:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	152	87¢	$132	0x6a7190…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	309	31¢	$96	0x66f9c2…
07-04 14:27:16	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x54e64e…
07-04 14:22:58	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x16f980…
07-04 13:47:52	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x80e279…
07-04 13:38:53	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x55b87a…
07-04 13:36:46	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x7e20f4…
07-04 13:18:59	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	53	50¢	$26	0x7f1516…
07-04 12:37:04	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xc8d808…
07-04 12:33:26	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x4b20d0…
07-04 12:16:47	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x205d44…
07-04 11:54:53	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xfbec8c…
07-04 11:46:49	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xf6258e…
07-04 11:44:50	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xadebde…
07-04 11:09:41	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x6bf316…
07-04 11:07:53	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x26b91b…
07-04 10:57:53	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xf1fc6e…
07-04 10:53:10	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x20535e…
07-04 10:08:26	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0x3c14dd…
07-04 10:03:26	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0xfd1c31…
07-04 09:47:17	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8a6028…
07-04 09:44:59	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x7391e1…
07-04 08:56:23	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xffd6b1…
07-04 08:55:37	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x871f56…
07-04 04:46:31	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xb0e8c4…
07-04 04:37:20	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x3c46f7…
07-04 04:32:22	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x4b3cb0…
07-04 04:29:55	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	361	65¢	$235	0xb026f3…
07-04 03:57:49	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0x987cc9…
07-04 03:53:26	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x99f9b1…
07-04 03:52:08	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0xf4e9cd…
07-04 02:31:53	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xe85976…
07-04 02:26:07	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x8b558d…
07-04 02:25:04	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	65	50¢	$32	0x2cc462…
07-04 01:12:01	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	544	50¢	$272	0x3591fd…
07-01 17:57:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	273	63¢	$172	0xee128e…
07-01 17:56:44	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	273	63¢	$172	0xa53293…
07-01 11:55:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	342	29¢	$99	0xfb33a3…
07-01 11:21:59	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0xe980d9…
07-01 11:21:59	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x2df1c6…
07-01 10:34:52	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	135	18¢	$24	0x4b70a7…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	375	65¢	$244	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 10:24:46	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x5e0cd2…
07-01 07:14:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x0174a6…