Serene-Diploma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$797

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-02 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 55% -$19

Other

31% 34% +$14

Politics

1% 20% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$57	51	33	+18	Up	-$3	05-13 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	2	$49	39	39	+0	Yes	+$29	05-13 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	3	$36	29	29	+0	Yes	+$22	05-12 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	Down	+$15	05-13 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$30	43	0	+43	Up	+$5	05-13 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	05-14 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	-$25	05-13 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$20	32	0	+32	Down	-$5	05-13 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	05-13 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$18	17	8	+10	Down	-$2	05-13 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	4	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	05-27 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	Up	-$15	05-13 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$15	12	12	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?	2	$14	26	13	+13	No	-$6	05-23 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$12	22	0	+22	Down	-$12	05-13 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$12	16	0	+16	Down	-$7	05-14 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$10	18	6	+12	Up	-$3	05-13 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	05-13 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-13 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$8	05-13 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	-$10	05-14 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 23:50:02	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0e4db5…
07-02 23:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x208dae…
07-02 23:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x063d9c…
07-02 23:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd94e28…
07-02 04:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xcf8cbf…
06-05 10:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbb425c…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x311a14…
06-05 07:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa3845e…
06-05 07:03:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xe3af99…
06-05 07:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x811bf5…
06-05 06:51:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf623f8…
06-05 06:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4336cb…
06-05 06:41:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x86264e…
06-05 06:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2f5591…
06-05 06:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x20b77c…
06-05 06:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb26123…
06-04 05:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6492f9…
06-02 13:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe717d3…
06-01 15:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3497dc…
05-31 11:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9b925f…
05-31 02:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd9fc38…
05-31 02:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc2b4e4…
05-30 07:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x30c860…
05-30 05:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcbf932…
05-27 01:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8f4e31…
05-26 05:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xcce197…
05-26 05:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x5b1470…
05-26 05:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf11e0d…
05-26 03:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf4b9f9…
05-26 03:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x93c24f…
05-25 09:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8088b4…
05-24 12:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x85e255…
05-24 12:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5d2550…
05-24 12:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x20fb5c…
05-24 12:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x197e9d…
05-23 22:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2cd579…
05-23 22:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9583ec…
05-23 09:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	814	1¢	$5	0x054855…
05-23 06:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xd4a649…
05-22 07:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x49c60d…
05-22 07:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x849c62…
05-14 15:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b2010…
05-14 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2015a1…
05-14 15:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb5e255…
05-14 15:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x79cafb…
05-14 15:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x2caef2…
05-14 15:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x40f65d…
05-14 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xaaa062…
05-14 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0d5445…
05-14 15:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfe2c72…
05-14 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x1451c7…
05-14 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x90eae6…
05-14 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x303f52…
05-14 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x022653…
05-14 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbc73cf…
05-14 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa460e9…
05-14 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61542f…
05-14 14:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb3552e…
05-14 14:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc087f…
05-14 14:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd62189…
05-14 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x841ff2…
05-14 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x891b37…
05-14 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x53d799…
05-14 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb0372b…
05-14 14:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa4a51a…
05-14 11:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa227dc…
05-14 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7bdbac…
05-14 11:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfc151b…
05-14 10:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc5dffa…
05-14 10:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6e4576…
05-14 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa30d60…
05-14 10:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8ddeae…
05-14 10:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x99ebda…
05-14 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x45be38…
05-14 10:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xffd442…
05-14 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf0beca…
05-14 10:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb9811…
05-14 10:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x577f66…
05-14 05:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6bc109…
05-14 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfe37dd…
05-14 05:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa80713…
05-14 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x83e2e5…
05-14 04:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0a4b61…
05-14 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84f711…
05-14 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb8ece1…
05-14 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2bcc1…
05-14 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5c4f37…
05-14 01:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xd5c272…
05-14 01:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x15a15b…
05-14 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xd48025…
05-14 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6a9b16…
05-13 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x619843…
05-13 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4ee9af…
05-13 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x1bcb7a…
05-13 23:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5defe6…
05-13 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x56efc3…
05-13 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x464bc3…
05-13 22:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xd40030…
05-13 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5357ac…
05-13 16:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x8b4f2f…