Serene-Diploma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$546

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-05 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% $-4

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$57	51	33	+18	Up	$-3	05-13 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	Down	+$15	05-13 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$30	43	0	+43	Up	+$5	05-13 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Up	$-25	05-13 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$20	32	0	+32	Down	$-5	05-13 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$20	29	0	+29	Down	+$9	05-13 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$18	17	8	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	Up	$-15	05-13 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$12	22	0	+22	Down	$-12	05-13 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	05-14 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$10	18	6	+12	Up	$-3	05-13 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-13 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$8	05-13 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	05-13 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:29
btc updown 15m 1780642800	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 07:03:24	btc updown 15m 1780642800	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xe3af99…
06-05 07:00:24	btc updown 15m 1780642800	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x811bf5…
06-05 06:51:28	btc updown 15m 1780641900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf623f8…
06-05 06:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4336cb…
06-05 06:41:19	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x86264e…
06-05 06:39:21	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2f5591…
06-05 06:38:48	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x20b77c…
05-14 15:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b2010…
05-14 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2015a1…
05-14 15:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x2caef2…
05-14 15:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x40f65d…
05-14 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xaaa062…
05-14 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0d5445…
05-14 15:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfe2c72…
05-14 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x1451c7…
05-14 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x90eae6…
05-14 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x303f52…
05-14 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x022653…
05-14 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbc73cf…
05-14 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa460e9…
05-14 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61542f…
05-14 14:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb3552e…
05-14 14:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc087f…
05-14 14:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd62189…
05-14 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x841ff2…
05-14 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x891b37…
05-14 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x53d799…
05-14 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb0372b…
05-14 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7bdbac…
05-14 11:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfc151b…
05-14 10:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc5dffa…
05-14 10:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6e4576…
05-14 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa30d60…
05-14 10:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8ddeae…
05-14 10:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x99ebda…
05-14 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x45be38…
05-14 10:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xffd442…
05-14 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf0beca…
05-14 10:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdb9811…
05-14 10:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x577f66…
05-14 05:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6bc109…
05-14 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfe37dd…
05-14 05:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa80713…
05-14 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x83e2e5…
05-14 04:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0a4b61…
05-14 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84f711…
05-14 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb8ece1…
05-14 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2bcc1…
05-14 01:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xd5c272…
05-14 01:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x15a15b…
05-14 01:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xd48025…
05-14 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6a9b16…
05-13 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x619843…
05-13 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4ee9af…
05-13 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x1bcb7a…
05-13 23:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5defe6…
05-13 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x56efc3…
05-13 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x464bc3…
05-13 22:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xd40030…
05-13 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5357ac…
05-13 16:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x8b4f2f…
05-13 16:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x441ca5…
05-13 15:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f3847…
05-13 15:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfc8275…
05-13 15:03:39	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x65a50f…
05-13 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8db1f6…
05-13 14:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x160fca…
05-13 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdd3ab1…
05-13 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	72¢	$15	0xc1a10f…
05-13 14:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd6f331…
05-13 14:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xb3f90d…
05-13 14:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x616178…
05-13 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xee30bf…
05-13 14:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd71c33…
05-13 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87b340…
05-13 14:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3ad103…
05-13 14:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe32ffa…
05-13 14:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x949760…
05-13 14:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfe3bfe…
05-13 14:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x276667…
05-13 14:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x835844…
05-13 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x89b329…
05-13 14:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf11961…
05-13 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x763f78…
05-13 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x731b1a…
05-13 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x817fea…
05-13 14:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9a344f…
05-13 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfbd8a0…
05-13 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5595e1…
05-13 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc8ac4e…
05-13 13:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2a5ee6…
05-13 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x84af7d…
05-13 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x513e25…
05-13 13:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8c0246…
05-13 13:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbfbed2…
05-13 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1a694b…
05-13 13:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x99a6db…
05-13 13:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2fbf4…
05-13 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8ff974…
05-13 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xac57e6…