Spicy-Print — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$956

Unrealized P&L

+$116

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

150

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$151.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

$4.23K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

46% 48% -$155

Politics

39% 60% +$783

Tech

12% 73% +$375

Sports

3% 50% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+3,000	$2,800	92¢	$2.8K	-$25	10-25 18:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$641	78¢	$782	+$141	10-02 04:46
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+500	$285	66¢	$328	+$42	10-20 21:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+400	$305	64¢	$258	-$47	09-25 16:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+400	$85	22¢	$90	+$5	10-26 19:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	4	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$98	10-14 10:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	5	$6.5K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	open	—	10-25 18:21
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	5	$5.2K	4,587	1,020	+3,567	No	+$353	09-30 22:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	4	$4.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-25 18:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	12	$3.9K	2,503	2,503	+0	No	-$131	08-04 10:58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.5K	1,916	1,916	+0	Yes	+$206	06-22 08:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$10	09-07 16:44
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	3	$3.0K	1,554	1,554	+0	No	+$37	06-30 20:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	5	$2.8K	1,673	1,673	+0	No	-$69	07-25 14:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$2.8K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$69	06-27 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$2.6K	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	08-10 01:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$2.6K	1,398	1,398	+0	No	+$40	06-29 18:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	6	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$15	09-03 15:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	3	$2.5K	1,860	1,000	+860	No	+$20	08-12 15:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,362	1,362	+0	Yes	+$140	07-22 15:53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2.3K	6,845	6,845	+0	No	-$458	07-07 16:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$2.3K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$288	08-05 03:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	9	$2.2K	2,021	2,021	+0	No	-$405	08-09 18:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$4	09-04 05:08
starmer out by june 15 2026	6	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$26	06-10 18:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,112	1,112	+0	Yes	+$68	08-19 12:02
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	+$28	06-21 05:32
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	5	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$121	09-30 12:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$82	08-20 15:37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	5	$1.9K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$9	06-17 19:00
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$105	10-20 14:02
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-23 10:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	09-30 20:16
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	4	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$190	08-20 15:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-30 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:07:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	42¢	$95	0x78385c…
10-27 20:04:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xe59bbe…
10-26 19:44:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x24fb00…
10-25 21:05:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x215dcf…
10-25 18:21:08	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xe17044…
10-25 18:20:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	SELL	252	8¢	$19	0x215b5b…
10-25 18:09:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0x64c36f…
10-25 17:47:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$384	0xf4540a…
10-25 17:05:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	250	50¢	$126	0xa5fb91…
10-25 13:58:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	252	6¢	$15	0x80c92e…
10-25 13:17:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0xce114d…
10-25 12:28:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	83¢	$1,665	0x38c4dd…
10-25 11:11:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xb3a32a…
10-25 11:11:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x66e588…
10-25 08:48:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	500	68¢	$340	0x3cd48a…
10-25 07:26:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xc8fde0…
10-25 07:26:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	316	2¢	$7	0x8cbd11…
10-25 06:10:14	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xe0cecd…
10-24 16:14:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x7cce33…
10-24 15:45:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$146	0xc96a8b…
10-24 12:09:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$163	0x279695…
10-24 07:16:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	3¢	$9	0x30a705…
10-24 03:15:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x464d70…
10-23 10:16:27	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x7c2cad…
10-22 19:35:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	78¢	$389	0x1050f5…
10-21 14:22:35	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x7810aa…
10-20 21:40:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	250	65¢	$162	0xf95e05…
10-20 21:35:57	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x096e42…
10-20 16:44:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0xc82bd3…
10-20 15:04:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$933	0x3001de…
10-20 14:02:59	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0xb75765…
10-20 13:06:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xaeb7c3…
10-20 12:25:53	Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$112	0xf77471…
10-20 12:25:47	Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0xbfa410…
10-20 12:25:38	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$84	0xebea3b…
10-19 20:57:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x788e8f…
10-19 20:15:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0xe0e8c2…
10-19 06:34:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x54483f…
10-19 03:24:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0xb55e29…
10-19 03:22:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x8bf52f…
10-17 18:09:53	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	150	34¢	$50	0x5f12c9…
10-17 12:09:06	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0xd9c307…
10-17 12:05:56	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	127	52¢	$66	0x7e4d93…
10-17 10:52:56	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xf5c874…
10-17 10:52:38	Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xda781a…
10-17 10:51:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0xf9ef67…
10-17 09:04:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	500	83¢	$417	0x3bc19f…
10-17 06:32:02	NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,211	1¢	$10	0x8e6994…
10-16 17:35:30	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	433	94¢	$406	0x6e0310…
10-16 17:31:29	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	433	92¢	$400	0x5467ea…
10-16 06:39:55	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x4c0a57…
10-16 04:09:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x9453fd…
10-15 22:03:32	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$886	0xc9370b…
10-15 21:48:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$439	0x0205c3…
10-15 18:32:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	500	37¢	$183	0x194aa6…
10-15 13:15:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xaa078b…
10-15 13:06:22	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	947	66¢	$628	0x16738c…
10-15 12:55:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	238	71¢	$169	0x31cd7a…
10-15 06:40:10	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	500	47¢	$237	0x86b625…
10-15 04:50:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xe62cca…
10-14 16:12:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0x66cafe…
10-14 16:04:39	romanian pm bolojan out by october 310728191800216	Yes	SELL	299	90¢	$269	0xf13cc3…
10-14 16:03:36	romanian pm bolojan out by october 310728191800216	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x582f0f…
10-14 14:27:06	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0xcc1832…
10-14 13:45:11	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	66¢	$329	0x3c5c2e…
10-14 13:10:36	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	56¢	$250	0x275c00…
10-14 10:01:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,976	0x3ae73e…
10-13 16:58:46	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	SELL	333	13¢	$42	0x0cadeb…
10-13 15:43:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xf282ef…
10-13 14:57:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xe13247…
10-12 06:54:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,918	0x98f0ad…
10-12 06:48:41	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	21¢	$210	0xf58325…
10-11 16:08:31	Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$159	0x6385b3…
10-11 09:02:28	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x6ce410…
10-11 08:54:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xd94200…
10-08 13:49:00	Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	17¢	$340	0x9a7f46…
10-08 10:50:54	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x55f2b8…
10-07 06:37:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x988ff2…
10-06 06:36:36	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x03b825…
10-05 18:35:11	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x30d607…
10-05 18:29:49	Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	494	0¢	$2	0x5adb43…
10-05 17:28:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x0bf64b…
10-05 12:09:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$422	0xc9ba11…
10-03 14:31:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x912ce3…
10-03 11:00:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x0501d7…
10-02 21:29:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	58¢	$291	0x107e7c…
10-02 04:46:17	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xa4e98f…
10-01 15:29:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$357	0x92b053…
10-01 11:11:39	Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	494	4¢	$20	0x8d66ae…
09-30 22:05:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,935	0x52f15c…
09-30 20:57:56	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	6¢	$13	0xad43cd…
09-30 20:39:45	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	14¢	$31	0xa9b2c8…
09-30 20:16:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	634	31¢	$199	0x3a570b…
09-30 20:16:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0xe6b933…
09-30 20:16:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	39¢	$177	0x5ad251…
09-30 15:13:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xb76aa1…
09-30 14:25:54	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x1efe0b…
09-30 12:02:26	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	341	99¢	$337	0x415608…
09-30 10:15:14	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	659	99¢	$653	0xafefa7…
09-29 19:23:17	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	587	85¢	$499	0xfdd2a8…