Spicy-Print — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$478

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

39% 50% $-19

Sports

2% 0% $-164

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+893	$504	54¢	$478	$-26	07-21 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$3.4K	1,916	1,736	+180	open	—	06-22 08:30
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	3	$3.0K	1,554	1,554	+0	open	—	06-30 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$2.6K	1,398	1,398	+0	open	—	06-29 18:33
starmer out by june 15 2026	6	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	06-10 18:03
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	06-21 05:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	3	$1.4K	1,105	524	+581	open	—	07-20 14:16
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	13	$1.4K	858	858	+0	open	—	06-26 11:56
Iran leadership change by May 31?	6	$1.3K	702	702	+0	open	—	05-24 08:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	3	$1.3K	767	767	+0	open	—	07-07 11:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	05-23 17:05
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	4	$1.2K	723	723	+0	open	—	07-08 21:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$1.1K	1,293	400	+893	open	—	07-21 07:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	$-39	05-08 18:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	2	$1.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	07-20 11:53
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$994	758	758	+0	open	—	07-20 11:53
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$907	513	513	+0	open	—	06-22 08:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$906	475	475	+0	open	—	06-01 06:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	3	$785	760	290	+471	open	—	07-17 04:59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	36	$781	1,800	12,271	-10,471	open	—	03-12 19:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$737	357	557	-200	open	—	05-24 05:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$711	444	444	+0	open	—	04-08 04:08
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	4	$704	407	407	+0	open	—	04-15 04:28
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$661	500	500	+0	open	—	07-12 05:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	10	$606	354	354	+0	open	—	04-14 02:52
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$602	355	355	+0	open	—	05-11 17:48
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$556	349	349	+0	open	—	05-02 11:54
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$542	315	315	+0	open	—	04-24 15:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	3	$498	300	300	+0	open	—	05-31 17:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$488	399	399	+0	open	—	04-14 15:08
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$421	223	223	+0	open	—	03-30 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:26:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x1c7651…
07-20 14:16:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x926490…
07-20 11:58:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	524	82¢	$427	0x83a1ed…
07-20 11:53:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	758	65¢	$494	0xaac256…
07-20 11:53:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	1,021	50¢	$515	0x48d40a…
07-17 04:59:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0xfe5bf3…
07-15 09:53:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	524	86¢	$450	0x299776…
07-14 02:41:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	1,021	49¢	$500	0x036cdc…
07-12 09:14:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xa1ba5e…
07-12 05:13:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	500	52¢	$261	0xe55cec…
07-11 09:03:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x69929f…
07-08 21:23:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	No	SELL	247	75¢	$185	0x3cc548…
07-08 19:25:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xf5752a…
07-08 15:25:44	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	SELL	179	1¢	$2	0xb318f9…
07-07 11:45:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	767	92¢	$707	0xba7682…
06-30 20:30:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1,554	99¢	$1,537	0xd68f48…
06-30 03:52:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0xcf0bbd…
06-29 18:33:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	870	99¢	$861	0x8c0f4e…
06-28 19:51:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x4d9543…
06-28 19:14:40	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	126	8¢	$10	0x138714…
06-28 19:14:32	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	SELL	200	38¢	$75	0x1f4a5b…
06-28 07:21:46	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x7f0f1e…
06-28 07:16:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	476	88¢	$419	0x602dc2…
06-28 07:04:32	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0xb1e6c4…
06-28 07:04:17	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5f5bc1…
06-28 05:51:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	290	64¢	$185	0xc788d6…
06-27 06:02:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x9d8599…
06-27 06:00:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xad3d76…
06-27 03:46:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	385	48¢	$185	0xa179cc…
06-26 16:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	431	93¢	$400	0xc1bcee…
06-26 16:18:23	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	145	22¢	$32	0xfd2eb8…
06-26 14:52:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	145	28¢	$40	0xb78526…
06-26 14:52:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	439	91¢	$400	0xf29b27…
06-26 11:56:11	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	239	92¢	$220	0xa0f881…
06-26 11:19:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	252	6¢	$15	0x045f38…
06-26 09:51:29	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	398	90¢	$358	0x626136…
06-26 09:34:46	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd96b36…
06-26 05:18:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x76c930…
06-26 05:15:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x0fe862…
06-26 05:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	528	91¢	$478	0x9caa05…
06-26 04:04:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x7e96a6…
06-26 03:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x2835f6…
06-26 02:57:20	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8176f6…
06-26 02:29:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	152	35¢	$53	0x46e806…
06-26 02:29:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x840cf6…
06-26 01:38:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9aaddc…
06-26 01:24:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xf99a9d…
06-26 01:24:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0d58c2…
06-26 01:15:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	190	89¢	$169	0x9e6db7…
06-25 17:50:43	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	183	20¢	$36	0xd40487…
06-25 09:31:47	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	183	22¢	$40	0xc94403…
06-25 06:30:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0xa14345…
06-24 20:44:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	532	75¢	$400	0xf6efc0…
06-24 05:06:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	252	14¢	$35	0x885a50…
06-24 05:06:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	325	61¢	$200	0x96a3e4…
06-23 06:36:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	476	84¢	$400	0x0de732…
06-22 08:30:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,736	99¢	$1,719	0x055f77…
06-22 08:27:02	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	513	99¢	$507	0x3051bb…
06-21 05:33:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,736	86¢	$1,500	0x65e634…
06-21 05:32:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,053	98¢	$1,028	0xd670ed…
06-19 18:19:29	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0x75e2a8…
06-19 17:57:35	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	381	99¢	$377	0xf69518…
06-19 05:55:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xbe4b7a…
06-10 18:03:51	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	897	100¢	$893	0xaa99b4…
06-10 17:39:42	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x189dfa…
06-10 17:24:01	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xce03c8…
06-09 19:46:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xcd8aad…
06-07 19:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x1154a1…
06-07 18:49:49	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0x5d2872…
06-07 18:35:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x0bf55d…
06-07 18:30:06	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	65¢	$162	0xb8ce8a…
06-07 18:29:36	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x053e72…
06-06 03:14:10	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	700	98¢	$688	0xa21c03…
06-04 17:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x0eead6…
06-04 17:22:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0x620e9e…
06-04 17:21:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	170	84¢	$143	0xcb6e3a…
06-03 19:27:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x959b5b…
06-02 17:22:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xfdb53d…
06-01 06:53:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	475	100¢	$474	0x71fa3f…
05-31 17:13:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0xd552a4…
05-31 08:08:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1c2628…
05-31 08:08:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9eecb3…
05-31 08:08:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x20e5cb…
05-31 08:08:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x4aa00b…
05-31 08:00:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd404b1…
05-31 07:13:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x214ac6…
05-31 05:14:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x19df9c…
05-30 14:17:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xf8427e…
05-30 13:24:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x167708…
05-29 19:27:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xc1f306…
05-29 15:42:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	175	86¢	$150	0xb6072c…
05-29 15:15:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	350	95¢	$332	0xd121f4…
05-29 14:27:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x05ca78…
05-29 14:23:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc6db35…
05-29 14:15:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x07b2e5…
05-29 13:54:29	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	285	77¢	$220	0x76c026…
05-29 03:46:07	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8e94b…
05-29 03:46:05	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	360	95¢	$342	0x0b5ea9…
05-28 04:57:11	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	290	82¢	$238	0x0e827f…
05-28 04:55:42	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x187820…