Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
40
Trades
69
lifetime
Volume
$1.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$344
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-14 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
76% 40% -$15
Other
20% 40% +$5
Sports
4% 0% -$50
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,573 -$77 3¢ $-102 -$25 11-04 23:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -80 -$71 92¢ $-74 -$2 11-04 23:27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,612 $50 3¢ $55 +$5 11-04 23:27
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +67 $50 74¢ $50 $0 11-04 23:29
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -22 -$15 79¢ $-18 -$2 11-04 23:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -21 -$16 70¢ $-15 +$1 11-04 23:26
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -15 -$12 95¢ $-14 -$2 11-04 23:26
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +15 $4 69¢ $10 +$6 11-14 16:17
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +112 $15 7¢ $8 -$7 11-14 00:04