Stable-Sweets — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

21.7%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-02 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

88% 25% $-2

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+24	$15	80¢	$19	+$4	06-01 07:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		-26	$-16	62¢	$-16	$-0	06-01 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	12	$686	900	100	+800	open	—	01-29 06:53
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	10	$659	1,071	300	+771	open	—	01-29 06:47
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	13	$604	507	333	+174	open	—	01-23 20:07
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	5	$440	503	0	+503	open	—	01-23 21:53
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	9	$436	394	394	+0	open	—	03-09 17:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	9	$391	378	378	+0	open	—	03-13 20:42
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	3	$203	107	107	+0	open	—	01-23 16:17
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$203	110	110	+0	open	—	01-23 16:18
gc hit 4900 high jan 2026 789 841 274 624	4	$201	112	102	+10	open	—	01-22 17:56
gc hit 4700 high jan 2026 398 168 413 627	4	$190	126	126	+0	open	—	01-21 05:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$189	371	264	+107	open	—	03-30 17:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$135	101	101	+0	open	—	04-21 19:51
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	6	$118	340	340	+0	open	—	03-15 08:17
si above 85 jan 2026	2	$113	77	77	+0	open	—	01-22 16:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$83	49	49	+0	open	—	05-01 14:30
gc settle 4600 4725 jan 2026	3	$81	150	150	+0	open	—	01-19 05:49
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$77	324	324	+0	open	—	03-18 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$74	65	65	+0	open	—	05-11 06:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$69	41	39	+2	open	—	05-28 07:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$60	214	214	+0	open	—	03-14 11:40
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	1	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	01-29 06:19
spx up or down on march 27 2026	3	$48	57	50	+7	open	—	03-27 11:08
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	03-15 12:43
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	3	$46	125	0	+125	open	—	01-29 15:46
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	2	$43	120	0	+120	open	—	01-30 17:09
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	6	$40	664	627	+37	open	—	03-23 11:43
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$39	100	89	+11	open	—	03-23 11:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 07:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-03 07:54
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	3	$32	300	0	+300	open	—	01-29 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 18:01:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xd846c5…
06-01 13:40:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xcb6c9c…
06-01 13:32:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xe84428…
06-01 07:29:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0x72274e…
06-01 07:23:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x9cf344…
05-28 07:39:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xf7a6cd…
05-28 07:32:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x6da9b9…
05-28 07:25:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xec7f3a…
05-28 07:21:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0xe3ac5d…
05-27 14:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xeb138c…
05-27 13:59:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x199c59…
05-27 13:57:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x19bbac…
05-25 03:28:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xc738c1…
05-21 18:17:37	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85f47f…
05-21 14:52:40	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x348bb0…
05-21 14:17:43	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7f93b…
05-21 10:53:47	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf96d2…
05-21 08:36:37	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbed9c7…
05-20 15:36:50	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4c4841…
05-20 15:35:59	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc4d6ce…
05-20 15:34:39	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef9d5c…
05-20 15:12:57	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xa86968…
05-20 15:11:36	nya up or down on may 20 2026	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0f1653…
05-20 03:33:48	nya up or down on may 20 2026	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3ed848…
05-19 20:00:19	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x1f5ded…
05-19 13:31:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x0bac62…
05-19 12:14:19	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x489d64…
05-19 09:31:57	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd723da…
05-19 08:49:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x8f8e26…
05-19 08:26:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0c5699…
05-19 08:24:08	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5b3d58…
05-19 08:07:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x52ce23…
05-18 13:39:59	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3fcdbe…
05-18 08:37:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xcda453…
05-15 15:49:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x4cf0ed…
05-15 15:44:41	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe7d10b…
05-15 13:04:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6ec6f1…
05-15 12:57:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x566a71…
05-15 10:03:21	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xa43d44…
05-15 04:32:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3f268e…
05-14 15:51:37	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xb18e7d…
05-14 14:52:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xdc4dc5…
05-14 14:11:24	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xa3aaa4…
05-14 13:32:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd57111…
05-14 06:32:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x40dc6b…
05-14 06:08:59	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x822df1…
05-14 03:22:28	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc20c41…
05-13 21:28:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x559859…
05-13 14:41:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x901f37…
05-13 13:47:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x292617…
05-13 13:36:44	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x742c27…
05-13 13:36:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf5d80b…
05-13 13:29:44	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x93ec6a…
05-13 13:27:43	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xae2813…
05-13 07:30:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x048113…
05-12 14:59:31	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf10ee1…
05-12 13:32:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4612cd…
05-12 13:28:05	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xa2c117…
05-12 09:04:33	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x59f1ef…
05-12 08:17:52	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0d36f8…
05-12 08:17:03	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8da61e…
05-11 06:15:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x055bbb…
05-05 18:08:36	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0x30e175…
05-05 05:05:20	Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa6ead6…
05-05 05:05:14	Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xa43f89…
05-01 14:30:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x3ed1b5…
04-24 12:00:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x661dc8…
04-24 11:21:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x71b2c7…
04-24 11:20:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc90e01…
04-21 19:51:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xbb5714…
04-21 09:55:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xbc3b5f…
04-18 20:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x699fdb…
04-16 18:15:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x1a9960…
04-16 16:43:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0xabaffd…
04-16 06:50:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	62¢	$38	0xe346fc…
04-07 23:10:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x2ba6d3…
04-07 23:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd9165f…
04-07 23:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x8adb2e…
04-03 07:54:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8eece1…
03-31 04:05:37	will ndx dip to 20100 in march	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x7d2fb7…
03-30 18:11:51	will ndx dip to 20250 in march	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3abde9…
03-30 17:53:13	will ndx dip to 20250 in march	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0xd25135…
03-30 17:42:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8407ac…
03-29 09:20:36	will ndx dip to 20250 in march	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf30d75…
03-29 08:19:14	will ndx dip to 20250 in march	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfd24fd…
03-27 11:08:03	spx up or down on march 27 2026	Up	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x6faea9…
03-27 09:54:39	spx up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	52	53¢	$27	0x4a9fa0…
03-27 09:53:55	spx up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x99f2cf…
03-26 20:07:45	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7f66f9…
03-24 14:30:35	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa36ba9…
03-23 21:24:45	will djia dip to 43200 in march 344 737 971	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x840346…
03-23 21:11:07	will djia reach 48300 in march 653 889	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf0c85d…
03-23 11:56:31	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x96fe17…
03-23 11:52:29	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xb9378c…
03-23 11:43:33	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	427	1¢	$5	0x343243…
03-23 11:42:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0xf03429…
03-23 11:41:15	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x4edf4c…
03-23 07:59:19	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x76afa2…
03-23 02:57:31	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x95e386…
03-22 01:00:35	will ndx dip to 20400 in march	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xda116e…