Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$428
Trades
38
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-12 21:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 2% YES on $372)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $127 | $126 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $231 | $231 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $80 | $80 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $51 | $51 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $105 | $104 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imaginary-Jicama 0xf8f6…85e9 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 09:04 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-12 19:46 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +80 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 09:04 |
| Humming-Paperwork 0x84ae…8341 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-12 19:46 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-12 21:38 |
| Stable-Sweets 0x035f…58dc | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 09:04 |
| Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-12 13:34 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 13:38 |
| Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 13:38 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 13:38 |
| Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 21:38:29 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x691e68… |
| 05-12 21:38:29 | Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x691e68… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x0eed79… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x0eed79… |
| 05-12 19:59:35 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xca265f… |
| 05-12 19:59:35 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca265f… |
| 05-12 19:59:35 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xca265f… |
| 05-12 19:59:35 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca265f… |
| 05-12 19:46:12 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefd466… |
| 05-12 19:46:12 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefd466… |
| 05-12 19:46:12 | Humming-Paperwork 0x84ae…8341 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xefd466… |
| 05-12 19:45:03 | Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb66f22… |
| 05-12 19:45:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb66f22… |
| 05-12 14:38:24 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9ce11… |
| 05-12 14:38:24 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9ce11… |
| 05-12 13:38:42 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bdfcc… |
| 05-12 13:38:42 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bdfcc… |
| 05-12 13:38:42 | Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bdfcc… |
| 05-12 13:38:42 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bdfcc… |
| 05-12 13:38:42 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bdfcc… |
| 05-12 13:34:05 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf437fe… |
| 05-12 13:34:05 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf437fe… |
| 05-12 13:28:22 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xdc1072… |
| 05-12 13:28:22 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xdc1072… |
| 05-12 13:28:17 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0a289a… |
| 05-12 13:28:17 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0a289a… |
| 05-12 12:28:19 | Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x0c85df… |
| 05-12 12:28:19 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0c85df… |
| 05-12 12:27:35 | Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb21adc… |
| 05-12 12:27:35 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb21adc… |
| 05-12 12:07:10 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x29f768… |
| 05-12 12:07:10 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x29f768… |
| 05-12 12:00:31 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45ee95… |
| 05-12 12:00:31 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x45ee95… |
| 05-12 09:04:33 | Imaginary-Jicama 0xf8f6…85e9 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x59f1ef… |
| 05-12 09:04:33 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x59f1ef… |
| 05-12 09:04:33 | Stable-Sweets 0x035f…58dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x59f1ef… |
| 05-12 09:04:33 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x59f1ef… |