Hungry-Saddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$53.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

91% 82% +$1

Politics

7% 94% +$20

Crypto

1% 88% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6	$3	15¢	$1	-$2	05-21 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	110	$43.7K	22,082	22,970	-888	No	-$17	03-19 15:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	7	$706	831	199	+632	No	+$3	06-12 12:05
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	8	$653	366	366	+0	No	+$9	07-10 12:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$444	888	0	+888	No	$0	05-25 04:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$396	800	0	+800	No	+$4	05-25 04:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	05-24 06:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$382	192	192	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:26
trump out as president by march 31	4	$349	178	178	+0	No	+$1	03-14 13:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$343	175	175	+0	No	+$2	05-13 02:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$342	172	172	+0	No	+$1	04-25 17:39
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$342	173	173	+0	No	+$2	05-02 05:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$340	174	174	+0	No	+$1	04-19 11:33
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$337	170	170	+0	No	+$1	04-21 06:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$333	169	169	+0	No	+$0	04-13 10:36
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	2	$318	160	160	+0	No	+$1	06-18 13:29
will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	3	$291	147	147	+0	No	+$2	04-09 05:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$228	119	119	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 01:05
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$200	101	100	+1	No	+$1	03-24 13:14
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$197	199	0	+199	No	+$2	05-13 02:14
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$189	99	99	+0	Yes	+$2	02-12 03:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$185	93	93	+0	No	+$0	01-09 17:11
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$173	87	87	+0	No	+$1	03-27 15:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$171	89	82	+6	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	1	$162	171	0	+171	Yes	+$9	06-18 13:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$160	160	0	+160	Yes	+$0	04-08 14:11
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$148	78	71	+7	Yes	+$0	03-09 13:12
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	3	$126	68	68	+0	No	+$1	03-16 11:08
highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	03-24 13:15
Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	7	$100	265	200	+65	Yes	$0	05-25 09:00
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	4	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	01-13 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 06:30:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x8b9342…
07-18 10:09:49	Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4445b7…
07-10 12:13:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xb1f567…
07-08 08:32:52	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	195	84¢	$165	0xbd9b45…
07-06 09:31:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9c0d0a…
06-29 11:32:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x91bbc0…
06-29 11:32:20	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xeccafe…
06-29 11:32:20	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x1497c3…
06-28 14:12:34	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd0c8d1…
06-27 00:53:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$137	0xbb674d…
06-25 05:38:19	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0aac02…
06-18 13:33:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	171	95¢	$162	0x2fd36b…
06-18 13:29:53	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x0860c4…
06-12 17:45:09	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0xf51bf8…
06-12 12:05:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xe5013b…
06-06 21:29:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x33fd4d…
06-06 03:59:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$2	0xe368b9…
06-05 16:43:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x3c249e…
06-04 03:12:10	will dan stroud advance from the ca 05 primary election	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x512b30…
06-01 03:56:00	Will Dan Stroud advance from the CA-05 primary election?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x6c9fdd…
06-01 03:55:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0384c4…
05-27 11:55:32	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x042bcd…
05-27 11:55:04	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6f68a6…
05-27 11:54:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10f76c…
05-27 11:53:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22f864…
05-27 11:52:11	Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xefdea0…
05-27 11:51:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb296e3…
05-27 11:51:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c2fff…
05-27 11:50:41	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8946…
05-27 11:50:10	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07899e…
05-27 11:49:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc0669…
05-25 09:05:35	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4f19e2…
05-25 09:02:39	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe87ff0…
05-25 09:00:50	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb4b320…
05-25 09:00:50	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ef1f5…
05-25 08:57:36	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1c1930…
05-25 08:46:29	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7c1230…
05-25 08:34:42	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7f8de9…
05-25 08:33:32	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x031266…
05-25 08:33:16	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xf607ce…
05-25 08:29:48	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x11b186…
05-25 08:21:24	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x08d2f2…
05-25 08:19:43	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x056da9…
05-25 08:19:18	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb8f978…
05-25 08:12:15	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0f52e0…
05-25 08:11:40	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x27ab19…
05-25 08:11:06	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc88871…
05-25 08:10:28	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb324ab…
05-25 08:10:26	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x16aa88…
05-25 08:08:39	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe82a1d…
05-25 08:08:03	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x12130d…
05-25 08:06:54	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xee2d0d…
05-25 08:06:00	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2bead6…
05-25 08:05:41	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x864ea0…
05-25 07:09:30	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd26be1…
05-25 07:09:20	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x67f21d…
05-25 07:08:33	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf137d0…
05-25 06:17:23	Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper	Hooper	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x52e7c4…
05-25 05:48:55	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdf7434…
05-25 05:45:55	Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper	Hooper	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1f3e77…
05-25 05:43:40	Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper	Hooper	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x139b2b…
05-25 04:52:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0x2bea3a…
05-25 04:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	144	75¢	$108	0x601d55…
05-25 04:49:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x927fcc…
05-25 04:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x26fec5…
05-25 04:13:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0x8f8335…
05-25 03:59:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	23¢	$26	0x98ac63…
05-25 03:59:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xea3150…
05-25 03:59:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0xacadb1…
05-25 03:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x6b3175…
05-25 03:38:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xc576be…
05-25 03:34:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x58b717…
05-24 06:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x5f891e…
05-23 01:41:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x84fbde…
05-21 03:07:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$186	0xb24f8b…
05-21 02:37:45	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaa0f1b…
05-21 02:21:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x050ab1…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x1d346d…
05-15 02:57:01	Will Trump Leave China on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x302794…
05-13 02:14:24	Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0xa6f9f3…
05-13 02:13:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x59642c…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0xb089bf…
05-10 04:02:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa81ad3…
05-09 02:00:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5c0b29…
05-02 05:28:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$172	0x4e70a8…
04-30 15:38:44	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x464ca8…
04-25 17:39:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xbef3dd…
04-25 17:38:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x669604…
04-23 18:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0x4a3b96…
04-21 06:07:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0xf24739…
04-20 04:47:10	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x4e8ed0…
04-19 11:33:38	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	174	98¢	$170	0xcecd30…
04-19 03:25:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0xcb2aaf…
04-17 02:29:02	will mark rutte say percent 3 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x90c390…
04-17 02:28:44	will mark rutte say immigration during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x554321…
04-17 02:28:32	will mark rutte say oil or gas or gasoline during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb4ecae…
04-17 02:28:12	will mark rutte say europe during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x90120c…
04-13 10:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x1b4a29…
04-12 02:57:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x648be4…
04-09 05:58:41	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x803c92…