Hungry-Saddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$51.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

$316

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$2

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+316	$311	100¢	$314	+$3	06-06 21:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+316	$3	0¢	$2	$-1	06-12 12:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	110	$43.7K	22,082	22,970	-888	open	—	03-19 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$444	888	0	+888	open	—	05-25 04:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 06:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$382	192	192	+0	open	—	02-13 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$350	600	0	+600	open	—	05-25 04:52
trump out as president by march 31	4	$349	178	178	+0	open	—	03-14 13:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$343	175	175	+0	open	—	05-13 02:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$342	172	172	+0	open	—	04-25 17:39
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$342	173	173	+0	open	—	05-02 05:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$340	174	174	+0	open	—	04-19 11:33
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$337	170	170	+0	open	—	04-21 06:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$333	169	169	+0	open	—	04-13 10:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	4	$314	632	0	+632	open	—	06-12 12:05
will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	3	$291	147	147	+0	open	—	04-09 05:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$228	119	119	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 01:05
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$200	101	100	+1	open	—	03-24 13:14
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$189	99	99	+0	open	—	02-12 03:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$185	93	93	+0	open	—	01-09 17:11
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	03-27 15:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$171	89	82	+6	open	—	03-13 13:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	04-08 14:11
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	1	$159	160	0	+160	open	—	06-12 17:45
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$148	78	71	+7	open	—	03-09 13:12
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	3	$126	68	68	+0	open	—	03-16 11:08
highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	1	$108	108	0	+108	open	—	03-24 13:15
Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	6	$100	165	200	-35	open	—	05-25 09:00
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	4	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	01-13 13:17
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	01-24 07:31
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	04-07 12:40
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$82	82	0	+82	open	—	03-09 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:45:09	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0xf51bf8…
06-12 12:05:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xe5013b…
06-06 21:29:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x33fd4d…
06-06 03:59:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$2	0xe368b9…
06-05 16:43:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x3c249e…
06-04 03:12:10	will dan stroud advance from the ca 05 primary election	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x512b30…
06-01 03:56:00	Will Dan Stroud advance from the CA-05 primary election?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x6c9fdd…
06-01 03:55:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0384c4…
05-27 11:51:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c2fff…
05-27 11:50:41	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8946…
05-27 11:50:10	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07899e…
05-25 09:05:35	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4f19e2…
05-25 09:02:39	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe87ff0…
05-25 09:00:50	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb4b320…
05-25 09:00:50	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ef1f5…
05-25 08:57:36	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1c1930…
05-25 08:46:29	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7c1230…
05-25 08:34:42	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7f8de9…
05-25 08:33:32	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x031266…
05-25 08:33:16	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xf607ce…
05-25 08:29:48	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x11b186…
05-25 08:21:24	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x08d2f2…
05-25 08:19:43	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x056da9…
05-25 08:19:18	Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb8f978…
05-25 08:12:15	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0f52e0…
05-25 08:11:40	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x27ab19…
05-25 08:11:06	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc88871…
05-25 08:10:28	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb324ab…
05-25 08:10:26	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x16aa88…
05-25 08:08:39	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe82a1d…
05-25 08:08:03	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x12130d…
05-25 08:06:54	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xee2d0d…
05-25 08:06:00	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2bead6…
05-25 08:05:41	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x864ea0…
05-25 06:17:23	Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper	Hooper	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x52e7c4…
05-25 05:48:55	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdf7434…
05-25 05:45:55	Enhanced Games Deadlift H2H: Hafthor Bjornsson vs. Mitchell Hooper	Hooper	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1f3e77…
05-25 04:52:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0x2bea3a…
05-25 04:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	144	75¢	$108	0x601d55…
05-25 04:49:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x927fcc…
05-25 04:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x26fec5…
05-25 04:13:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0x8f8335…
05-25 03:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x6b3175…
05-25 03:38:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xc576be…
05-25 03:34:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x58b717…
05-24 06:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x5f891e…
05-23 01:41:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x84fbde…
05-13 02:13:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x59642c…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0xb089bf…
05-10 04:02:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa81ad3…
05-09 02:00:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5c0b29…
05-02 05:28:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$172	0x4e70a8…
04-30 15:38:44	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x464ca8…
04-25 17:39:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xbef3dd…
04-25 17:38:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x669604…
04-23 18:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0x4a3b96…
04-21 06:07:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0xf24739…
04-20 04:47:10	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x4e8ed0…
04-19 11:33:38	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	174	98¢	$170	0xcecd30…
04-19 03:25:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0xcb2aaf…
04-17 02:29:02	will mark rutte say percent 3 times during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x90c390…
04-17 02:28:44	will mark rutte say immigration during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x554321…
04-17 02:28:32	will mark rutte say oil or gas or gasoline during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb4ecae…
04-17 02:28:12	will mark rutte say europe during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x90120c…
04-13 10:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x1b4a29…
04-12 02:57:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$166	0x648be4…
04-09 05:58:41	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x803c92…
04-09 05:58:23	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x75f177…
04-09 05:44:23	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4bfa0d…
04-09 03:34:31	will jd vance say biden 5 times during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe12474…
04-09 03:33:59	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	147	99¢	$145	0xa60e72…
04-08 14:11:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x2f44ad…
04-08 01:05:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0xf321bb…
04-07 12:40:51	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x7b956a…
04-06 03:49:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x8f5b58…
03-29 15:33:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x1b11e6…
03-29 13:20:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x736bf0…
03-27 21:56:11	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaa1110…
03-27 15:27:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xb7d5aa…
03-27 14:05:17	will trump meet with putin by march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8756a7…
03-27 14:04:51	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeb0026…
03-25 06:47:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xd65f0e…
03-25 06:07:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa6d2fe…
03-25 06:06:35	will brazil join the board of peace	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf1f3d9…
03-25 06:05:51	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x876004…
03-24 13:16:17	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd40f93…
03-24 13:15:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa53da5…
03-24 13:15:25	highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xb65610…
03-24 13:14:27	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbe50ea…
03-22 06:36:41	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x062b7c…
03-22 04:17:17	will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b2403…
03-22 04:16:57	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1f5906…
03-22 04:16:29	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaa5d59…
03-22 04:15:23	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 21	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x32ace2…
03-19 15:05:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,600	97¢	$1,549	0x7e4d77…
03-19 14:50:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,600	97¢	$1,547	0x34a857…
03-19 14:44:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,600	97¢	$1,549	0x4b9db5…
03-19 14:39:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,600	97¢	$1,547	0x5b144d…
03-19 13:34:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,600	96¢	$1,544	0x60b862…
03-19 13:33:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,090	96¢	$1,050	0xebc0d0…