Deserted-Suggestion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$105

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-22 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

34% 100% +$2

Other

28% — —

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

8% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 14:06
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-31 12:18
btc updown 5m 1773249600	3	$4	3	2	+2	open	—	03-11 17:24
btc updown 5m 1773249900	3	$3	4	2	+3	open	—	03-11 17:28
will jensen huang say openai at the nvidia gtc keynote	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-11 11:50
btc updown 5m 1773250500	2	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	03-11 17:36
btc updown 5m 1773242700	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 15:27
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 14:38
btc updown 5m 1773250800	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	03-11 17:41
btc updown 5m 1773243600	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 15:41
btc updown 5m 1773249300	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	03-11 17:18
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 14:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 00:52
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	03-24 21:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	03-24 21:24
Will Warsh say "Federal Reserve" 5+ times during swearing-in?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-22 12:09
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 12:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 13:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	03-24 21:30
will greenland be said at the oscars	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 20:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-15 18:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	146	0	+146	open	—	04-02 23:39
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$-0	03-24 21:25
will ukraine be said at the oscars	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 23:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-03 12:09
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	2	$1	9	9	+0	open	—	03-28 16:17
will trump say stupid idiot during the easter lunch on wednesday	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-01 12:26
Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$1	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 12:05
will trump say trump 5 times during ohio visit	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	03-11 19:25
will trump say peace in the middle east during the easter lunch on wednesday	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-01 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 12:09:24	Will Warsh say "Federal Reserve" 5+ times during swearing-in?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1ba05d…
04-28 14:06:14	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8099d3…
04-26 13:27:08	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x81450e…
04-26 13:24:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaf0129…
04-26 13:23:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2b89e6…
04-23 12:05:30	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xffae5f…
04-23 12:02:58	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9dd505…
04-17 12:07:06	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x14211d…
04-15 18:53:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb031ea…
04-07 11:10:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x86c5c7…
04-07 11:10:03	will trump attend ufc 327	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1df2f8…
04-03 12:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1652c0…
04-02 23:39:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc127ea…
04-02 10:51:35	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31ff4f…
04-02 10:51:25	will trump say construction during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x508a1e…
04-02 10:48:01	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2dd5bf…
04-01 12:26:35	will trump say stupid idiot during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xae680c…
04-01 12:26:23	will trump say military during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0683c6…
04-01 12:26:11	will trump say peace in the middle east during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x244c81…
04-01 12:25:41	will trump say iran during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xac4222…
04-01 12:25:37	will trump say war during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x58f3c7…
04-01 12:25:27	will trump say peace during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x986b73…
04-01 12:25:01	will trump say god 7 times during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x43bbab…
04-01 08:58:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4063f5…
03-31 12:18:19	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x928b73…
03-28 23:51:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x68da51…
03-28 16:17:09	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x79ceb7…
03-24 21:36:21	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6f5fcb…
03-24 21:30:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x597530…
03-24 21:25:27	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xd482b6…
03-24 21:25:11	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x468926…
03-24 21:24:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x1393b5…
03-17 14:38:11	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xf91489…
03-15 01:35:57	will trump say ufc this week march 22	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfb7ee2…
03-15 01:35:23	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 22	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8693c6…
03-14 12:01:01	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xca9800…
03-14 00:52:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfdd900…
03-13 23:57:09	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xde3011…
03-13 22:54:13	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x29ffc1…
03-13 14:52:01	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x143ad5…
03-13 14:51:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf74698…
03-13 14:51:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfda890…
03-13 14:00:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x48ff8e…
03-11 19:25:37	will trump say trump 5 times during ohio visit	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xac6ade…
03-11 19:24:41	will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f59be…
03-11 19:23:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0c853a…
03-11 17:46:35	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x858d73…
03-11 17:41:37	btc updown 5m 1773250800	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xd8488a…
03-11 17:40:21	btc updown 5m 1773250800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x20c1e0…
03-11 17:36:47	btc updown 5m 1773250500	Up	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xfda032…
03-11 17:35:19	btc updown 5m 1773250500	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb75e32…
03-11 17:31:51	btc updown 5m 1773250200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e98bf…
03-11 17:28:53	btc updown 5m 1773249900	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd71970…
03-11 17:27:19	btc updown 5m 1773249900	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x0cf37f…
03-11 17:25:15	btc updown 5m 1773249900	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x03e813…
03-11 17:24:55	btc updown 5m 1773249600	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfce4ad…
03-11 17:22:53	btc updown 5m 1773249600	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3aa7e5…
03-11 17:20:13	btc updown 5m 1773249600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x93e110…
03-11 17:18:07	btc updown 5m 1773249300	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3577d4…
03-11 17:15:51	btc updown 5m 1773249300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe251eb…
03-11 15:41:35	btc updown 5m 1773243600	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x78de4b…
03-11 15:40:17	btc updown 5m 1773243600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x896563…
03-11 15:35:21	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2f9a57…
03-11 15:27:21	btc updown 5m 1773242700	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x58d5d2…
03-11 15:25:13	btc updown 5m 1773242700	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x072a80…
03-11 12:31:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x143ed4…
03-11 11:50:47	will jensen huang say openai at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfa80e4…
03-11 01:29:49	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4958cd…
03-10 20:25:55	will trump say low energy in march	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xda264c…
03-10 20:25:37	will trump say hottest nation in march	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9cb76d…
03-10 20:25:03	will jensen huang say deep learning at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xac20d1…
03-10 20:24:49	will jensen huang say anthropic at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9675ac…
03-10 20:24:37	will jensen huang say openai at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x264299…
03-10 20:23:39	will middle east be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd5d716…
03-10 20:23:05	will greenland be said at the oscars	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbaf19d…
03-10 20:22:21	will ukraine be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1b43d3…
03-10 20:17:03	will starmer say khamenei during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x427ab3…
03-10 20:15:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa42ae2…
03-10 15:49:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd141c5…
03-10 15:40:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x91e80a…
03-10 15:38:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcef084…
03-10 15:37:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9db56a…