Definitive-Tomato — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$157

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

113

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$960

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-15 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

86% 98% +$122

Politics

7% 100% +$18

Crypto

7% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	+200	$193	97¢	$194	+$0	10-08 03:52
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	+162	$161	100¢	$162	+$1	10-08 07:06
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$1	10-08 06:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$97	98¢	$98	+$1	10-08 03:43
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+100	$95	97¢	$97	+$1	10-08 07:08
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+95	$92	98¢	$93	+$2	10-08 07:09
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-125	-$76	66¢	$-82	-$6	05-07 10:11
will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	+65	$64	100¢	$65	+$1	09-29 07:49
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	+$0	10-08 07:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+30	$28	100¢	$30	+$1	10-08 06:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	17	$1.7K	1,012	759	+253	Yes	+$13	06-01 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31?	2	$1.1K	565	565	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:02
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 14?	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	No	+$5	05-13 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 10?	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$2	05-09 07:54
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 12?	2	$732	734	0	+734	Yes	+$2	05-12 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 26?	3	$624	630	0	+630	No	+$7	05-26 13:03
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 18?	1	$621	621	0	+621	No	+$1	07-18 12:16
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on May 29?	1	$506	507	0	+507	No	+$1	05-29 10:38
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?	2	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-16 03:08
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?	2	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-16 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	1	$420	422	0	+422	Yes	+$1	05-27 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 26?	1	$418	427	0	+427	No	+$9	05-25 10:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 36corhigher	1	$402	402	0	+402	No	+$0	04-21 22:57
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 22corhigher	1	$401	402	0	+402	No	+$0	04-21 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 29?	1	$400	402	0	+402	No	+$2	04-29 09:27
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	1	$379	380	0	+380	No	+$1	05-11 07:46
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 11?	1	$364	365	0	+365	No	+$1	05-11 07:41
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	4	$346	284	84	+200	Yes	+$16	09-16 12:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	3	$342	346	0	+346	No	+$4	09-26 08:55
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026?	1	$332	333	0	+333	No	+$1	09-26 03:47
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$332	332	0	+332	No	+$0	01-29 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 26?	1	$317	319	0	+319	No	+$2	05-25 10:24
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?	2	$312	320	0	+320	No	+$8	06-01 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?	3	$302	309	0	+309	No	+$6	06-14 09:08
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	1	$297	302	0	+302	No	+$5	01-21 09:46
will donald trump visit venezuela by march 31 2026	2	$274	138	138	+0	No	+$1	03-25 21:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	3	$253	130	130	+0	open	—	10-15 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	07-18 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?	2	$228	230	0	+230	No	+$2	06-14 08:40
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	1	$220	230	0	+230	No	+$10	04-02 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 02:29:20	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0xfb25af…
10-08 07:09:31	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$92	0xeb6f4f…
10-08 07:08:44	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe73d4d…
10-08 07:06:34	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x52e57d…
10-08 07:03:25	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x086a84…
10-08 06:56:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0e261a…
10-08 06:51:41	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcc8597…
10-08 06:50:46	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8c9118…
10-08 03:58:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xaaeca7…
10-08 03:55:46	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5b1fe8…
10-08 03:52:04	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xa1dc78…
10-08 03:44:56	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x98c7f8…
10-08 03:43:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc39524…
10-08 03:43:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x8911df…
09-29 07:49:14	will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5ccb12…
09-26 08:58:15	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3cc3d5…
09-26 08:55:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xeadacc…
09-26 03:56:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in September?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2d82fa…
09-26 03:55:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x456db8…
09-26 03:53:29	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in september	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1a09be…
09-26 03:49:47	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x6d3368…
09-26 03:47:48	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x21efee…
09-21 10:14:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x606c4f…
09-21 10:10:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5291ea…
09-16 12:34:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xe3ba4c…
09-15 20:04:34	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf3b82a…
09-15 12:34:40	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0x8e6d0d…
09-04 13:29:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x18d291…
09-04 13:29:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x650995…
09-03 16:51:46	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3e859b…
08-25 02:52:01	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6da5c2…
08-25 02:49:06	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 25?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x5769fc…
08-25 02:44:31	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xe804f1…
08-25 02:39:27	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x80219f…
08-25 02:35:16	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6ee6b2…
08-25 02:33:04	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x571f84…
08-25 02:30:33	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on August 25?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0x504a49…
08-25 02:30:18	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x03550f…
08-25 02:29:07	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xfdef5c…
08-24 13:55:46	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x15a467…
08-24 11:44:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xbd6135…
08-24 11:41:00	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec8167…
08-24 11:40:07	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9b1170…
08-24 11:36:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xebaa44…
08-24 11:26:58	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcfb62f…
08-07 08:17:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xed79c5…
08-07 08:13:04	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x92a411…
07-18 12:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xbbd84f…
07-18 12:56:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9243ac…
07-18 12:44:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x2bd506…
07-18 12:16:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	621	100¢	$621	0x82426c…
07-18 11:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x7fdff5…
07-18 10:14:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x091198…
07-18 10:08:10	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf50e8f…
06-14 09:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x49fb4e…
06-14 09:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x78999e…
06-14 09:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xda6e00…
06-14 09:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x099909…
06-14 08:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 14?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x029a45…
06-14 08:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x31cd0f…
06-14 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x219704…
06-14 08:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x0b2ff9…
06-14 08:31:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	203	97¢	$196	0x189950…
06-01 02:08:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?	No	BUY	257	99¢	$254	0xeb10af…
06-01 01:45:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 1?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x59193b…
06-01 00:29:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	263	98¢	$257	0x933b33…
06-01 00:08:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	205	98¢	$201	0x0c286b…
05-31 23:26:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x2ddac8…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xbf1ad7…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x91103a…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8f3f22…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x847d2a…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x736bc2…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x725325…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x660fc9…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x61bbf5…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2a050c…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x09fbf3…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x06c137…
05-31 22:19:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x108289…
05-31 22:02:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	578	98¢	$566	0xbfcbe4…
05-31 22:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	565	100¢	$564	0x05249a…
05-31 22:01:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	434	96¢	$418	0xa68079…
05-31 03:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$563	0x949da4…
05-30 13:30:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x73f6d8…
05-30 13:29:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	86¢	$46	0xbb5014…
05-29 10:38:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0xfabcc7…
05-29 10:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4802f9…
05-29 10:30:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd9c5a3…
05-29 10:29:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0xc898b7…
05-29 10:29:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb51886…
05-29 10:29:14	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 30?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x92f2ee…
05-29 01:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x782d8c…
05-29 00:49:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 29?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x00a99b…
05-27 09:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x601077…
05-27 09:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x05294e…
05-27 09:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	44	83¢	$37	0x60f03e…
05-27 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?	No	BUY	92	84¢	$77	0xebb484…
05-27 08:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	422	100¢	$420	0x8efb66…
05-27 08:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 27?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x64c41e…