Snoopy-Estrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

+$681

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

252

Trades

1,510

lifetime

Volume

$210.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$5.87K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-30 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Politics

60% 84% -$2,317

Other

31% 72% +$459

Tech

5% 100% +$1,223

Crypto

3% 69% +$368

Sports

1% 86% -$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+1,468	$1,089	74¢	$1.1K	-$2	10-30 11:14
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,222	$704	86¢	$1.1K	+$347	10-27 23:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+1,100	$764	92¢	$1.0K	+$242	07-28 23:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+660	$616	99¢	$655	+$40	10-30 17:00
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	+500	$384	91¢	$455	+$71	09-10 19:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	+500	$465	90¢	$452	-$12	10-30 16:51
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,000	$458	41¢	$412	-$46	10-24 18:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+300	$273	94¢	$284	+$10	10-08 05:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$186	100¢	$200	+$13	10-30 18:27
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+100	$90	90¢	$90	+$0	10-22 19:44
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+90	$54	99¢	$89	+$35	10-10 13:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+74	$50	70¢	$52	+$2	10-24 14:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	98¢	$20	+$2	07-13 09:38
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$0	09-05 09:55
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+25	$9	34¢	$9	-$1	10-24 17:08
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+50	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	09-29 18:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$19.2K	11,232	11,232	+0	Yes	+$2,586	04-21 20:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	23	$16.7K	8,387	8,387	+0	Yes	+$68	01-18 21:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	39	$13.6K	7,931	7,931	+0	No	+$1,295	03-22 16:14
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	17	$12.5K	7,026	7,026	+0	Up	-$594	03-23 13:30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	12	$11.2K	10,012	10,012	+0	Yes	-$5,159	04-09 18:51
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	5	$7.2K	7,380	0	+7,380	No	+$192	02-09 20:30
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$6.4K	6,459	0	+6,459	No	+$19	02-15 18:43
another us government shutdown by february 14	29	$6.4K	6,558	100	+6,458	No	+$89	02-15 04:20
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$6.3K	6,373	0	+6,373	No	+$25	02-16 21:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	14	$5.4K	5,660	0	+5,660	No	+$232	06-17 19:31
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	114	$5.1K	8,316	50	+8,266	Yes	+$3,275	02-05 05:24
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	34	$4.5K	2,354	2,454	-100	No	+$336	03-24 22:24
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	17	$4.3K	2,607	2,607	+0	Yes	+$510	03-22 17:05
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	7	$3.8K	3,899	0	+3,899	England	+$90	07-18 22:56
nothing ever happens january 581	28	$3.1K	3,961	0	+3,961	No	-$3,102	01-23 19:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$69	07-31 13:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$154	03-12 01:40
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,940	0	+2,940	No	+$122	05-14 19:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$2.8K	4,980	0	+4,980	Yes	-$2,761	02-28 10:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$2.7K	2,300	1,100	+1,200	Yes	-$150	07-17 16:18
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	19	$2.2K	1,611	1,111	+500	No	+$60	04-23 17:41
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	9	$2.2K	2,851	0	+2,851	No	+$620	09-29 14:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$2.2K	1,611	1,611	+0	Yes	+$144	04-04 13:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.0K	2,304	0	+2,304	Yes	+$278	10-25 23:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.9K	1,290	1,290	+0	No	+$27	05-23 20:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$1.7K	1,741	0	+1,741	No	+$83	02-27 07:42
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	19	$1.6K	1,922	0	+1,922	Yes	+$317	04-01 21:08
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	12	$1.5K	1,410	500	+910	Yes	+$242	10-04 22:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	11	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	09-20 13:14
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	32	$1.5K	1,718	250	+1,468	open	—	10-30 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:07:13	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x770578…
10-30 19:42:15	Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x01ea83…
10-30 18:51:54	Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0caf38…
10-30 18:27:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x4753bd…
10-30 18:27:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x4234c0…
10-30 17:00:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x574f0d…
10-30 16:51:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x6446d7…
10-30 16:14:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x429fb5…
10-30 15:55:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x5518bf…
10-30 11:14:33	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa19031…
10-30 11:14:31	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xc26149…
10-30 08:12:54	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xf51136…
10-30 06:34:18	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe0912b…
10-29 22:25:06	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0xea3cb8…
10-29 20:34:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x9882b5…
10-29 08:51:11	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xea9a78…
10-29 08:51:11	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0xea9a78…
10-28 19:21:56	Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x95fa09…
10-28 19:04:32	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa81450…
10-28 16:55:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	95¢	$762	0xf3f51b…
10-28 10:47:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x974c6f…
10-28 08:02:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	222	49¢	$109	0x29eac6…
10-27 23:01:41	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd385bb…
10-27 22:55:30	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	399	80¢	$320	0xc5b428…
10-27 22:30:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	222	62¢	$138	0xd5fc90…
10-27 20:29:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x713af7…
10-27 20:05:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8fefe6…
10-27 13:57:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	90	35¢	$31	0x600a98…
10-27 13:56:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x253cc9…
10-27 13:12:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x769190…
10-27 11:15:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	160	40¢	$65	0x9d7778…
10-27 11:07:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd2cb92…
10-27 11:07:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x79a412…
10-27 11:06:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc7ead2…
10-27 11:06:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x9cdb3b…
10-27 11:06:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x68e28f…
10-27 11:06:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcbffe3…
10-27 11:06:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc8d3fd…
10-27 11:06:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x22fce9…
10-27 10:53:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x9d7d3c…
10-25 23:31:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	535	94¢	$502	0xfc2cbf…
10-25 23:31:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	965	94¢	$905	0x5516eb…
10-25 22:43:54	Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x7faea3…
10-25 22:26:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	804	77¢	$619	0x962a9d…
10-25 22:24:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	550	23¢	$126	0x4601e0…
10-24 18:46:35	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	177	46¢	$81	0x11117f…
10-24 17:08:30	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x887f59…
10-24 15:42:56	Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xadd928…
10-24 14:25:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xadb400…
10-24 07:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a4fee…
10-24 07:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x3e0a26…
10-24 07:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x81a427…
10-24 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3bd1a9…
10-24 07:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xfb6089…
10-24 07:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb600c3…
10-24 07:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa03cb5…
10-24 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x1c20e7…
10-24 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0xf78bcd…
10-23 15:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd416b0…
10-23 15:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc9ba9f…
10-23 08:40:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x5bd875…
10-22 19:44:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x13b92b…
10-22 19:36:44	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x517c19…
10-22 19:36:41	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa1afca…
10-22 19:36:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd5b557…
10-22 19:36:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x69c710…
10-22 19:36:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x323f8d…
10-20 17:34:36	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	823	46¢	$377	0x76a0f0…
10-19 21:07:51	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7dfb62…
10-19 21:05:06	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x152f52…
10-19 21:04:54	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	67	32¢	$21	0xf49ae9…
10-19 21:03:12	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	202	68¢	$137	0xa00429…
10-19 20:58:23	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	259	68¢	$176	0xab4ae1…
10-18 23:56:57	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa1c37b…
10-18 12:49:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0xd6dc09…
10-16 18:15:08	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	69¢	$213	0x2be2e0…
10-16 17:21:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x1ada25…
10-16 14:00:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	108	76¢	$83	0x638114…
10-16 14:00:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	142	76¢	$108	0x0fa97a…
10-15 01:03:16	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0xbad4bd…
10-15 00:52:32	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0xae59a9…
10-14 13:49:18	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	63	72¢	$45	0x99e25c…
10-13 05:25:17	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x492e05…
10-11 17:55:43	Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfe2a0c…
10-10 13:56:40	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd3fc7b…
10-10 11:33:10	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf54853…
10-10 11:33:10	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xc0877a…
10-10 11:33:10	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x427ed7…
10-10 11:33:10	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	77¢	$112	0x1ac507…
10-09 08:51:58	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd82c69…
10-09 02:50:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	800	88¢	$704	0xe2b2de…
10-09 00:24:05	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$9	0xf3f06b…
10-09 00:05:24	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xf53cfe…
10-08 21:22:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x64dc62…
10-08 19:40:05	Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd06d5e…
10-08 19:40:05	Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x86db1a…
10-08 15:48:26	Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb12865…
10-08 07:02:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x028096…
10-08 05:45:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x75a25e…
10-07 19:58:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x204b0b…