Average-Fedelini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-08 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1776441600	4	$66	80	78	+2	open	—	04-17 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7PM ET	2	$59	41	40	+2	open	—	04-27 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	2	$57	38	37	+1	open	—	04-28 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	2	$56	38	38	+0	open	—	05-01 18:52
btc updown 4h 1776340800	2	$47	80	77	+3	open	—	04-16 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	05-23 20:00
btc updown 4h 1775750400	2	$31	21	20	+1	open	—	04-09 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$30	35	35	+0	open	—	06-01 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-24 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9AM ET	2	$28	19	18	+1	open	—	04-27 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+1	open	—	04-27 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	2	$25	20	19	+1	open	—	04-25 14:51
btc updown 4h 1776484800	2	$24	40	38	+1	open	—	04-18 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$21	41	0	+41	open	—	04-25 20:04
btc updown 4h 1776240000	2	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	04-15 08:00
btc updown 4h 1775851200	3	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	04-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$21	39	0	+39	Down	$-21	05-11 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1PM ET	1	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	04-29 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	1	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	04-27 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-26 12:00
btc updown 4h 1776427200	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-17 12:00
btc updown 4h 1776297600	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-16 00:00
btc updown 4h 1776816000	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-22 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-23 12:00
btc updown 4h 1776686400	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-20 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-27 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x18385e…
06-07 16:00:24	btc updown 4h 1780848000	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe16c56…
06-07 12:00:27	btc updown 4h 1780833600	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf6cc9d…
06-07 08:00:27	btc updown 4h 1780819200	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x014975…
06-07 04:00:22	btc updown 4h 1780804800	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x88fada…
06-06 20:00:19	btc updown 4h 1780776000	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x501546…
06-06 16:00:21	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb6ef1b…
06-01 11:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x2c3ab5…
06-01 08:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x1f4e7d…
06-01 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xd3baae…
05-31 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8bf2c9…
05-31 08:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x450f74…
05-31 00:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x339f4c…
05-30 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc79f79…
05-30 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x065d0a…
05-30 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xfffcff…
05-30 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07f55b…
05-29 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6fdd7e…
05-29 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb22d80…
05-29 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef6a05…
05-28 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4bb8cd…
05-27 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x741352…
05-27 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc57efa…
05-27 08:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa537db…
05-26 20:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc38f39…
05-26 20:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xcce59f…
05-26 20:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb56643…
05-26 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xa19642…
05-26 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xff56d5…
05-26 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3fb741…
05-26 00:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf5f099…
05-25 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x744478…
05-25 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xe75d62…
05-25 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x3f6bf8…
05-25 08:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2bc65e…
05-25 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x70782a…
05-25 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17d264…
05-24 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc354d5…
05-24 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xa12f2b…
05-24 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc4547e…
05-24 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x23d0de…
05-24 00:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8fc752…
05-23 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xe47ccb…
05-23 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2f3927…
05-23 04:45:36	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x3c4b83…
05-22 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc6e903…
05-22 12:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d6c39…
05-22 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7076db…
05-21 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf35746…
05-21 12:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ac6a0…
05-21 11:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe51dcb…
05-21 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf6f993…
05-21 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd7ba4…
05-21 04:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc600cb…
05-21 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x46780a…
05-20 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8bb109…
05-20 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xeca37c…
05-20 00:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdda476…
05-19 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd9d75b…
05-19 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x35e5e4…
05-19 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1be570…
05-19 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff54bb…
05-18 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x65b572…
05-18 00:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x22ab7f…
05-17 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xea4621…
05-17 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x46459d…
05-17 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1169b8…
05-17 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb11b6e…
05-17 06:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf91e09…
05-17 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xae695c…
05-17 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x088a3e…
05-16 16:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc3ffbf…
05-16 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x71895f…
05-16 12:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x9e8dad…
05-16 12:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x182a28…
05-16 08:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x244bb9…
05-16 04:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf777fa…
05-13 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd7d927…
05-13 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x15b3eb…
05-13 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9e3a34…
05-13 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x17faec…
05-13 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc86d98…
05-13 00:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3b6666…
05-12 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d8a39…
05-12 08:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x3ea4e4…
05-12 08:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe9971c…
05-12 04:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5366d1…
05-12 00:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde6ccd…
05-11 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xdba262…
05-11 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xd53edc…
05-11 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb8436a…
05-11 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1aa2ff…
05-11 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2e423a…
05-10 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9bc5c2…
05-10 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5ed11d…
05-10 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6f38b0…
05-10 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xebf1fc…
05-10 00:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x78ab08…
05-09 20:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x59dbf6…
05-09 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa15586…