Alert-Arrival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$431

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-28 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-14 03:03
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 08:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 09:56
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 08:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 03:20
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 09:41
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 06:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 06:47
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 07:29
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 04:20
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 07:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:42
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 08:59
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 07:57
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 08:03
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:05
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:51
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:37
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 06:47
Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.65B?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 07:00
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:09
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 10:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 07:00
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-25 07:58
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-20 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 10:18:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ec91e…
07-28 10:06:49	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd7f0fd…
07-28 10:02:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3403c5…
07-28 07:40:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x237f55…
07-27 06:51:12	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfc6694…
07-27 06:44:49	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xffcb07…
07-27 06:41:00	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x23e958…
07-27 06:35:01	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcea851…
07-25 07:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x30c443…
07-25 07:51:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f0dc3…
07-25 07:48:12	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9d5f7…
07-25 07:42:46	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa07367…
07-24 07:51:43	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3cf7c…
07-24 07:46:52	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6485f3…
07-24 07:41:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6c353…
07-24 07:28:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbaf2b…
07-23 07:48:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2366c9…
07-23 07:42:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x00788d…
07-23 07:36:57	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd91f86…
07-23 07:29:42	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x468994…
07-22 07:29:18	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x11697c…
07-22 07:20:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a4d79…
07-22 07:13:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x371237…
07-22 07:00:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce9be4…
07-21 06:54:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb3ecbc…
07-21 06:50:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x706791…
07-20 07:52:01	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xed0efc…
07-20 07:41:36	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5966b6…
07-20 07:36:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc48327…
07-20 07:30:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x42374b…
07-18 07:38:01	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x410068…
07-18 07:26:07	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf93162…
07-17 07:03:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x63befd…
07-17 06:57:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa856cd…
07-17 06:53:06	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee8d00…
07-17 06:43:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x045998…
07-16 08:12:04	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4289c0…
07-16 07:39:01	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x88d4f3…
07-15 08:01:05	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8c248e…
07-15 07:52:05	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2aec52…
07-14 07:38:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8ace3…
07-14 07:28:59	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e6ebc…
07-14 07:17:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5d5f25…
07-14 07:05:01	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x08ea78…
07-13 07:44:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6fc6cf…
07-13 07:41:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa89f3a…
07-13 07:29:10	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x717e74…
07-13 07:20:32	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa2d17c…
07-11 07:54:17	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2500eb…
07-11 07:47:11	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x955f46…
07-11 07:39:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97a4d4…
07-11 07:34:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d358b…
07-09 07:06:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8346ff…
07-09 06:55:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3fa826…
07-09 06:50:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x334993…
07-09 06:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x663461…
07-08 07:20:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7349e5…
07-08 07:11:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7207b…
07-08 07:07:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1bd7ba…
07-08 06:58:53	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ef02b…
07-07 07:41:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8454e6…
07-07 07:34:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf575b7…
07-07 07:30:58	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6dd5a8…
07-07 07:22:14	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb421d…
07-04 07:03:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x993141…
07-04 06:56:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x42d86b…
07-04 06:54:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x07ae8a…
07-04 06:54:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2df3b1…
07-04 06:49:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf2d648…
07-02 06:52:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1fbe6f…
07-02 06:41:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1aa645…
07-02 06:36:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb7c099…
07-02 06:30:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x930cd1…
07-01 06:16:28	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe022ca…
07-01 06:08:49	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x038f5d…
07-01 06:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0a4ecf…
07-01 03:52:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c7e29…
06-30 06:38:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2ac74e…
06-30 06:31:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x29373e…
06-30 06:25:50	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xcbb308…
06-30 06:21:11	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6b5172…
06-29 07:36:49	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc82941…
06-29 07:29:58	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x209b98…
06-27 07:18:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9c8122…
06-27 07:17:17	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xbbddb2…
06-27 07:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9a47da…
06-27 07:05:58	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3b5cad…
06-26 08:08:08	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb6ea75…
06-26 07:54:20	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ee22d…
06-25 06:51:02	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7ea583…
06-25 06:49:02	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x25afa3…
06-25 06:39:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f2221…
06-25 06:34:53	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaefbfc…
06-24 07:57:34	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe04d04…
06-24 07:31:32	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa96a75…
06-23 06:14:29	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfdd072…
06-23 06:12:35	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x81a7cc…
06-23 04:54:28	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a6022…
06-23 04:50:16	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d39ec…
06-22 07:00:38	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9de7ef…