Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$213
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$23
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-07 04:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60% 100% +$1
Other
40%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +18 $17 90¢ $16 $-1 06-03 06:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-03 06:33
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 02:22
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-07 04:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 04:46