Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
75
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$844
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$85
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-27 17:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
58% 61% -$22
Other
39% 69% +$23
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Sports
1% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -26 -$21 94¢ $-24 -$3 05-01 12:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -14 -$10 68¢ $-10 +$0 05-01 12:52
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -8 -$7 97¢ $-8 -$1 05-01 12:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -179 -$4 4¢ $-7 -$3 08-27 17:08
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -7 -$5 92¢ $-6 -$1 05-01 12:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -7 -$6 92¢ $-6 -$1 05-01 12:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -7 -$5 84¢ $-6 $0 05-01 12:55
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -6 -$5 99¢ $-6 $0 05-01 12:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -29 -$4 16¢ $-5 $0 08-27 17:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -26 -$2 12¢ $-3 -$1 08-27 17:09
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -147 -$5 2¢ $-3 +$2 08-27 17:08
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -455 -$3 0¢ $-2 +$2 06-09 00:22
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -17 -$12 4¢ $-1 +$12 05-25 16:52
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -6 -$3 6¢ $-0 +$3 06-09 00:23