Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$211

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

$131

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-27 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

97% 100% +$227

Other

3% 40% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No		+1,111	$100	8¢	$89	-$11	10-16 08:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+308	$37	14¢	$42	+$5	10-23 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$14.0K	10,921	10,921	+0	open	—	10-23 11:15
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	11	$450	508	508	+0	No	+$102	10-21 17:37
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	17	$445	415	415	+0	Yes	+$121	10-23 09:18
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$424	394	274	+120	open	—	10-27 11:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	10	$274	347	347	+0	open	—	10-25 23:42
Games Total: O/U 2.5	10	$235	207	207	+0	Under	+$0	10-26 22:09
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	5	$174	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	10-26 16:09
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	6	$153	103	103	+0	No	+$5	10-21 14:32
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	10-16 08:30
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	4	$98	107	107	+0	Over	$0	10-26 21:49
Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$77	150	40	+110	open	—	10-26 05:26
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	4	$55	73	73	+0	Over	+$5	10-26 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$37	308	0	+308	open	—	10-23 10:20
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$23	100	100	+0	Over	-$13	10-25 22:13
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	13	$21	258	118	+140	Under	-$9	10-26 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:46:32	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbd65eb…
10-27 11:19:29	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x33d3bb…
10-27 11:09:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	66	72¢	$47	0xc8f254…
10-27 11:09:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xdace82…
10-27 11:01:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	97	62¢	$60	0x064633…
10-27 11:01:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x024cd4…
10-27 10:57:44	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x3af0d9…
10-27 10:51:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x0ca78f…
10-27 10:50:27	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0x2fa522…
10-27 10:42:33	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb8d7fb…
10-27 10:41:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0xde1c33…
10-26 22:32:11	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x2cbc75…
10-26 22:21:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xdd52fe…
10-26 22:20:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x5d6933…
10-26 22:20:20	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xea885e…
10-26 22:09:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xc14cb6…
10-26 22:08:14	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe25414…
10-26 22:06:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	67	69¢	$46	0x2e1304…
10-26 22:06:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0x2d7279…
10-26 22:02:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x481f27…
10-26 22:01:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x63f25c…
10-26 22:01:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0x60c2b0…
10-26 22:01:57	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb0807a…
10-26 21:59:14	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x441b68…
10-26 21:57:38	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x660ad6…
10-26 21:49:14	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	107	46¢	$49	0x9c6708…
10-26 21:45:33	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x546c10…
10-26 21:44:12	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	82	46¢	$38	0x987c4c…
10-26 21:44:02	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x31c3c5…
10-26 21:34:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x81faed…
10-26 21:34:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0a5c3c…
10-26 21:33:18	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	86	5¢	$4	0x549d1d…
10-26 21:32:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x7723af…
10-26 21:31:53	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xddb37c…
10-26 21:29:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x8432bd…
10-26 21:28:56	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4c7a0f…
10-26 21:26:15	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x27da85…
10-26 21:26:03	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x24aa72…
10-26 21:26:02	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x62f96d…
10-26 21:24:11	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xde4789…
10-26 16:09:42	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x348d4e…
10-26 05:26:09	Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x82e05f…
10-25 23:42:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	87	43¢	$37	0x7f4814…
10-25 23:31:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x18b5f9…
10-25 23:28:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xce7eed…
10-25 23:27:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2c1d9c…
10-25 23:22:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb8f9bd…
10-25 23:20:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xfb3dc4…
10-25 22:55:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	86	30¢	$26	0xad000a…
10-25 22:24:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x61a3bb…
10-25 22:22:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x6eda69…
10-25 22:13:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x66949e…
10-25 22:07:35	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5075fb…
10-25 22:07:33	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	99	18¢	$18	0xff2da5…
10-24 13:50:12	Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xa67f1b…
10-23 11:15:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0x7f8c65…
10-23 11:04:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0xd2bca2…
10-23 10:23:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	400	67¢	$268	0x76904c…
10-23 10:20:11	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	12¢	$37	0xb31eac…
10-23 10:04:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0xf16fae…
10-23 09:18:17	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	130	86¢	$112	0x837c05…
10-22 16:11:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0x53a7c7…
10-22 16:10:54	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	90	80¢	$72	0xd48c93…
10-22 08:50:50	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x543d0b…
10-22 07:22:09	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x9cdd57…
10-22 07:21:27	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x600a16…
10-21 21:53:12	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x3c716e…
10-21 21:20:51	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x30698c…
10-21 21:14:38	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x5c7101…
10-21 20:53:51	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	8¢	$28	0x9e3047…
10-21 20:41:38	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xdd0700…
10-21 20:28:42	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x4091b1…
10-21 20:28:15	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x100a40…
10-21 20:28:03	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x1b8de3…
10-21 20:23:57	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xc302fc…
10-21 20:22:15	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf84fc2…
10-21 18:41:21	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	8¢	$17	0x09ebe1…
10-21 18:37:09	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5e9ded…
10-21 18:35:26	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0x5d80c6…
10-21 18:32:24	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x6dc2d9…
10-21 18:25:26	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	197	16¢	$32	0x10dcf6…
10-21 17:37:14	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	138	59¢	$82	0xfca363…
10-21 14:32:08	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	SELL	103	77¢	$79	0x5bbdc3…
10-21 14:28:33	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xc0f098…
10-21 13:02:51	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x4eaace…
10-21 12:48:27	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1a002e…
10-21 12:48:06	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xea982c…
10-21 12:04:11	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	60	56¢	$34	0x346cba…
10-21 12:03:33	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x47d9b3…
10-21 11:47:32	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x848b43…
10-21 09:57:56	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x127ee9…
10-20 21:31:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0xe26ef4…
10-20 19:47:36	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	SELL	150	41¢	$61	0x96ccf5…
10-20 13:06:12	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xd06add…
10-20 12:58:17	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xde3aac…
10-20 12:57:29	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xc66f57…
10-20 12:56:00	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x9b14d5…
10-20 12:54:23	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xfdcc64…
10-20 12:34:00	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	Yes	BUY	246	32¢	$79	0x272431…
10-20 02:30:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,000	64¢	$1,280	0xef4ad7…