Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$211

Unrealized P&L

+$209

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

262

262 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$22.5K

$22.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$731

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-30 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$227

Tech

9% — —

Other

8% 40% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+2,323	$385	24¢	$569	+$184	10-30 15:30
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,111	$100	11¢	$122	+$22	10-16 08:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+308	$37	13¢	$40	+$3	10-23 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$14.0K	10,921	10,921	+0	open	—	10-23 11:15
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	11	$2.1K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	10-28 15:46
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	64	$1.3K	4,352	2,029	+2,323	open	—	10-30 15:30
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	10	$1.1K	740	740	+0	open	—	10-29 15:25
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$569	439	439	+0	open	—	10-27 12:06
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	11	$450	508	508	+0	No	+$102	10-21 17:37
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	17	$445	415	415	+0	Yes	+$121	10-23 09:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$421	4,479	4,479	+0	open	—	10-28 15:42
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	3	$359	690	0	+690	open	—	10-30 17:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	10	$274	347	347	+0	open	—	10-25 23:42
Games Total: O/U 2.5	10	$235	207	207	+0	Under	+$0	10-26 22:09
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	13	$225	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	10-29 15:43
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	16	$225	129	129	+0	open	—	10-28 09:16
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	2	$202	497	0	+497	open	—	10-30 00:27
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	5	$174	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	10-26 16:09
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	6	$153	103	103	+0	No	+$5	10-21 14:32
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	7	$141	402	100	+302	open	—	10-30 14:55
Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?	1	$128	217	0	+217	open	—	10-30 11:03
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	10-16 08:30
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	4	$98	107	107	+0	Over	$0	10-26 21:49
Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	3	$85	170	40	+130	open	—	10-29 15:51
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	4	$55	73	73	+0	Over	+$5	10-26 22:32
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	10-29 09:19
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$37	308	0	+308	open	—	10-23 10:20
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 31?	4	$26	60	60	+0	open	—	10-30 11:04
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$23	100	100	+0	Over	-$13	10-25 22:13
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	13	$21	258	118	+140	Under	-$9	10-26 21:34
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 15:29
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	4	$13	80	80	+0	open	—	10-30 14:56
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:56:28	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	188	69¢	$129	0xd2ecd5…
10-30 15:30:39	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x955667…
10-30 15:25:25	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x9531d5…
10-30 15:05:25	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	203	40¢	$81	0xc34abe…
10-30 14:56:15	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xb8e230…
10-30 14:55:55	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x04195a…
10-30 11:04:31	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x8f9a84…
10-30 11:03:42	Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	217	59¢	$128	0x4ac79b…
10-30 07:37:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x6f563f…
10-30 05:32:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xada4f1…
10-30 04:47:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xca65e0…
10-30 02:41:36	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xdcf0f1…
10-30 00:28:43	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	59	39¢	$23	0xf4f337…
10-30 00:28:22	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x3997f3…
10-30 00:27:30	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x2741f3…
10-30 00:23:12	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x766355…
10-29 17:27:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0xcf8862…
10-29 17:17:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xc9558e…
10-29 16:40:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0caad5…
10-29 16:12:41	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x2387c4…
10-29 16:03:56	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x46d5e8…
10-29 15:51:29	Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5791ac…
10-29 15:47:01	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc42c55…
10-29 15:43:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	44	22¢	$10	0x11c295…
10-29 15:43:14	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	397	7¢	$26	0xcc7bb8…
10-29 15:30:13	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x19854b…
10-29 15:29:08	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xdf6c30…
10-29 15:25:52	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x214564…
10-29 15:22:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xbc73f2…
10-29 15:21:28	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x888043…
10-29 15:20:17	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x712061…
10-29 15:16:55	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$31	0xcf791b…
10-29 15:07:19	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x7c240b…
10-29 15:05:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xd7dd9b…
10-29 15:02:46	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0xee51be…
10-29 14:58:44	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	305	34¢	$102	0x3ebd48…
10-29 14:44:47	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x0dbf02…
10-29 14:31:22	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xa3a4c6…
10-29 13:28:46	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xce7f5d…
10-29 13:05:59	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6c7b94…
10-29 13:03:52	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xd05103…
10-29 12:56:55	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	204	28¢	$58	0x014c46…
10-29 12:53:14	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xf31993…
10-29 12:52:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	120	19¢	$23	0x7a0676…
10-29 11:05:02	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa87d3b…
10-29 10:24:38	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa288aa…
10-29 10:22:05	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb7b67c…
10-29 10:18:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x8d7d0c…
10-29 10:07:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xf5af16…
10-29 09:19:23	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0xe9e4cc…
10-29 01:46:19	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x43e8ee…
10-29 01:46:08	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x263274…
10-29 01:45:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xed8dcc…
10-29 01:44:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	142	19¢	$27	0xf8e0b4…
10-29 01:43:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0xa7ec65…
10-29 01:24:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xba7227…
10-29 01:08:01	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xcb14b4…
10-28 23:44:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x96d612…
10-28 23:19:25	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x87b5a7…
10-28 23:08:19	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xed6036…
10-28 21:31:46	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x81b5f9…
10-28 21:29:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0xc477f1…
10-28 20:57:35	Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x18b9d2…
10-28 20:40:32	Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6d4c17…
10-28 20:29:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	467	23¢	$107	0x8baeb0…
10-28 19:59:40	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$9	0x949e7f…
10-28 15:46:16	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	267	95¢	$253	0x30bb32…
10-28 15:44:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	422	19¢	$80	0xe899a8…
10-28 15:42:02	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,279	5¢	$105	0x4491c8…
10-28 15:24:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x40c1ae…
10-28 15:23:05	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0x1ab42d…
10-28 15:16:59	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x4d327a…
10-28 15:14:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x5b276a…
10-28 15:13:44	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7e8037…
10-28 15:13:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	235	14¢	$32	0x12838f…
10-28 13:36:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,200	5¢	$101	0x9177ac…
10-28 13:33:53	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcf420e…
10-28 13:29:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x577cc7…
10-28 13:28:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x5e391f…
10-28 13:27:32	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0xdb99c5…
10-28 13:26:46	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x0b10f4…
10-28 13:26:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0x06796f…
10-28 13:26:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,221	5¢	$201	0x34ca6a…
10-28 13:16:40	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0xbf638c…
10-28 12:57:50	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	351	13¢	$45	0x24426c…
10-28 12:12:58	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xd0d7ea…
10-28 12:11:04	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	368	12¢	$44	0x99bc36…
10-28 10:28:32	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xee2f7e…
10-28 10:17:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0x65cc2e…
10-28 09:16:22	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x19f7be…
10-28 09:15:14	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x82024d…
10-28 07:37:41	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcbf1cd…
10-28 07:14:50	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x42e0e0…
10-28 07:01:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xe20282…
10-28 07:00:59	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfbdcb4…
10-28 07:00:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x8e69b2…
10-28 06:59:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x599931…
10-28 06:51:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xe78f69…
10-28 06:45:47	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x03a1c8…
10-28 05:51:47	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x0dcaed…