Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$211

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

164

209 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.73K

$20.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$169

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-28 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

87% 100% +$227

Tech

10% — —

Other

2% 40% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No		+1,111	$100	12¢	$128	+$28	10-16 08:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+308	$37	14¢	$42	+$5	10-23 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$14.0K	10,921	10,921	+0	open	—	10-23 11:15
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	11	$2.1K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	10-28 15:46
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	46	$766	2,467	1,467	+1,000	open	—	10-28 21:29
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$569	439	439	+0	open	—	10-27 12:06
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	11	$450	508	508	+0	No	+$102	10-21 17:37
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	17	$445	415	415	+0	Yes	+$121	10-23 09:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$421	4,479	4,479	+0	open	—	10-28 15:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	10	$274	347	347	+0	open	—	10-25 23:42
Games Total: O/U 2.5	10	$235	207	207	+0	Under	+$0	10-26 22:09
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	16	$225	129	129	+0	open	—	10-28 09:16
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	5	$174	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	10-26 16:09
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	6	$153	103	103	+0	No	+$5	10-21 14:32
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	7	$128	957	200	+757	open	—	10-29 01:08
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	10-16 08:30
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	4	$98	107	107	+0	Over	$0	10-26 21:49
Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$77	150	40	+110	open	—	10-26 05:26
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	4	$55	73	73	+0	Over	+$5	10-26 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$37	308	0	+308	open	—	10-23 10:20
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$23	100	100	+0	Over	-$13	10-25 22:13
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	13	$21	258	118	+140	Under	-$9	10-26 21:34
will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 23:19
will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	10-28 23:08
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 20:57
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:08:01	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xcb14b4…
10-28 23:44:53	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x96d612…
10-28 23:19:25	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x87b5a7…
10-28 23:08:19	will gemini carbon debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xed6036…
10-28 21:31:46	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x81b5f9…
10-28 21:29:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0xc477f1…
10-28 20:57:35	Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x18b9d2…
10-28 20:40:32	Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6d4c17…
10-28 20:29:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	467	23¢	$107	0x8baeb0…
10-28 19:59:40	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$9	0x949e7f…
10-28 15:46:16	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	267	95¢	$253	0x30bb32…
10-28 15:44:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	422	19¢	$80	0xe899a8…
10-28 15:42:02	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,279	5¢	$105	0x4491c8…
10-28 15:24:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x40c1ae…
10-28 15:23:05	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0x1ab42d…
10-28 15:16:59	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x4d327a…
10-28 15:14:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x5b276a…
10-28 15:13:44	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7e8037…
10-28 15:13:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	235	14¢	$32	0x12838f…
10-28 13:36:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,200	5¢	$101	0x9177ac…
10-28 13:33:53	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcf420e…
10-28 13:29:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x577cc7…
10-28 13:28:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x5e391f…
10-28 13:27:32	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0xdb99c5…
10-28 13:26:46	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x0b10f4…
10-28 13:26:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0x06796f…
10-28 13:26:07	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,221	5¢	$201	0x34ca6a…
10-28 13:16:40	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0xbf638c…
10-28 12:57:50	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	351	13¢	$45	0x24426c…
10-28 12:12:58	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xd0d7ea…
10-28 12:11:04	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	368	12¢	$44	0x99bc36…
10-28 10:28:32	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xee2f7e…
10-28 10:17:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0x65cc2e…
10-28 09:16:22	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x19f7be…
10-28 09:15:14	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x82024d…
10-28 07:37:41	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcbf1cd…
10-28 07:14:50	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x42e0e0…
10-28 07:01:19	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xe20282…
10-28 07:00:59	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfbdcb4…
10-28 07:00:07	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x8e69b2…
10-28 06:59:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x599931…
10-28 06:51:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xe78f69…
10-28 06:45:47	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x03a1c8…
10-28 05:51:47	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x0dcaed…
10-28 05:24:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe7c0a8…
10-28 04:26:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x7d3eee…
10-28 03:04:06	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x3491ad…
10-28 02:47:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xa03a08…
10-28 02:47:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xd0a15c…
10-28 02:46:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x0d9073…
10-28 02:35:47	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x4298a1…
10-28 02:35:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3f5989…
10-28 02:27:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x5afa8e…
10-28 02:25:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x52b241…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xe07bd6…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x94c002…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x84085c…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x7008fa…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2c915d…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x215ac4…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x16e990…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x0c463f…
10-28 02:25:29	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x005ef3…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xdbfeeb…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0xc77967…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xba1516…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x4ef28c…
10-28 02:25:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x224326…
10-28 02:23:23	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xfb8399…
10-28 02:23:23	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6d707b…
10-28 02:21:08	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x909cf5…
10-28 02:21:08	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x38ce42…
10-28 02:18:53	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xe3ccdb…
10-28 02:18:53	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x826c5c…
10-28 02:18:39	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0xc3f995…
10-28 02:18:38	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xffbd92…
10-28 02:15:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x438a25…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xedc82f…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xbf4ddb…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x452279…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x20beb7…
10-28 02:15:27	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x3c1ab4…
10-28 02:15:26	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xedc47e…
10-28 02:15:26	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x569ae3…
10-28 02:15:12	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x8a474e…
10-28 02:15:11	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xe963ba…
10-28 02:15:11	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x007b4b…
10-28 02:15:00	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xf3f1de…
10-27 23:44:24	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	80	87¢	$70	0xc68450…
10-27 23:41:56	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0x0b8ad5…
10-27 22:09:14	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x671873…
10-27 22:02:53	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x900e57…
10-27 21:38:29	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	BUY	1,177	85¢	$1,000	0x52a882…
10-27 12:06:17	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	165	68¢	$113	0xee4773…
10-27 11:51:53	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb08f4c…
10-27 11:46:32	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbd65eb…
10-27 11:19:29	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x33d3bb…
10-27 11:09:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	66	72¢	$47	0xc8f254…
10-27 11:09:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xdace82…
10-27 11:01:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	97	62¢	$60	0x064633…