Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$497

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

534 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.26K

$48.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$1.76K

10 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 11-15 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

64% 67% +$834

Other

30% 62% +$1,035

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	+1,038	$423	48¢	$503	+$81	11-13 17:09
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	+734	$91	68¢	$499	+$408	11-15 16:35
Democratic 2028 presidential odds 66-68% on November 20?	Yes	+562	$300	60¢	$340	+$40	11-14 23:27
Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	+680	$281	24¢	$167	-$115	11-15 11:32
Democratic 2028 presidential odds 68-70% on November 20?	Yes	+380	$67	26¢	$97	+$30	11-15 14:08
Democratic 2028 presidential odds up or down this week?	Down	+217	$100	44¢	$96	-$4	11-15 00:08
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,109	$214	4¢	$50	-$164	11-14 10:44
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	+20	$13	38¢	$8	-$5	11-04 01:27
Democratic 2028 presidential odds up or down this week?	Up	+1	$0	56¢	$1	+$1	11-15 22:04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+0	-$226	100¢	$0	+$226	11-03 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	16	$14.0K	10,921	10,921	+0	Yes	+$201	10-23 11:15
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	86	$3.9K	7,477	7,477	+0	open	—	11-03 17:40
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	43	$3.4K	4,089	4,089	+0	Yes	+$412	11-04 03:22
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	10	$3.2K	2,792	2,058	+734	open	—	11-15 16:35
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	11	$2.1K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	10-28 15:46
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,947	1,947	+0	Yes	+$49	11-03 11:12
National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election?	16	$1.3K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	11-09 08:56
Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	10	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	11-13 23:03
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	10	$1.1K	740	740	+0	No	-$8	10-29 15:25
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	4	$1.0K	690	690	+0	Yes	+$325	10-30 21:29
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	4	$883	678	678	+0	open	—	11-12 09:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$793	1,497	1,497	+0	open	—	11-05 12:21
Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	22	$783	1,400	720	+680	open	—	11-15 11:32
Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	28	$756	3,989	2,880	+1,109	open	—	11-14 10:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2028 elections?	7	$712	459	459	+0	open	—	11-04 12:01
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	6	$698	459	459	+0	open	—	11-04 18:52
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	3	$685	497	497	+0	Yes	+$280	11-01 22:15
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?	3	$673	699	200	+499	Yes	+$189	11-07 22:22
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?	5	$660	792	0	+792	Yes	+$132	11-04 21:27
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	4	$587	1,238	200	+1,038	open	—	11-13 17:09
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$569	439	439	+0	Yes	-$13	10-27 12:06
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	7	$548	378	378	+0	Yes	+$0	11-05 00:28
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	15	$533	632	632	+0	open	—	11-11 00:14
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?	5	$522	313	313	+0	Yes	+$99	11-02 17:24
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	11	$450	508	508	+0	No	+$102	10-21 17:37
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	17	$445	415	415	+0	Yes	+$121	10-23 09:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	8	$421	4,479	4,479	+0	No	-$8	10-28 15:42
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	7	$389	457	457	+0	open	—	11-04 03:06
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	8	$355	2,084	2,084	+0	No	+$6	11-04 03:12
Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?	2	$339	217	217	+0	Yes	+$83	10-31 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 22:04:04	Democratic 2028 presidential odds up or down this week?	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf48f1a…
11-15 16:35:02	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	380	70¢	$266	0x0c19ae…
11-15 14:08:19	Democratic 2028 presidential odds 68-70% on November 20?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xc9ca44…
11-15 13:59:28	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,114	58¢	$649	0xf3e795…
11-15 11:32:20	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x025a33…
11-15 11:07:16	Democratic 2028 presidential odds 68-70% on November 20?	Yes	BUY	480	19¢	$90	0xf98956…
11-15 00:08:50	Democratic 2028 presidential odds up or down this week?	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x25cee4…
11-14 23:27:35	Democratic 2028 presidential odds 66-68% on November 20?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x62482d…
11-14 16:17:28	Democratic 2028 presidential odds 66-68% on November 20?	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x479cb3…
11-14 10:57:53	Democratic 2028 presidential odds 66-68% on November 20?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x89ad09…
11-14 10:57:02	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	20¢	$80	0xf88a1a…
11-14 10:44:04	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	5¢	$60	0x2bce21…
11-13 23:03:43	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	SELL	910	50¢	$454	0x5b395d…
11-13 19:45:37	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	SELL	190	60¢	$114	0x1e1eca…
11-13 18:15:12	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	780	8¢	$62	0xa5ca33…
11-13 17:09:58	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x55a87c…
11-13 17:06:27	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xebd6b6…
11-13 17:04:39	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xc0816f…
11-13 17:04:30	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xb361f1…
11-13 11:50:04	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x9d815c…
11-13 10:44:19	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x607267…
11-13 10:43:45	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6a1abe…
11-13 10:32:12	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xdd1f87…
11-13 08:55:57	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x06da14…
11-13 08:37:25	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	9¢	$54	0x3c1525…
11-13 08:28:34	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	392	49¢	$192	0x800c46…
11-13 04:17:21	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x14625c…
11-13 00:05:19	Will 3 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x75767f…
11-12 22:02:54	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0x5ce8b8…
11-12 20:55:12	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x5b966f…
11-12 20:20:46	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xf5a8b1…
11-12 19:13:39	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x13bfd9…
11-12 19:13:36	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xba2785…
11-12 19:13:36	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x367c18…
11-12 19:01:09	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0xc64382…
11-12 18:54:22	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	Yes	BUY	185	34¢	$62	0x100f32…
11-12 18:45:03	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x86ae5c…
11-12 17:32:34	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0xda5041…
11-12 17:24:37	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x5920dd…
11-12 17:24:00	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x05d26f…
11-12 17:14:37	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x2c4ac2…
11-12 16:34:36	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xf1601c…
11-12 16:34:13	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x4bb462…
11-12 16:30:57	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa4ccb5…
11-12 16:17:43	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0x2ec6e4…
11-12 15:40:09	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xa7d4c2…
11-12 15:39:22	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x7e79a5…
11-12 15:39:07	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf0e421…
11-12 15:38:01	Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x372992…
11-12 15:36:16	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0x4b4cf3…
11-12 15:35:45	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xcff16b…
11-12 15:32:33	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xe71217…
11-12 15:30:49	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0x63181d…
11-12 15:22:39	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x15bbb4…
11-12 15:22:18	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc9e8b6…
11-12 15:07:48	Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0x9d8c6b…
11-12 15:07:12	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0xcd2258…
11-12 14:48:03	Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	14¢	$12	0x8883b2…
11-12 14:31:48	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x266165…
11-12 14:31:28	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0x88b664…
11-12 14:12:55	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x7c0802…
11-12 14:09:04	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x39d2db…
11-12 14:08:49	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbbd9db…
11-12 14:08:40	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x7e99a9…
11-12 14:03:25	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x758a83…
11-12 14:01:09	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x53a947…
11-12 14:00:54	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0xff777b…
11-12 13:53:55	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x0322e9…
11-12 13:53:37	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x413f09…
11-12 13:52:33	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x643009…
11-12 13:52:18	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,049	15¢	$159	0x5e61c4…
11-12 13:52:06	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	13¢	$16	0xf6c113…
11-12 13:50:37	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	992	10¢	$100	0x5e6063…
11-12 09:36:51	Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	No	SELL	498	69¢	$344	0xdf2f4a…
11-11 00:14:51	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0xca97d3…
11-11 00:02:01	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xf32c62…
11-11 00:01:48	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x33ca90…
11-10 23:07:54	Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	No	SELL	180	77¢	$139	0xe64a7c…
11-10 22:20:13	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xfaedce…
11-10 22:11:31	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	150	45¢	$67	0xa500af…
11-10 22:11:30	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x544c05…
11-10 22:05:54	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfa7061…
11-10 22:05:54	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0xdebacc…
11-10 20:54:13	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0xb3b7b5…
11-10 20:51:21	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	187	43¢	$80	0x17337a…
11-10 20:49:19	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x25b1f7…
11-10 20:48:55	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x30b7fd…
11-10 20:40:15	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x8a4032…
11-10 20:36:10	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xcb913a…
11-10 20:31:16	EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xce00c1…
11-10 11:56:42	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	118	69¢	$81	0xe7e4ec…
11-10 11:55:45	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	74¢	$594	0x0f1ed1…
11-10 10:52:30	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	78¢	$234	0xeda3f5…
11-10 10:42:36	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	81¢	$163	0x6018ec…
11-09 12:36:36	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	260	85¢	$221	0x96c356…
11-09 10:01:18	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	791	80¢	$636	0xf46d1e…
11-09 09:01:07	Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	67¢	$49	0x7ff048…
11-09 08:56:19	National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election?	No	SELL	386	57¢	$221	0x7b174c…
11-09 00:51:07	National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election?	No	SELL	350	56¢	$196	0xddcf89…
11-09 00:50:07	Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd39c3f…