(anonymous) 0x04ce1c…5fc645 Create alert
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$660
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
217
Trades
683
lifetime
Volume
$8.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$419
29 positions
First seen
2026-09-28
last 11-06 20:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
75% 52% -$733
Politics
16% 68% +$10
Crypto
8% 100% +$62
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November? No +55 $47 78¢ $43 -$4 11-05 16:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +44 $37 82¢ $36 -$1 11-03 12:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +50 $32 68¢ $34 +$2 11-06 20:08
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +44 $34 76¢ $33 $0 10-26 11:49
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November? No +47 $40 60¢ $28 -$11 11-05 12:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +34 $26 76¢ $26 -$1 11-06 15:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? Yes +50 $26 52¢ $25 -$1 11-05 14:43
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? No +38 $26 66¢ $25 -$2 11-06 22:34
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +21 $15 94¢ $19 +$4 10-31 17:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$1 11-02 18:36
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $250 in November? No +18 $15 84¢ $15 +$0 11-02 20:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? No +18 $15 83¢ $15 $0 11-02 15:00
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $110 in November? No +30 $21 44¢ $13 -$8 11-05 16:26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $144 in November? No +12 $11 91¢ $11 +$0 11-06 18:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? No +12 $11 90¢ $11 -$1 11-04 21:50
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 10-31 16:47
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 $0 11-03 14:56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? No +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 11-06 18:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +15 $7 52¢ $8 +$0 11-06 17:45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $8 15¢ $7 $0 10-23 07:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 10-31 17:25
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 71¢ $5 +$0 10-31 16:49
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +9 $5 45¢ $4 -$1 10-16 23:04
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +35 $4 12¢ $4 $0 11-06 12:09
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 $0 10-11 16:08
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +7 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-28 17:14
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 -$1 10-31 11:36
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? Yes +7 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 11-05 22:46
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$22 27¢ $0 +$22 11-04 10:46