Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
2,672
Trades
4,361
lifetime
Volume
$9.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-28 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Crypto
86% 75% +$12
Politics
7% 46% -$25
Other
6% 33% -$50
Sports
1% 57% +$2
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +19 $13 59¢ $11 -$2 09-21 08:17
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 85¢ $11 +$1 08-12 13:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 09-21 08:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $8 34¢ $5 -$3 10-27 09:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 09-23 06:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19 $3 17¢ $3 +$0 09-07 06:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18 $3 16¢ $3 $0 09-07 06:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 42¢ $3 +$1 10-23 13:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 10-23 14:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-21 06:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-17 09:42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 39¢ $1 $0 08-10 07:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $1 9¢ $1 $0 10-06 04:20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 22¢ $1 $0 08-06 04:52
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $0 $0 04-29 14:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-05 05:32