Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$598
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$346
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-18 17:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
64%
Other
20%
Politics
17% 0% $-1
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -110 $-102 94¢ $-103 $-0 05-31 02:59
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +87 $83 96¢ $83 +$1 06-18 17:06
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +78 $74 95¢ $74 $-0 06-18 17:05
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +77 $68 87¢ $67 $-1 06-18 17:07
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 96¢ $-13 $-1 05-31 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -34 $-10 10¢ $-3 +$6 05-31 03:00
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 17:04
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 17:04
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 17:04