Tired-Mayor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$863

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-20 05:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% — —

Other

14% — —

Politics

11% 0% $-1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$163	87	87	+0	open	—	07-05 02:42
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	07-05 02:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$139	92	92	+0	open	—	06-18 17:02
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$136	77	77	+0	open	—	07-05 02:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$102	0	110	-110	open	—	05-31 02:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 06:52
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	07-20 05:38
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$12	0	13	-13	open	—	05-31 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$10	0	34	-34	open	—	05-31 03:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 06:51
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$2	4	0	+4	Cavaliers	+$1	05-09 02:08
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-28 09:18
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	02-28 09:18
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-18 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 06:51
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-18 17:04
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-18 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 05:38:42	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf0e015…
07-05 02:42:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	88¢	$68	0xee53cb…
07-05 02:42:07	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	78	94¢	$73	0x47ea55…
07-05 02:42:01	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0x32ab11…
06-18 17:07:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x58aa59…
06-18 17:06:07	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x53d353…
06-18 17:05:35	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x88b02b…
06-18 17:04:44	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xf226e6…
06-18 17:04:25	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x284aca…
06-18 17:04:14	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa0f9bd…
06-18 17:02:35	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	83¢	$77	0x7c1c6a…
05-31 03:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	68¢	$63	0x2e692b…
05-31 03:00:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	28¢	$10	0x123a05…
05-31 03:00:06	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x929a25…
05-31 02:59:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0xe08881…
05-15 06:52:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5069a7…
05-15 06:51:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x13f1da…
05-15 06:51:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x0bb742…
05-09 02:08:13	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x61c23b…
05-09 02:08:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe47405…
02-28 09:18:57	Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x315002…
02-28 09:18:25	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x0429c0…