Meager-Harvester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

137

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$187

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

33% 88% -$41

Crypto

30% 83% -$9

Other

28% 96% +$18

Tech

5% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+187	$174	98¢	$183	+$9	06-18 15:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+187	$11	2¢	$4	-$7	06-25 03:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	20	$5.8K	3,176	2,796	+380	No	+$14	03-14 08:02
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	13	$2.4K	1,182	1,220	-38	No	+$1	01-10 01:54
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	13	$2.4K	1,198	1,197	+1	No	+$0	02-13 06:04
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	4	$1.6K	816	816	+0	No	+$1	01-22 14:57
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	5	$1.6K	815	815	+0	No	+$0	01-11 10:43
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.2K	409	819	-409	No	-$2	01-10 02:22
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$3	03-02 16:57
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$1.2K	798	399	+399	Yes	+$0	02-09 14:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	9	$1.0K	528	528	+0	No	+$3	05-22 08:52
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$809	405	405	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 05:10
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	3	$808	405	405	+0	No	+$1	01-03 09:17
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$805	407	407	+0	No	+$0	01-12 03:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$804	410	410	+0	Yes	+$0	01-22 15:13
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$803	416	416	+0	No	-$12	02-05 09:16
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$798	399	399	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 12:07
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$796	401	401	+0	No	+$0	02-12 13:10
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	5	$794	398	398	+0	No	+$1	02-06 15:22
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	2	$788	400	400	+0	No	+$2	05-17 03:45
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	3	$743	372	372	+0	No	+$0	02-18 05:54
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$741	372	372	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 12:33
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	2	$733	367	367	+0	No	+$0	02-25 12:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$699	369	369	+0	Yes	+$1	04-17 11:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$618	316	316	+0	No	+$1	04-13 22:36
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt6	3	$609	305	305	+0	No	+$0	03-04 01:24
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	3	$538	428	110	+318	Yes	+$0	01-04 08:50
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$483	243	243	+0	No	+$1	04-23 16:51
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$413	215	215	+0	No	+$3	07-24 03:31
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$407	0	409	-409	No	-$2	01-13 04:32
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	02-12 03:02
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	02-11 03:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 03:31:27	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	215	97¢	$208	0xfbfdf6…
07-23 15:03:40	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	215	95¢	$205	0x0124d0…
07-18 04:14:09	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x57dbb9…
07-18 04:12:37	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	213	1¢	$2	0xefcb2b…
07-14 04:14:22	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	213	98¢	$210	0x466982…
07-08 13:59:16	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdbb3eb…
07-05 14:03:19	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63b978…
06-27 19:14:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xbd5a5c…
06-25 03:13:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	6¢	$11	0x54022c…
06-18 15:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	187	93¢	$174	0x3302f2…
06-14 13:50:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0abc26…
06-12 16:05:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xdfc9e6…
06-08 05:33:06	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcbb041…
06-06 11:54:33	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe5ccd5…
06-04 12:04:07	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0x1f6d92…
06-04 11:57:48	will baltazar fedalizo advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x548d47…
06-04 11:57:06	will elizabeth fenner advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x23eaea…
06-04 11:56:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbe3384…
05-30 05:33:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa634d7…
05-30 05:12:49	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3fe621…
05-30 05:12:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x43dc24…
05-30 05:12:00	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8e558a…
05-30 05:11:18	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xceb8da…
05-30 05:08:53	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x789723…
05-29 09:05:26	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	182	0¢	$1	0x3ed196…
05-27 13:08:34	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17683b…
05-26 02:00:09	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0x448582…
05-22 08:52:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x52fb3a…
05-21 05:25:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0x3e7334…
05-21 04:04:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$179	0xe4c2a8…
05-18 13:22:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x8c6bad…
05-18 13:15:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x3efb59…
05-18 13:03:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x43f130…
05-18 08:54:53	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xb4a0e9…
05-18 08:53:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0377ec…
05-17 03:45:12	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0xcc7a8a…
05-17 03:28:49	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0xa3ec9d…
05-15 03:13:04	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa7b914…
05-14 03:11:16	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x70d1e5…
05-14 03:10:27	Will Trump Leave China on May 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b9c4d…
05-14 03:09:41	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x134bb4…
05-14 03:08:49	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x694716…
05-11 17:12:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0x146d8b…
05-10 12:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0x93bb9a…
05-09 03:44:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	167	97¢	$163	0xd1d8ce…
05-09 02:32:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xf6c7a6…
05-09 01:51:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd7537c…
05-03 07:40:28	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xfbf0af…
05-03 05:55:54	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4fa460…
05-03 05:31:02	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Strait of Hormuz", "Strait", or "Hormuz" this week?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x89212c…
05-03 05:20:24	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Strait of Hormuz", "Strait", or "Hormuz" this week?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd1de16…
05-03 05:19:36	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3e5a4f…
05-03 05:19:10	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2df91…
05-03 05:18:58	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Strait of Hormuz", "Strait", or "Hormuz" this week?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xea6168…
05-02 07:03:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0x6608a0…
04-30 04:49:02	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0x64267c…
04-23 16:51:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0x42eb4b…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x6cedae…
04-19 11:31:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x210473…
04-19 11:30:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe81e89…
04-19 11:30:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f3f41…
04-19 03:25:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	163	97¢	$159	0xcb2aaf…
04-17 11:55:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0x36b11b…
04-16 10:02:36	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xd51120…
04-15 16:11:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x734d04…
04-15 15:31:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x8a36b4…
04-15 14:02:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xfcae63…
04-15 07:23:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x84360d…
04-15 04:13:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xef7691…
04-15 03:22:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xf8e668…
04-14 13:30:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0x3b14d2…
04-14 04:09:49	will trump say biden during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0xe99463…
04-14 01:55:37	will trump say biden during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x0bb106…
04-13 22:36:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x00b1a8…
04-13 13:51:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xaa4166…
04-12 14:19:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x266c9e…
04-11 13:49:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xe77008…
04-11 13:48:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0a85d0…
04-11 13:47:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xde1d40…
04-11 13:31:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc07471…
04-10 13:22:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e6bc0…
04-10 13:21:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd3db2…
04-09 21:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	162	94¢	$153	0xed9f75…
04-08 13:23:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x109553…
04-08 08:47:51	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 21c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56b041…
04-08 08:45:41	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x75ed28…
04-08 08:42:27	highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 14c	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0xb164ca…
04-08 08:40:31	highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 14c	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x0383df…
04-07 18:34:55	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb155d1…
04-07 12:16:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	156	97¢	$151	0x968306…
04-06 13:33:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a673d…
04-05 12:14:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0xda09f4…
04-05 01:59:53	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc58575…
03-29 13:08:02	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x38f1f5…
03-29 04:29:38	will bernie sanders say palestine at the rally on saturday	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda108e…
03-29 04:28:18	will silver si hit high 125 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd1154…
03-29 04:25:04	will crude oil cl settle at 65 70 in march 453	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xda6a71…
03-29 04:24:26	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x684cec…
03-29 04:23:52	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7b5b9d…
03-29 04:21:48	will bernie sanders say bipartisan at the rally on saturday	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa72ac4…