Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$784

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-01 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

79% 40% $-21

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	No		+7	$5	56¢	$4	$-1	06-27 08:54
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes		+0	$1	11¢	$0	$-1	06-26 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$102	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-08 08:50
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	6	$62	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 21:54
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	3	$55	75	75	+0	open	—	05-13 14:33
will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	4	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 19:22
tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	5	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 18:28
will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	5	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	06-15 13:07
will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	6	$30	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 15:14
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 11:01
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	2	$28	50	50	+0	open	—	06-08 11:37
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	1	$26	48	0	+48	open	—	05-13 14:42
will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	06-06 19:19
will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt0b	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	06-18 17:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	05-12 08:10
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	3	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 13:43
will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	3	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 14:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	05-12 01:28
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	5	$22	41	41	+0	open	—	06-20 10:31
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	06-06 21:26
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$16	50	0	+50	No	$-16	05-06 09:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$16	50	0	+50	open	—	05-11 10:54
will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	8	$15	68	68	+0	open	—	06-10 22:34
will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	19	$15	39	39	+0	open	—	06-06 02:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$14	40	0	+40	Yes	+$6	05-11 14:27
will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	3	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	06-24 15:05
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 23:25
fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 17:34
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	$-1	05-07 23:59
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	2	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	06-30 05:25
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$11	52	0	+52	Yes	$-11	05-11 14:57
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	3	$6	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:34:14	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x06c274…
06-30 13:43:55	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x0a328e…
06-30 05:25:07	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x8b2b08…
06-29 18:54:01	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x428d6d…
06-28 10:25:16	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf86b6a…
06-28 09:26:34	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x8cca9f…
06-27 14:52:25	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xd00ffb…
06-27 13:16:41	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x5dbdd4…
06-27 13:16:41	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x446d75…
06-27 08:54:29	Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x335909…
06-26 03:30:38	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x7fd828…
06-25 21:30:07	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbddacf…
06-24 15:05:31	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x712f25…
06-23 22:06:58	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x7ddf04…
06-23 11:01:23	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x11ada3…
06-23 03:29:01	will ecdsafail get at least 50 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x8175bb…
06-21 20:32:59	will trump praise weijia jiang by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xd28231…
06-21 12:44:56	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x02d22e…
06-20 10:31:23	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0x8af1df…
06-20 00:07:58	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd3e58c…
06-19 23:38:17	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x7f291a…
06-19 23:38:10	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x89484c…
06-19 23:37:55	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1fa32a…
06-18 17:43:38	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt0b	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x58c630…
06-18 14:55:23	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt0b	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x6190e5…
06-18 14:28:38	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt0b	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf91464…
06-15 13:07:25	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0xe3e21f…
06-15 13:06:43	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe24085…
06-10 22:34:21	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x15e878…
06-10 22:33:46	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4a98f5…
06-10 22:33:34	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x39daf8…
06-10 21:54:43	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x4ae261…
06-10 21:49:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf745ab…
06-10 21:44:39	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf1109d…
06-10 21:43:49	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2649e6…
06-10 21:42:12	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xfbd244…
06-10 21:39:45	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x43c47d…
06-10 20:52:18	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa5243e…
06-10 08:02:52	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xade88a…
06-10 07:52:10	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x89ec77…
06-10 03:19:55	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5e56a9…
06-10 03:12:16	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa6e9f8…
06-10 02:31:16	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x72c377…
06-10 02:18:21	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb44ba7…
06-10 01:49:54	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x297b25…
06-09 23:25:07	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x03b852…
06-09 22:00:54	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe98b26…
06-09 15:14:30	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6be128…
06-09 15:07:45	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x262c75…
06-09 14:34:25	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x9df62e…
06-09 14:34:25	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x40543a…
06-09 14:34:24	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x64af6d…
06-09 14:30:42	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xd6f4d5…
06-08 11:37:03	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe56b72…
06-07 19:22:40	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xf93363…
06-07 18:28:07	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc4c024…
06-07 16:32:33	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x0fa16f…
06-07 14:40:01	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x491171…
06-07 12:33:10	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x05d8d1…
06-07 12:33:09	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x2a6dcf…
06-07 12:32:46	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9deb18…
06-07 06:53:06	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x884a9a…
06-06 21:26:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb8cc64…
06-06 21:26:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb1a735…
06-06 19:19:51	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x754bec…
06-06 10:45:40	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6174a0…
06-06 02:58:39	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x8f9ec7…
06-06 01:31:07	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8477f4…
06-06 01:31:07	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7549c0…
06-06 01:31:07	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4dc99a…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xff05d4…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe2355e…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9786d1…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x779e44…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x615c68…
06-06 01:31:06	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x08f79b…
06-06 01:31:04	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe2120b…
06-06 01:31:04	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa1ee54…
06-06 01:31:04	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7e5d3a…
06-06 01:31:04	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x619a56…
06-06 01:31:04	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4f2310…
06-06 01:31:03	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x52a61b…
06-06 01:31:03	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x316898…
06-06 00:50:52	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x7b83af…
06-05 22:15:37	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf2bf91…
06-04 16:22:57	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xaadef1…
06-01 21:59:59	Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x3c1911…
05-14 10:23:05	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcf11c1…
05-14 09:58:29	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x6b570a…
05-14 05:28:12	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x715dd6…
05-13 14:42:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x4f73e9…
05-13 14:33:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	SELL	75	38¢	$29	0x417fa7…
05-12 12:27:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x0ee271…
05-12 08:14:41	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xeb9ca9…
05-12 08:10:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xef903f…
05-12 02:23:10	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x217840…
05-12 01:28:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xa19a04…
05-12 00:13:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x1c8a63…
05-11 14:57:03	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xd0a2a7…
05-11 14:27:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0e306b…