Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$202

Unrealized P&L

+$148

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,100

lifetime

Volume

$214.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

$6.34K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-14 11:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

88% 89% +$66

Crypto

10% 100% +$119

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Politics

0% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+6,580	$6,211	96¢	$6.3K	+$96	10-14 11:20
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+30	$26	99¢	$30	+$4	09-03 06:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+2	-$47	98¢	$2	+$49	06-28 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	703	$58.0K	30,856	30,854	+2	open	—	06-28 18:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	127	$40.5K	24,698	18,118	+6,580	open	—	10-14 11:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	71	$32.0K	18,500	14,000	+4,500	No	+$90	05-21 01:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	31	$24.5K	12,000	13,000	-1,000	No	+$2	06-12 17:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$18.5K	12,000	12,000	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 14:02
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	6	$7.4K	6,753	767	+5,986	No	+$91	04-29 10:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 15:46
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	3	$5.7K	5,715	0	+5,715	No	+$13	06-29 08:02
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	1	$4.6K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	+$5	06-28 17:01
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$6	05-13 17:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	47	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	06-28 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	05-15 18:56
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$3	04-22 11:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	05-07 09:56
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	14	$780	417	417	+0	No	+$3	04-29 10:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$595	600	0	+600	Yes	+$5	05-24 00:10
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	05-31 23:11
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$2	05-10 10:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$492	492	0	+492	Yes	+$0	04-30 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	04-29 08:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-21 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	05-21 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	5	$297	200	100	+100	No	+$2	07-11 19:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	14	$267	150	149	+1	No	-$22	08-20 11:06
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-14 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-08 14:09
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	06-12 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-25 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	06-06 11:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	05-21 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 11:20:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbfed9f…
10-09 07:57:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	480	97¢	$465	0x3c0c16…
10-09 07:43:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0x70734a…
10-09 03:49:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0xf4f656…
10-06 08:32:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x335ac1…
10-05 14:02:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0xccca5a…
10-03 06:35:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$974	0xa01d39…
10-01 23:42:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	6,540	97¢	$6,370	0x3fbcbf…
09-03 06:23:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x36ddc5…
08-23 17:46:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x340913…
08-23 17:45:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x5e9580…
08-21 21:10:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xbae600…
08-21 13:14:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xd72296…
08-21 13:12:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x4d7714…
08-21 13:02:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xed062f…
08-21 12:55:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xa2bfb3…
08-21 12:55:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x771dcd…
08-21 12:41:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb7b66b…
08-21 09:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3757f8…
08-21 09:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe6daa2…
08-20 11:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0x8ede20…
08-20 11:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x7f4625…
08-20 11:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf65984…
08-20 11:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xe28685…
08-20 11:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x446f96…
08-20 11:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x9dde4c…
08-20 11:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x7f544a…
08-20 11:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xf90478…
08-20 11:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xf6cdc5…
08-20 11:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0xbca7a1…
08-20 10:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x3ce653…
08-19 08:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x549078…
08-19 06:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa4969e…
08-15 05:58:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x52b6b8…
08-14 06:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0xa56370…
08-14 06:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x2987d3…
08-14 06:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x0e4c1f…
08-14 06:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8cf1fc…
08-14 06:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d0e38…
08-14 06:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x63c69c…
08-12 15:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0xfd1c2b…
08-11 12:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$71	0x7a5cd9…
08-10 14:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5458ca…
08-09 12:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7c083e…
08-09 10:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe940a9…
08-07 12:08:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe65dd2…
08-05 12:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb3fe6a…
08-02 13:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfd5eed…
07-30 14:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x56d4cb…
07-28 23:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c292b…
07-27 01:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x9aeea1…
07-27 01:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46db05…
07-20 22:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x30660b…
07-20 16:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x53bb64…
07-20 16:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xd48e84…
07-20 14:48:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbdb15f…
07-18 19:15:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd61671…
07-18 19:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x631c91…
07-17 06:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x265545…
07-15 16:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x008348…
07-14 15:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3b3c1e…
07-11 19:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3af7a2…
07-11 15:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x79b42f…
07-11 15:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x062ede…
07-11 15:22:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x24b305…
07-11 10:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd1249c…
07-11 09:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf4d3c7…
07-10 16:16:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x45cfc8…
07-10 11:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xc5a2a1…
07-08 18:32:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,890	0xe6995f…
07-05 09:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	193	99¢	$192	0xac51c3…
07-05 09:35:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x415983…
07-01 14:02:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12,000	77¢	$9,240	0x219e8e…
07-01 13:31:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,540	0xb0558b…
07-01 12:01:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x614a59…
07-01 11:59:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xcafcdf…
07-01 11:05:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1bc1c5…
07-01 10:49:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x4c37f1…
07-01 10:41:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xc81622…
07-01 09:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x853f17…
06-29 08:02:58	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xffe755…
06-29 08:02:26	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4,700	100¢	$4,691	0xfaccd2…
06-28 18:39:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	313	94¢	$295	0x8799eb…
06-28 18:35:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x966a29…
06-28 18:33:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x67c618…
06-28 18:30:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x105d00…
06-28 18:28:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x997b7d…
06-28 18:26:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x289ca9…
06-28 18:22:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf01c42…
06-28 18:20:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xf1857b…
06-28 18:20:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4bf059…
06-28 18:20:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$43	0x86f13e…
06-28 18:19:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xd2aaa4…
06-28 18:19:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xda2159…
06-28 18:18:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x52cb67…
06-28 18:15:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc94f0d…
06-28 18:15:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd5c0f4…
06-28 18:14:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf322ad…
06-28 18:14:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbe3cbf…
06-28 18:10:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x714b54…