Watery-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$7.80K

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

233

Trades

8,034

lifetime

Volume

$2.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$332

Open exposure

$58.8K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

61% 66% +$35,999

Politics

39% 60% -$26,897

Sports

0% 40% -$668

Crypto

0% 0% -$528

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	+16,234	$15,428	99¢	$16.1K	+$692	10-20 09:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+11,917	$8,673	95¢	$11.3K	+$2,648	10-26 16:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+8,288	$6,578	88¢	$7.3K	+$756	10-28 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+7,763	$6,762	94¢	$7.3K	+$497	10-28 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	+4,636	$4,071	98¢	$4.6K	+$491	10-26 03:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+3,343	$2,234	92¢	$3.1K	+$841	10-27 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	+3,000	$2,030	96¢	$2.9K	+$865	10-22 23:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	+2,000	$1,535	100¢	$2.0K	+$459	10-06 12:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	+1,000	$850	99¢	$992	+$142	10-20 14:53
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$890	90¢	$905	+$15	10-21 00:49
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+1,000	$910	86¢	$865	-$45	10-20 18:13
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	No	+884	$634	96¢	$846	+$212	10-10 18:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+650	$509	86¢	$559	+$49	10-28 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	+104	$45	100¢	$104	+$58	10-11 12:36
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$0	10-18 20:10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+130	$29	2¢	$3	-$26	05-18 03:24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$111	98¢	$0	+$111	10-13 15:05
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+0	-$30	16¢	$0	+$30	10-26 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	347	$135.7K	75,619	75,619	+0	No	+$2,980	08-30 19:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	198	$132.1K	79,152	79,143	+8	No	+$3,752	09-29 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	129	$123.5K	94,267	61,267	+33,000	No	+$5,084	06-20 10:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	105	$109.1K	72,519	57,519	+15,000	Yes	-$11,919	02-27 07:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	355	$102.3K	49,263	67,843	-18,580	No	-$1,278	02-19 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	324	$97.3K	120,877	116,877	+4,000	No	-$7,411	07-24 02:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	178	$84.7K	43,775	43,770	+5	Yes	-$1,152	02-16 08:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	146	$80.1K	61,892	53,100	+8,792	Yes	-$18,149	03-01 05:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	263	$72.1K	63,310	25,510	+37,801	No	+$12,038	01-31 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	149	$70.7K	46,010	37,722	+8,288	open	—	10-28 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	109	$70.6K	38,616	38,616	+0	open	—	10-20 22:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	464	$64.6K	40,560	68,398	-27,838	Yes	+$16,344	05-08 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	106	$62.3K	39,951	40,951	-1,000	Yes	+$6,426	06-16 10:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	86	$52.1K	34,939	34,939	+0	Yes	-$1,945	06-16 00:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	83	$49.7K	46,843	24,133	+22,710	No	+$9,924	06-26 20:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$44.7K	24,000	27,114	-3,114	Yes	+$6,277	02-03 23:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	63	$42.2K	26,829	19,066	+7,763	open	—	10-28 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	113	$37.1K	36,044	9,682	+26,362	No	+$5,133	07-29 21:37
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	50	$37.0K	31,150	9,401	+21,749	No	+$3,076	03-08 14:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$35.9K	23,920	22,000	+1,920	Yes	-$980	03-04 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	132	$34.5K	193,275	211,486	-18,212	Yes	-$31,298	03-01 05:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	28	$29.8K	27,562	4,000	+23,562	No	+$1,528	02-27 21:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	93	$28.2K	28,015	4,000	+24,015	No	+$2,165	04-30 21:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	101	$28.2K	22,744	12,316	+10,429	No	+$2,518	09-21 08:08
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	131	$28.0K	23,526	12,856	+10,669	No	+$2,765	03-31 17:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	54	$27.3K	15,029	15,029	+0	No	+$2,376	06-17 04:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	57	$24.1K	17,596	12,400	+5,196	No	+$1,187	01-31 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	100	$23.6K	21,300	21,300	+0	Yes	-$5,006	06-12 18:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	69	$23.4K	15,558	12,259	+3,299	Yes	-$2,838	04-29 14:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	74	$21.4K	16,532	9,852	+6,680	No	+$2,395	08-29 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:46:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xeb272e…
10-28 20:28:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	316	93¢	$294	0x67ec90…
10-28 20:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,429	93¢	$1,329	0xb00af5…
10-28 20:09:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,202	88¢	$1,058	0xc002e2…
10-28 19:51:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x525e34…
10-28 19:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	256	93¢	$238	0xc6ab07…
10-28 18:15:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	634	89¢	$564	0xf34381…
10-28 18:03:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	593	89¢	$527	0xb7a8eb…
10-28 17:44:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0x3c76d3…
10-28 17:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0xc30912…
10-28 17:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xce4009…
10-28 17:08:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xed041d…
10-28 16:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x9236e3…
10-28 16:49:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	597	89¢	$532	0xed3232…
10-28 16:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	920	96¢	$884	0x42214f…
10-28 15:47:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,000	59¢	$590	0xa36254…
10-28 15:35:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xc05687…
10-28 14:42:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xc5e320…
10-28 14:18:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xfd122b…
10-28 14:18:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x6e4aa5…
10-28 13:57:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1ae6a5…
10-28 13:54:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xb1a7b6…
10-28 13:54:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0x91447d…
10-28 13:54:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x59d63b…
10-28 13:54:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x3f0254…
10-28 13:54:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	48	88¢	$43	0x0f4603…
10-28 13:04:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa0f1dc…
10-28 13:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd2f8af…
10-28 13:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3e4518…
10-28 13:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$0	0x036e7b…
10-28 12:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xa9bff9…
10-28 12:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x86f37e…
10-28 12:11:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x586033…
10-28 12:11:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x3840b4…
10-28 12:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x0c42db…
10-28 12:11:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xa30496…
10-28 11:53:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	78¢	$193	0x690d8b…
10-28 09:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb8c9ad…
10-28 09:28:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x7c6bb1…
10-28 09:28:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x542b2a…
10-28 09:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf69e86…
10-28 09:28:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc04e8f…
10-28 09:28:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbcd90d…
10-28 08:55:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x48adad…
10-28 08:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x875e29…
10-28 05:57:20	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x918059…
10-28 05:50:43	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x9202e2…
10-27 23:09:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,954	88¢	$1,719	0xa461d7…
10-27 22:28:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0x150519…
10-27 22:14:03	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	78¢	$85	0xb40327…
10-27 21:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x50fb21…
10-27 19:32:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x5d6cf3…
10-27 19:29:50	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	402	94¢	$378	0x9061c7…
10-27 17:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	195	89¢	$174	0x21bb01…
10-27 17:30:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	373	89¢	$332	0x757f48…
10-27 17:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	373	89¢	$332	0x2fc653…
10-27 17:30:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	373	89¢	$332	0x5e9481…
10-27 15:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xb8d143…
10-27 15:42:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x08701f…
10-27 15:42:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x46856a…
10-27 15:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xd78a22…
10-27 12:56:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0xdbdf53…
10-27 10:45:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0x3f018c…
10-27 07:01:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	265	45¢	$119	0x7ed122…
10-27 07:01:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x9a305e…
10-27 07:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x8b7dd9…
10-27 07:00:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xa3c9f4…
10-27 06:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x5d324d…
10-27 06:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x361c59…
10-27 06:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x772262…
10-27 06:53:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0xb0d665…
10-27 06:52:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x422c58…
10-27 06:45:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	253	45¢	$114	0x5e850e…
10-26 23:15:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x1b0f61…
10-26 17:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	197	55¢	$108	0x1d306b…
10-26 17:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x79a115…
10-26 17:55:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	304	55¢	$167	0xa48da5…
10-26 16:11:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	991	79¢	$783	0x07625e…
10-26 16:02:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc5edfe…
10-26 15:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	919	58¢	$533	0xb808a1…
10-26 13:16:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	81	58¢	$47	0x471c66…
10-26 07:48:23	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	SELL	655	23¢	$151	0x03ad98…
10-26 07:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	SELL	287	18¢	$52	0x38e2ce…
10-26 06:49:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	SELL	103	18¢	$19	0x09efdb…
10-26 06:47:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	SELL	93	18¢	$17	0x026c32…
10-26 06:44:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	SELL	387	18¢	$70	0x396c08…
10-26 06:44:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	SELL	130	18¢	$23	0x5ee529…
10-26 06:03:08	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0xe7ee10…
10-26 06:03:02	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2cb905…
10-26 06:01:44	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0xd84601…
10-26 06:01:44	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x705fac…
10-26 06:01:42	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	42	18¢	$7	0x822bdd…
10-26 06:01:42	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x52a60b…
10-26 06:01:42	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x36f464…
10-26 06:01:42	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x1f1897…
10-26 05:59:21	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	SELL	240	23¢	$55	0xc9888f…
10-26 05:50:57	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x055846…
10-26 05:13:36	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x25e729…
10-26 04:42:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	947	91¢	$862	0x80a6a1…
10-26 04:42:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x133c20…