Watery-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.68K

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,049

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$337

Open exposure

$14.9K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 50% +$15,364

Other

44% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+13,769	$12,291	99¢	$13.6K	+$1,278	07-19 00:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+1,500	$1,195	80¢	$1.2K	+$13	07-09 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-8,540	$4,845	1¢	$-124	$-4,968	07-07 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	114	$111.0K	87,572	51,297	+36,276	open	—	06-20 10:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	105	$109.1K	72,519	57,519	+15,000	open	—	02-27 07:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	355	$102.3K	49,263	67,843	-18,580	open	—	02-19 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	300	$85.5K	120,877	104,877	+16,000	open	—	07-19 00:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	178	$84.7K	43,775	43,770	+5	open	—	02-16 08:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	146	$80.1K	61,892	53,100	+8,792	open	—	03-01 05:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	263	$72.1K	63,310	25,510	+37,801	open	—	01-31 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	464	$64.6K	40,560	68,398	-27,838	Yes	+$16,344	05-08 08:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	90	$54.9K	30,596	40,565	-9,969	open	—	06-16 10:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	77	$46.7K	43,343	23,133	+20,210	open	—	06-26 20:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	82	$45.7K	32,939	24,939	+8,000	open	—	06-16 00:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$44.7K	24,000	27,114	-3,114	open	—	02-03 23:08
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	50	$37.0K	31,150	9,401	+21,749	open	—	03-08 14:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$35.9K	23,920	22,000	+1,920	Yes	$-980	03-04 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	132	$34.5K	193,275	211,486	-18,212	open	—	03-01 05:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	28	$29.8K	27,562	4,000	+23,562	open	—	02-27 21:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	93	$28.2K	28,015	4,000	+24,015	open	—	04-30 21:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	131	$28.0K	23,526	12,856	+10,669	open	—	03-31 17:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	57	$24.1K	17,596	12,400	+5,196	open	—	01-31 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	69	$23.4K	15,558	12,259	+3,299	open	—	04-29 14:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	99	$23.2K	20,300	21,300	-1,000	open	—	06-12 18:49
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	124	$20.7K	19,459	17,147	+2,312	open	—	03-17 05:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	70	$20.2K	20,249	8,003	+12,245	open	—	03-30 23:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	44	$19.8K	10,195	11,477	-1,282	open	—	03-30 18:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	34	$18.5K	4,000	15,029	-11,029	open	—	06-17 04:34
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	54	$17.7K	21,044	0	+21,044	open	—	07-20 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	41	$15.4K	8,346	8,922	-576	open	—	04-20 11:45
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	50	$13.2K	8,620	5,500	+3,120	open	—	07-19 17:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	72	$13.2K	9,000	6,761	+2,239	open	—	04-26 01:27
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	2	$11.0K	11,128	0	+11,128	open	—	01-03 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:44:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x40b926…
07-20 12:03:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	171	84¢	$144	0x521ff8…
07-20 12:03:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	206	84¢	$173	0x562abb…
07-20 12:03:00	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	123	84¢	$103	0x39e2c9…
07-20 07:21:06	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x31e098…
07-20 05:54:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6162a6…
07-20 05:47:27	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,633	85¢	$2,238	0x1e7e70…
07-19 20:20:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$706	0x23ca61…
07-19 20:20:19	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$723	0x23ddde…
07-19 19:41:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	727	40¢	$292	0x747eae…
07-19 19:41:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	91	40¢	$37	0x1cdc8c…
07-19 19:40:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	61	40¢	$25	0xcf8820…
07-19 19:40:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0xa886fe…
07-19 19:40:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6744ea…
07-19 17:00:49	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	343	99¢	$340	0xb5752a…
07-19 15:58:40	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x503789…
07-19 15:52:45	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9e79ad…
07-19 08:45:49	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x892e48…
07-19 06:48:54	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	2,086	99¢	$2,071	0x7135eb…
07-19 02:05:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	373	73¢	$271	0x9d064c…
07-19 02:03:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xfbb034…
07-19 02:01:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x3b4a54…
07-19 02:00:13	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x5eae86…
07-19 01:59:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0xba21ab…
07-19 01:55:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0x0e3b23…
07-19 01:51:18	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	68	73¢	$49	0xf85630…
07-19 01:43:09	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	SELL	1,000	44¢	$440	0xa978c1…
07-19 00:09:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,856	99¢	$2,825	0xf4e36b…
07-18 23:10:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa385d6…
07-18 22:41:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9b3273…
07-18 22:25:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	295	73¢	$214	0xe5c3b9…
07-18 22:10:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf553ce…
07-18 21:58:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x895f01…
07-18 20:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	930	99¢	$920	0x9f80bf…
07-18 19:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x87c385…
07-18 19:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x72ef18…
07-18 19:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0x72b0c0…
07-18 19:00:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x28dc43…
07-18 18:52:06	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	235	75¢	$176	0x454461…
07-18 18:47:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdc7703…
07-18 18:46:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	199	75¢	$149	0xb6b800…
07-18 18:46:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	199	75¢	$149	0x950a64…
07-18 18:46:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	199	75¢	$149	0x47d714…
07-18 18:46:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	149	75¢	$112	0x055711…
07-18 15:04:58	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	212	67¢	$142	0x5a69b1…
07-18 14:33:39	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x9116cf…
07-18 13:58:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x921e61…
07-18 13:56:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	252	77¢	$193	0xa15157…
07-18 13:25:15	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x717fbc…
07-18 02:46:25	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	44	67¢	$29	0x0cbdde…
07-18 02:46:07	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	680	67¢	$456	0x0752ff…
07-18 00:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,435	99¢	$1,418	0xfaa781…
07-17 23:43:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0x5c487d…
07-17 22:43:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	417	99¢	$412	0xe31472…
07-17 22:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb0532b…
07-17 22:19:46	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	208	88¢	$183	0x53b212…
07-17 21:57:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xbd9c06…
07-17 21:55:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x725315…
07-17 21:28:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	144	88¢	$127	0x7807b4…
07-17 16:58:42	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$905	0xbef80c…
07-17 16:21:16	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$832	0x898e5a…
07-17 16:12:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x5d00e7…
07-17 14:35:37	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	806	58¢	$467	0x2de62c…
07-17 14:33:43	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	845	58¢	$490	0x88b6f4…
07-17 14:32:31	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xa9bf7c…
07-17 14:22:34	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x6d7899…
07-17 13:55:03	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	324	58¢	$188	0x22c0e8…
07-17 13:54:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	918	86¢	$786	0x5c3973…
07-17 13:08:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	86¢	$70	0x6a6b60…
07-17 13:04:37	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	628	53¢	$333	0x3c3a72…
07-17 12:57:39	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	1,019	53¢	$540	0xd79fb1…
07-17 12:42:09	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	353	53¢	$187	0x6b1abf…
07-17 09:02:00	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$878	0xc34c5c…
07-16 08:19:07	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3fb01a…
07-16 07:04:46	ukraine election called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xde8aaa…
07-16 06:58:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xa42566…
07-15 21:11:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$864	0x4b1803…
07-14 23:09:13	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$832	0x691b31…
07-14 21:14:43	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,931	0x896a3c…
07-14 20:05:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,441	98¢	$1,415	0xc1882b…
07-14 20:03:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	539	98¢	$529	0xd09371…
07-14 20:03:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x40875b…
07-14 18:50:02	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	165	84¢	$139	0x27c117…
07-14 18:41:26	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	164	84¢	$138	0x5d8495…
07-14 18:40:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xa01762…
07-14 18:28:31	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc98458…
07-14 18:28:16	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x48ee0d…
07-14 18:26:23	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x4d1d68…
07-14 17:33:52	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	497	46¢	$229	0xe067fd…
07-14 17:03:23	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe270ac…
07-14 17:03:20	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x19f8ab…
07-14 16:51:07	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xd648a6…
07-14 16:34:37	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	207	20¢	$41	0xd1035e…
07-14 16:19:41	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x2cdb9d…
07-14 14:59:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	148	87¢	$129	0xe3b21b…
07-14 10:27:38	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x32d291…
07-14 10:27:22	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	36	88¢	$31	0xf973c3…
07-14 09:56:17	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x48d828…
07-14 09:49:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x740757…
07-14 09:17:59	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x4212e6…