Watery-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$11.7K

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,532

lifetime

Volume

$1.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$346

Open exposure

$87.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 50% +$15,364

Other

40% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+27,306	$23,277	100¢	$27.2K	+$3,893	06-20 10:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+22,210	$12,786	100¢	$22.2K	+$9,369	06-26 20:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	-11,029	$-11,129	100¢	$-11018	+$111	06-17 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	-10,454	$-10,191	100¢	$-10444	$-253	06-19 01:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	-9,947	$-9,780	100¢	$-9937	$-158	06-15 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+15,562	$6,994	38¢	$5.8K	$-1,158	06-30 04:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	-1,038	$-924	100¢	$-1037	$-113	06-08 12:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	114	$111.0K	87,572	51,297	+36,276	open	—	06-20 10:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	105	$109.1K	72,519	57,519	+15,000	open	—	02-27 07:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	355	$102.3K	49,263	67,843	-18,580	open	—	02-19 21:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	178	$84.7K	43,775	43,770	+5	open	—	02-16 08:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	146	$80.1K	61,892	53,100	+8,792	open	—	03-01 05:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	263	$72.1K	63,310	25,510	+37,801	open	—	01-31 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	464	$64.6K	40,560	68,398	-27,838	Yes	+$16,344	05-08 08:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	90	$54.9K	30,596	40,565	-9,969	open	—	06-16 10:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	77	$46.7K	43,343	23,133	+20,210	open	—	06-26 20:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	82	$45.7K	32,939	24,939	+8,000	open	—	06-16 00:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$44.7K	24,000	27,114	-3,114	open	—	02-03 23:08
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	50	$37.0K	31,150	9,401	+21,749	open	—	03-08 14:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$35.9K	23,920	22,000	+1,920	Yes	$-980	03-04 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	132	$34.5K	193,275	211,486	-18,212	open	—	03-01 05:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	28	$29.8K	27,562	4,000	+23,562	open	—	02-27 21:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	93	$28.2K	28,015	4,000	+24,015	open	—	04-30 21:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	131	$28.0K	23,526	12,856	+10,669	open	—	03-31 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	93	$24.2K	40,000	15,438	+24,562	open	—	06-30 04:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	57	$24.1K	17,596	12,400	+5,196	open	—	01-31 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	69	$23.4K	15,558	12,259	+3,299	open	—	04-29 14:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	99	$23.2K	20,300	21,300	-1,000	open	—	06-12 18:49
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	124	$20.7K	19,459	17,147	+2,312	open	—	03-17 05:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	70	$20.2K	20,249	8,003	+12,245	open	—	03-30 23:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	44	$19.8K	10,195	11,477	-1,282	open	—	03-30 18:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	34	$18.5K	4,000	15,029	-11,029	open	—	06-17 04:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	41	$15.4K	8,346	8,922	-576	open	—	04-20 11:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	72	$13.2K	9,000	6,761	+2,239	open	—	04-26 01:27
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	2	$11.0K	11,128	0	+11,128	open	—	01-03 07:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	16	$10.8K	0	11,085	-11,085	open	—	06-19 01:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	21	$10.7K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	05-25 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	749	37¢	$277	0xbfbf76…
06-30 04:12:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x035d30…
06-30 03:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x27157b…
06-30 03:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1b3968…
06-30 03:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xa38f6b…
06-30 03:48:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,225	37¢	$453	0xc5e5b2…
06-29 16:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	39¢	$780	0xded1ca…
06-29 08:18:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0xa3db64…
06-29 04:32:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	955	37¢	$353	0xac76e9…
06-29 04:32:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	190	37¢	$70	0x7d2cf5…
06-29 04:24:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x31c5a1…
06-29 04:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x346ed0…
06-29 04:16:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x19b3e5…
06-29 04:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf8b351…
06-29 04:13:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3eb938…
06-29 04:11:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x617f09…
06-29 04:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xf243d3…
06-29 04:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x084ef1…
06-29 04:05:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	159	37¢	$59	0xdb3751…
06-29 04:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x669ae1…
06-29 04:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x14bf03…
06-29 04:00:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe3761c…
06-29 03:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4df3eb…
06-29 03:44:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x11e631…
06-29 03:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe88810…
06-29 03:39:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xe2b7e0…
06-29 03:39:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xc623b2…
06-29 03:39:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xdfc637…
06-29 03:39:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x545405…
06-29 03:39:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	210	37¢	$78	0x5031c6…
06-29 02:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb8535c…
06-29 02:08:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xa0005e…
06-29 02:05:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x9f56c6…
06-29 02:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd7c5b9…
06-29 02:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x49553c…
06-29 02:03:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5afcf2…
06-29 01:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xc9024d…
06-29 01:46:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcd67cc…
06-29 01:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x33d99b…
06-29 01:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x15c459…
06-29 01:43:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0xaf0822…
06-28 23:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	155	42¢	$65	0x1ddb5b…
06-28 23:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x08252d…
06-28 23:15:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x719c74…
06-28 23:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7874ab…
06-28 23:11:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c20c2…
06-28 23:02:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x2b2305…
06-28 22:58:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x534c51…
06-28 22:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x71b938…
06-28 22:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,785	42¢	$750	0x2a13c8…
06-28 20:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0x40d62b…
06-28 14:47:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	35¢	$1,050	0xc64521…
06-28 12:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0xac92a1…
06-28 11:36:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	35¢	$700	0x089f12…
06-28 08:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	36¢	$720	0x08b378…
06-28 04:22:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x5987a1…
06-27 16:34:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,149	46¢	$1,909	0x5d2427…
06-27 16:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xe5e15f…
06-27 16:20:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x2bddad…
06-27 16:10:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xab5c20…
06-27 16:07:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	443	46¢	$204	0xd5f807…
06-27 15:59:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	119	46¢	$55	0xc9a9b6…
06-27 15:56:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xbf6563…
06-27 15:53:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	97	46¢	$45	0x792d38…
06-27 15:48:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xffc168…
06-27 15:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xcfd30c…
06-27 15:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x8722f7…
06-27 15:36:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	47¢	$705	0xae8ecc…
06-27 15:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x611b95…
06-27 15:25:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x7df805…
06-27 15:24:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	177	47¢	$83	0x163f68…
06-27 15:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xe69b50…
06-27 15:21:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8d2431…
06-27 15:17:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0xe8ae6c…
06-27 15:17:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	49	46¢	$22	0x3dd694…
06-27 15:13:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0x24ea2a…
06-27 15:11:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	609	47¢	$286	0x7173e0…
06-27 09:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,000	48¢	$1,920	0xfde7f6…
06-27 08:44:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,731	50¢	$1,366	0x90d86b…
06-27 08:41:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x95b104…
06-27 08:07:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0x5888dd…
06-27 08:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4ac972…
06-27 07:45:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa27f2f…
06-27 07:39:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,208	50¢	$604	0x9d975d…
06-26 20:35:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x92bfe2…
06-26 18:25:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe5ffe9…
06-26 17:44:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x68a12a…
06-26 17:16:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	246	99¢	$242	0x15ad02…
06-26 16:04:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x9cc5ac…
06-26 15:54:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	420	78¢	$328	0xb710ae…
06-26 15:53:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	280	78¢	$218	0xb9282f…
06-26 13:19:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,320	55¢	$726	0x68ea44…
06-26 13:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	680	55¢	$374	0x137a80…
06-26 13:04:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xb52d0d…
06-26 12:56:05	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xe6f913…
06-26 12:33:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xf6d6af…
06-26 11:45:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x1e8961…
06-26 11:44:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x87a41a…
06-26 11:14:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$773	0x2064b8…
06-26 10:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x81c7be…