Watery-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,898

lifetime

Volume

$2.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

47% 50% +$15,364

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	114	$111.0K	87,572	51,297	+36,276	open	—	06-20 10:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	164	$109.1K	70,452	53,661	+16,791	open	—	08-09 21:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	105	$109.1K	72,519	57,519	+15,000	open	—	02-27 07:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	355	$102.3K	49,263	67,843	-18,580	open	—	02-19 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	323	$96.9K	120,877	116,377	+4,500	open	—	07-24 02:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	178	$84.7K	43,775	43,770	+5	open	—	02-16 08:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	146	$80.1K	61,892	53,100	+8,792	open	—	03-01 05:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	263	$72.1K	63,310	25,510	+37,801	open	—	01-31 21:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	131	$66.8K	47,213	40,363	+6,849	open	—	08-10 09:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	464	$64.6K	40,560	68,398	-27,838	Yes	+$16,344	05-08 08:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	90	$54.9K	30,596	40,565	-9,969	open	—	06-16 10:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	77	$46.7K	43,343	23,133	+20,210	open	—	06-26 20:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	82	$45.7K	32,939	24,939	+8,000	open	—	06-16 00:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	40	$44.7K	24,000	27,114	-3,114	open	—	02-03 23:08
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	112	$37.1K	36,006	9,682	+26,324	open	—	07-29 21:37
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	50	$37.0K	31,150	9,401	+21,749	open	—	03-08 14:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	30	$35.9K	23,920	22,000	+1,920	Yes	$-980	03-04 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	132	$34.5K	193,275	211,486	-18,212	open	—	03-01 05:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	28	$29.8K	27,562	4,000	+23,562	open	—	02-27 21:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	93	$28.2K	28,015	4,000	+24,015	open	—	04-30 21:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	131	$28.0K	23,526	12,856	+10,669	open	—	03-31 17:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	57	$24.1K	17,596	12,400	+5,196	open	—	01-31 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	69	$23.4K	15,558	12,259	+3,299	open	—	04-29 14:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	99	$23.2K	20,300	21,300	-1,000	open	—	06-12 18:49
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	124	$20.7K	19,459	17,147	+2,312	open	—	03-17 05:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	70	$20.2K	20,249	8,003	+12,245	open	—	03-30 23:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	44	$19.8K	10,195	11,477	-1,282	open	—	03-30 18:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	34	$18.5K	4,000	15,029	-11,029	open	—	06-17 04:34
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	54	$16.3K	8,620	8,620	+0	open	—	07-31 01:54
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	63	$16.3K	15,532	5,618	+9,914	open	—	08-08 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:07:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	873	83¢	$725	0x78e417…
08-10 09:05:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1,127	83¢	$935	0x90b335…
08-10 08:52:22	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x916f0b…
08-10 08:28:24	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	1,000	81¢	$810	0x32c852…
08-10 06:50:52	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x617da0…
08-10 05:51:46	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x3b01d0…
08-10 05:10:37	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	250	23¢	$58	0x7d8b89…
08-10 04:56:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7d3a6d…
08-10 04:45:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	244	23¢	$56	0xb07bc2…
08-10 03:57:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x0b942c…
08-10 02:56:01	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x6aeae9…
08-10 01:00:28	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	155	83¢	$129	0x782797…
08-10 01:00:27	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xd59bc8…
08-10 01:00:25	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	270	83¢	$224	0xa27e36…
08-10 01:00:24	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	527	83¢	$438	0xfd30ed…
08-10 00:50:52	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x85308b…
08-09 23:34:22	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0xba27c9…
08-09 22:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0xaff452…
08-09 22:29:45	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	999	86¢	$859	0xbd2793…
08-09 22:29:37	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x514a1a…
08-09 22:27:25	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	985	87¢	$857	0x93e42f…
08-09 21:12:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,883	96¢	$1,808	0x654465…
08-09 21:09:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x27b210…
08-09 19:57:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0xc70da9…
08-09 17:41:12	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0x034055…
08-09 15:44:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x87c4fb…
08-09 15:16:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x077a64…
08-09 13:15:43	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	730	81¢	$591	0xb6a4d2…
08-09 13:10:52	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x21733d…
08-09 12:30:04	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	238	81¢	$193	0xf5090b…
08-09 12:09:51	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe7db7f…
08-09 12:09:39	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xed7149…
08-09 12:09:22	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x955b96…
08-09 12:09:07	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xeb80fc…
08-09 11:44:18	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x5575b8…
08-09 11:16:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0xe8f10f…
08-09 09:36:34	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x71ddb4…
08-09 09:36:00	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x43fae2…
08-09 09:35:34	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xb3cd8e…
08-09 08:35:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x4d0f4c…
08-09 08:19:46	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb7c959…
08-09 08:13:36	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	123	23¢	$28	0xd32468…
08-09 08:12:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	600	78¢	$468	0x58bba3…
08-09 08:11:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x024261…
08-09 05:58:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2cf146…
08-09 05:53:03	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	886	78¢	$691	0xcb9fc3…
08-09 05:18:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xa9e9ad…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xa3e8e8…
08-09 03:14:33	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0xb66772…
08-09 00:45:25	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x7529df…
08-09 00:03:31	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	1,000	70¢	$700	0x03a13a…
08-08 19:51:54	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	714	70¢	$500	0x56a279…
08-08 19:43:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,172	77¢	$902	0xbf9836…
08-08 19:29:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	649	77¢	$500	0xb7ecd3…
08-08 19:20:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	179	77¢	$138	0x5f9841…
08-08 19:06:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xb7d5e0…
08-08 18:20:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x533e27…
08-08 18:10:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	849	75¢	$637	0x58905b…
08-08 18:10:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	83	75¢	$62	0xe68049…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,068	75¢	$801	0xea8016…
08-08 17:59:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	143	80¢	$114	0x8c4236…
08-08 17:54:24	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x694849…
08-08 17:54:06	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x9eb89e…
08-08 17:53:45	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	485	76¢	$368	0x26a092…
08-08 17:25:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x869dc8…
08-08 17:09:52	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0xb958f7…
08-08 17:04:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	181	76¢	$138	0xc20c2d…
08-08 16:52:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0xc2b9b6…
08-08 16:28:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x045127…
08-08 16:02:21	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	91	76¢	$69	0x835199…
08-08 15:15:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x61d709…
08-08 14:51:40	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa7f62f…
08-08 14:19:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x70845c…
08-08 14:13:18	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	238	76¢	$181	0xeac83b…
08-08 13:56:15	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xd15c11…
08-08 12:57:19	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0x58d45b…
08-08 12:05:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,194	90¢	$1,074	0xb7db71…
08-08 12:05:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	125	90¢	$112	0xd2f690…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0x9d6da6…
08-08 10:26:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x9935d9…
08-08 10:24:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xca5d3f…
08-08 07:33:18	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x3138ce…
08-08 07:11:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x888944…
08-08 06:39:39	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x954a04…
08-08 01:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x95db63…
08-07 23:00:49	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	922	76¢	$701	0x63d08e…
08-07 22:22:07	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	71	76¢	$54	0x756df7…
08-07 21:28:25	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x5037c9…
08-07 20:00:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x3f4ebb…
08-07 19:59:46	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xd407dc…
08-07 19:50:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	333	72¢	$240	0x9e3029…
08-07 19:22:25	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0xf401de…
08-07 19:21:57	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xbb46a9…
08-07 19:21:37	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x2cbde4…
08-07 19:21:34	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xd1a044…
08-07 19:18:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	375	86¢	$323	0x1be6c0…
08-07 19:13:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,625	86¢	$1,397	0x61ccdb…
08-07 19:06:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x4fab3f…
08-07 19:05:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x62bce8…
08-07 19:05:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xbc726d…