Imperturbable-Rage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-02 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% $-3

Other

45% 0% $-10

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$170	169	169	+0	open	—	04-21 14:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$135	1,343	93	+1,250	open	—	06-02 12:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$110	185	185	+0	open	—	05-06 11:23
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	7	$92	61	61	+0	open	—	05-20 12:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$92	396	396	+0	open	—	07-18 13:23
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$81	114	9	+105	open	—	07-30 09:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$67	51	51	+0	open	—	05-02 03:12
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	5	$62	1,622	279	+1,343	open	—	04-11 12:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$61	67	58	+9	open	—	06-10 00:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 05:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	04-05 18:18
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	2	$53	31	31	+0	open	—	04-07 03:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$49	127	77	+50	open	—	04-09 10:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	04-06 10:59
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	4	$40	291	291	+0	open	—	04-09 09:40
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$40	128	128	+0	open	—	05-06 15:40
Major US official out by May 31?	2	$39	55	55	+0	open	—	05-10 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$37	35	19	+15	open	—	06-12 09:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$37	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	07-13 19:49
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$37	111	111	+0	No	$-3	05-06 15:40
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$36	169	169	+0	open	—	04-16 12:05
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	166	166	+0	open	—	04-16 12:05
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	3	$32	223	37	+185	open	—	04-10 15:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$30	65	65	+0	open	—	04-16 12:04
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	3	$27	27	27	+0	open	—	08-02 12:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	6	$25	34	34	+0	open	—	08-01 17:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$22	104	0	+104	open	—	04-09 18:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$22	94	94	+0	open	—	06-10 00:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$22	76	76	+0	open	—	06-28 13:15
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$21	28	28	+0	open	—	05-17 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 15:38:36	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$3	0x487437…
08-02 12:42:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0x9c14d3…
08-01 17:07:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x7e51bd…
08-01 08:45:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x3dba74…
07-31 22:47:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	17	27¢	$4	0x712a48…
07-31 22:40:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xe87e1b…
07-31 22:34:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x823d76…
07-31 22:32:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x4c695d…
07-31 22:07:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd31fd2…
07-30 22:40:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x475eff…
07-30 13:10:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xa6ac99…
07-30 12:52:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x776b86…
07-30 09:10:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	68¢	$72	0xc9a6c5…
07-29 14:19:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x33faf9…
07-25 14:18:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x5eebd4…
07-25 14:16:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x987966…
07-25 14:16:09	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0xb6032c…
07-18 13:23:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	330	1¢	$4	0xc83088…
07-17 14:43:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x340c8b…
07-17 14:38:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xa0c042…
07-16 22:13:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe95ac9…
07-16 13:10:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x808c3d…
07-13 20:50:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x9af0e0…
07-13 20:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc549d7…
07-13 19:49:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,378	0¢	$4	0xe6c9d7…
07-12 19:06:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x54e95a…
07-12 13:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$6	0x4e0c6a…
07-12 09:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4bc17b…
07-11 22:18:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6731c6…
07-11 01:06:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x8f576c…
07-10 21:34:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x8fbe74…
07-10 20:16:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	93	6¢	$6	0xdfc185…
07-06 14:37:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x8c7d31…
07-01 20:54:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xdf47ab…
07-01 13:00:59	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x9de467…
06-30 02:00:35	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x778e2e…
06-29 16:58:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x178338…
06-29 16:54:38	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xdd1387…
06-29 16:34:26	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xa3ec67…
06-28 13:15:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xd201a7…
06-27 17:51:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x2dfe00…
06-27 14:44:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe908e3…
06-26 15:49:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x438c6d…
06-25 16:37:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xac75e2…
06-25 15:38:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x360942…
06-25 15:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x8c6cac…
06-25 00:55:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd81ca1…
06-25 00:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf04e68…
06-24 22:43:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0x64872f…
06-24 22:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x449b1d…
06-24 22:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x5436f5…
06-24 16:52:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xc3341d…
06-24 16:35:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc9c002…
06-24 16:01:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x727356…
06-23 15:56:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x4ea1a2…
06-22 17:31:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x24dcbf…
06-22 16:06:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x415cbc…
06-22 15:17:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xf4655a…
06-22 15:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	13¢	$6	0x56e8a1…
06-22 00:20:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xab3ef4…
06-21 03:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x063abe…
06-21 00:53:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x91859a…
06-21 00:37:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0x53ade7…
06-19 17:18:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$6	0xf5f628…
06-16 01:20:43	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x33cc13…
06-12 09:55:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3ba2fb…
06-12 03:06:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0daae3…
06-12 03:00:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x910965…
06-10 00:19:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	94	8¢	$8	0x593baa…
06-10 00:19:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x4c6f14…
06-09 09:23:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa1bb7a…
06-06 11:18:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x615d4c…
06-06 11:06:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x531164…
06-05 19:06:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x6222a9…
06-05 13:33:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x1d0e99…
06-05 08:52:55	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x928d6b…
06-04 13:36:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x4a11c7…
06-03 18:32:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x318a2a…
06-03 16:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x68f018…
06-02 14:42:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa741b1…
06-02 12:51:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xa0deea…
06-01 21:56:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xe0a9d3…
06-01 13:15:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0x0d8e2c…
06-01 13:14:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x514fec…
06-01 13:11:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x16b972…
06-01 13:04:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x019254…
05-31 18:13:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0xd3abca…
05-31 13:56:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7c8ed3…
05-30 03:45:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0eac8e…
05-29 22:59:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xafbd7f…
05-29 16:06:20	Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	NIP	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x563a73…
05-29 16:04:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x98f3f8…
05-29 13:43:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xf78bb7…
05-28 18:41:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xda6438…
05-20 12:43:04	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3ed8d2…
05-19 05:04:54	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x4289a9…
05-18 20:46:42	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	17	75¢	$12	0x8b5fe6…
05-18 02:22:27	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0xb99d61…
05-17 23:36:38	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x7ad026…
05-17 12:05:44	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa1ee3b…