Wise-Shaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$616

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-01 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 50% $-6

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

10% 0% $-1

Sports

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get 55 million or more views on day 1 684	2	$58	910	0	+910	open	—	01-07 21:54
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-25 09:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1 348	2	$31	674	674	+0	open	—	01-07 21:43
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	3	$28	26	10	+16	open	—	05-27 22:52
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 16:35
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-12 11:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 12:17
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 09:51
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$20	646	0	+646	open	—	01-06 00:35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	05-28 13:57
will ethereum dip to 1750 on june 16	2	$17	45	45	+0	open	—	06-16 12:17
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 00:19
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-28 21:01
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	2	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	06-17 17:06
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 8pt5	1	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	06-16 10:41
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	5	$13	10	6	+4	open	—	06-29 09:39
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	06-27 13:50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 10:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 13:04
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-05 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 08:56
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-30 16:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 23:25
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	06-19 14:12
btc updown 15m 1781697600	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	06-17 12:12
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 11:13
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$7	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 14:55
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	1	$6	17	0	+17	paiN	$-6	05-11 09:16
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$6	56	56	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:25:52	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfcc498…
07-01 11:22:19	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x954b86…
07-01 11:21:35	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4628ef…
06-30 16:10:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xb82a98…
06-30 11:27:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x56c930…
06-29 09:39:11	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xd2fed2…
06-28 23:10:01	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x792a72…
06-28 05:52:14	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x301cb4…
06-27 21:27:47	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbfd5bc…
06-27 13:57:25	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4a1b19…
06-27 13:57:07	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x525993…
06-27 13:56:52	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x909048…
06-27 13:50:35	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd4c167…
06-27 13:50:25	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x69df57…
06-26 11:58:13	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x973631…
06-26 11:51:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xbc6a53…
06-25 08:12:50	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe079d2…
06-25 08:05:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xef2a18…
06-25 07:49:34	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc9381e…
06-24 09:46:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x867183…
06-22 10:02:43	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9e4b40…
06-21 12:13:28	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00b70d…
06-19 15:28:25	wta sabalen bartunk 2026 06 19	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa75a16…
06-19 14:38:17	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xe4cc9b…
06-19 14:38:01	wta sabalen bartunk 2026 06 19	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x64c2fa…
06-19 14:12:20	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x15e1af…
06-19 09:36:04	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa6fb23…
06-18 13:04:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x587fce…
06-18 08:31:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa4a2ab…
06-17 17:06:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x46a37e…
06-17 12:12:47	btc updown 15m 1781697600	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x7d396e…
06-17 12:09:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x3a95ca…
06-16 12:17:54	will ethereum dip to 1750 on june 16	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x56b511…
06-16 10:41:00	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x122a18…
06-16 10:40:40	will ethereum dip to 1750 on june 16	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x531d01…
06-15 16:43:03	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa2bfef…
06-12 09:21:54	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x4c2070…
06-12 02:23:24	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x5788eb…
06-12 02:23:01	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xd6c59a…
06-12 02:22:43	cs2 furia mouz 2026 06 12	MOUZ	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9d7c39…
06-12 01:48:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x05a576…
05-28 21:01:10	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd5af2b…
05-28 13:57:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x1609b4…
05-28 09:32:29	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x22157c…
05-28 09:32:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x037bba…
05-27 22:52:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xe6f7ad…
05-26 13:52:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xa69c80…
05-25 09:57:36	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x5f0cff…
05-25 09:52:12	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x77232f…
05-25 09:18:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd0c048…
05-18 12:17:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xcd7aba…
05-16 09:51:44	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x7fb629…
05-13 00:44:57	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xac3853…
05-12 11:03:05	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xff284c…
05-11 09:16:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xeca6e9…
05-11 09:16:28	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)	FaZe	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x334faa…
05-10 21:36:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xa10f59…
05-08 09:17:41	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x8fc668…
05-07 20:35:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xcbd3ba…
05-07 10:03:52	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x298390…
05-06 10:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x96981f…
05-06 10:13:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x55b875…
05-06 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0x2fde92…
05-04 16:35:42	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	T1	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x61dc80…
05-04 09:52:24	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	T1	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x187d01…
05-01 00:19:50	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x88ac49…
05-01 00:17:30	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x994edd…
04-30 08:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x1b848b…
04-29 16:41:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc90710…
04-29 11:13:24	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xfe65c0…
04-29 10:55:54	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x591016…
04-29 10:37:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf9b873…
04-29 10:35:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb5f8b6…
04-27 12:58:34	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x16185b…
04-27 12:05:10	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x966dce…
04-27 09:11:52	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x568f88…
04-24 19:05:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfb90e3…
04-23 11:05:04	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xf0b156…
04-22 22:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x09491c…
04-19 18:59:42	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x925479…
04-19 18:59:28	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x80df43…
04-19 18:42:00	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x2f5abc…
04-18 14:31:10	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd3d2fd…
04-17 12:20:36	highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc98164…
04-17 12:18:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac9792…
04-16 23:11:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0b1624…
04-16 23:11:24	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb2e739…
04-16 15:09:26	ethereum above 2300 on april 16	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x049444…
04-14 18:57:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x5380ab…
04-14 10:29:47	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb2b6d2…
04-12 14:16:03	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x3a1ce2…
04-12 13:41:53	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x9754bf…
04-12 10:32:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa8b97f…
04-12 10:26:07	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd070ac…
04-11 23:49:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb5199a…
04-11 23:33:19	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb98f1f…
04-08 00:34:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x871e68…
04-07 23:52:11	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9ab9df…
04-07 23:47:01	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xf8e27e…
04-07 23:46:47	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa58c6c…