Sour-Conspiracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,199

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 86% +$9

Other

38% 20% $-26

Sports

6% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	198	$4.6K	7,174	7,574	-400	open	—	03-27 13:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	95	$2.0K	4,835	4,615	+220	open	—	04-16 08:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	60	$1.7K	4,417	4,417	+0	open	—	05-10 18:32
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	26	$612	725	625	+100	open	—	03-24 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$550	853	853	+0	open	—	04-18 08:13
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	24	$498	701	801	-100	open	—	02-17 13:34
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	8	$411	666	666	+0	open	—	06-17 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	12	$362	829	829	+0	open	—	06-30 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$307	422	422	+0	open	—	08-11 02:55
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	20	$304	401	351	+50	open	—	04-06 07:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	18	$302	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	03-26 14:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$259	202	202	+0	open	—	04-28 12:44
btc updown 15m 1786301100	51	$256	350	150	+200	open	—	08-09 18:55
btc updown 15m 1786302000	33	$251	371	168	+203	open	—	08-09 19:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	4	$248	201	198	+3	open	—	04-28 10:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	4	$233	201	201	+0	open	—	05-29 07:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$224	199	199	+0	open	—	07-23 18:21
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	22	$218	429	429	+0	open	—	04-07 13:30
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	6	$217	979	250	+729	open	—	06-19 07:19
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	16	$201	400	400	+0	open	—	02-19 11:21
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	10	$191	261	261	+0	open	—	02-13 12:33
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$186	312	312	+0	open	—	06-13 11:59
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$174	260	260	+0	open	—	06-17 07:34
btc updown 5m 1786376700	9	$170	250	50	+200	open	—	08-10 15:48
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	13	$152	350	50	+300	open	—	04-17 08:51
btc updown 15m 1786384800	11	$134	138	121	+16	open	—	08-10 18:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$132	400	400	+0	open	—	03-25 20:01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 08:12
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	14	$117	133	93	+40	open	—	07-09 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 17:32:28	btc updown 15m 1786469400	Up	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xbe5ede…
08-11 17:31:40	btc updown 15m 1786469400	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xeededd…
08-11 17:26:07	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xcea433…
08-11 17:23:52	btc updown 4h 1786464000	Down	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x3c3b28…
08-11 17:20:01	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x4b65a2…
08-11 17:20:01	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x052580…
08-11 17:19:15	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x619030…
08-11 17:19:15	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x3d4a32…
08-11 17:19:13	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2528e2…
08-11 17:19:10	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xccbd0c…
08-11 17:19:10	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xb4fc62…
08-11 17:19:10	btc updown 15m 1786468500	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xb01f6c…
08-11 11:40:27	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2b9c84…
08-11 11:40:03	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xdda69f…
08-11 11:39:06	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x145ad6…
08-11 11:35:09	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc21a3b…
08-11 11:34:19	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xd7686d…
08-11 11:34:00	btc updown 15m 1786447800	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x94cc47…
08-11 11:34:00	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x01162f…
08-11 11:33:54	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x4bc92e…
08-11 11:33:51	btc updown 15m 1786447800	Down	SELL	49	53¢	$26	0x15977c…
08-11 11:33:42	btc updown 15m 1786447800	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9bf764…
08-11 11:30:28	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x162aa4…
08-11 06:36:24	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xb028ba…
08-11 06:36:07	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xdc48d8…
08-11 06:35:37	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x96d902…
08-11 06:34:58	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xde0cf4…
08-11 06:34:06	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x6b9fd3…
08-11 06:34:06	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x4383fb…
08-11 06:34:06	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1eb28b…
08-11 06:33:39	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xcd1a33…
08-11 06:33:36	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8dbd50…
08-11 06:33:18	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc89304…
08-11 06:33:16	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x538cee…
08-11 06:33:12	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Down	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x81f26e…
08-11 06:33:10	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf04ca0…
08-11 06:33:07	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x34ee7b…
08-11 06:32:06	btc updown 4h 1786420800	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xbb6f37…
08-11 06:29:01	btc updown 5m 1786429500	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x45edd7…
08-11 06:28:10	btc updown 5m 1786429500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x58cff1…
08-11 06:27:04	btc updown 15m 1786428900	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x71fd22…
08-11 06:25:48	btc updown 4h 1786420800	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x62f1cc…
08-11 06:25:25	btc updown 15m 1786428900	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2a7d52…
08-11 06:24:34	btc updown 15m 1786428900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe2cd1e…
08-11 02:55:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	40¢	$53	0x674b07…
08-10 18:08:43	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0xc26ada…
08-10 18:07:34	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x4b7c65…
08-10 18:04:43	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xdf3ad4…
08-10 18:04:30	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	SELL	71	48¢	$34	0x1b8f69…
08-10 18:02:25	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x81b8e3…
08-10 18:02:19	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xadde29…
08-10 18:02:18	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb48ed0…
08-10 18:01:51	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe4e20c…
08-10 18:01:51	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcea4d7…
08-10 18:01:51	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7c3e9a…
08-10 18:01:49	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd625e4…
08-10 18:01:49	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x4eb6d2…
08-10 16:13:57	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5126d…
08-10 16:13:43	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xcdaa27…
08-10 16:11:24	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xb96d65…
08-10 16:10:31	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x5a2eab…
08-10 16:09:16	btc updown 5m 1786377900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x92fb39…
08-10 16:08:55	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Down	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x36f891…
08-10 16:07:00	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0x4e7df9…
08-10 16:06:57	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x155c1f…
08-10 16:06:55	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x08688f…
08-10 16:06:40	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xe09149…
08-10 16:06:39	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x0df0d3…
08-10 16:06:03	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xa838d3…
08-10 16:06:01	btc updown 15m 1786377600	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd72e30…
08-10 16:03:54	btc updown 4h 1786377600	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x92c843…
08-10 15:54:43	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7beb1d…
08-10 15:54:30	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe342d7…
08-10 15:53:51	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x35dd88…
08-10 15:53:28	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f27d0…
08-10 15:53:18	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf14948…
08-10 15:52:34	btc updown 15m 1786376700	Down	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xe4ebc5…
08-10 15:51:09	btc updown 15m 1786376700	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x16c9b7…
08-10 15:48:57	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xaebb3e…
08-10 15:48:46	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe0d07c…
08-10 15:48:25	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa8da56…
08-10 15:48:25	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x46112a…
08-10 15:48:25	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3c1fd1…
08-10 15:48:25	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x33cd20…
08-10 15:48:25	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x280f9c…
08-10 15:47:48	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Down	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x47f926…
08-10 15:46:51	btc updown 5m 1786376700	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x4af20d…
08-10 15:25:06	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x19ca19…
08-10 15:24:16	btc updown 5m 1786375200	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0b0902…
08-10 15:23:52	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0598f6…
08-10 15:23:09	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa6e57c…
08-10 15:19:40	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9f5c97…
08-10 15:19:15	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5ddfd0…
08-10 15:16:33	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x29654d…
08-10 15:15:46	btc updown 4h 1786363200	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6b1cb7…
08-10 15:12:04	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xb9e8ca…
08-10 15:12:04	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6b50a1…
08-10 15:12:04	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x498ac4…
08-10 15:12:04	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x34d390…
08-10 15:12:04	btc updown 5m 1786374600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0ed846…