Wooden-Popularity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$260

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-07 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

62% 27% -$1,758

Politics

24% 11% -$436

Crypto

14% 50% +$358

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-179	-$154	96¢	$-171	-$18	05-01 22:58
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No		-94	-$64	95¢	$-89	-$25	06-07 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	3	$1.4K	805	805	+0	No	+$179	04-27 19:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	3	$622	844	444	+400	No	-$178	05-13 19:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$528	339	339	+0	No	+$128	05-26 15:44
Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$518	0	1,849	-1,849	Yes	-$1,331	05-13 12:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$400	323	323	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 14:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$319	169	169	+0	No	+$16	04-01 14:22
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$257	256	239	+17	No	+$234	05-03 14:07
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$230	130	130	+0	Yes	+$30	03-18 20:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$200	426	0	+426	Yes	-$200	04-01 23:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$154	0	179	-179	open	—	05-01 22:58
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	1	$117	180	0	+180	No	-$117	05-02 02:44
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$100	156	0	+156	No	+$56	03-16 19:23
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	1	$100	263	0	+263	No	-$100	04-07 17:47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$100	138	0	+138	No	-$100	03-29 20:34
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$100	133	0	+133	Yes	-$100	03-28 23:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$100	526	0	+526	No	-$100	04-28 21:24
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$64	0	94	-94	open	—	06-07 19:26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	1	$50	333	0	+333	No	-$50	05-10 19:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$40	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$40	05-14 22:32
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	11	$40	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$40	05-05 11:28
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$30	152	0	+152	No	-$30	05-03 17:48
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	4	$25	250	0	+250	No	-$25	05-04 08:16
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$20	909	0	+909	No	-$20	04-09 20:37
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$20	222	0	+222	Yes	-$20	05-10 08:25
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	1	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	03-18 17:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	03-16 18:48
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 draw	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	03-22 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:30 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	03-18 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:35 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	03-18 16:40
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-22 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:26:27	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	68¢	$64	0xdf47c9…
05-26 15:44:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	339	97¢	$328	0x45d41a…
05-18 17:32:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xcbe020…
05-14 22:32:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x3bf10e…
05-13 19:54:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe828bd…
05-13 19:53:02	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	444	50¢	$222	0x802d2e…
05-13 19:19:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0xa853bf…
05-13 12:33:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	713	28¢	$200	0x72d881…
05-13 08:39:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x623e12…
05-13 07:17:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xa06182…
05-13 06:36:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x6c3944…
05-13 04:54:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x286c25…
05-13 04:53:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x115caf…
05-13 04:47:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x522ec1…
05-13 00:56:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x0ffb2a…
05-13 00:02:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x26db76…
05-13 00:02:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0xbc77b2…
05-13 00:02:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x95298c…
05-12 19:28:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	577	28¢	$161	0x7cc170…
05-10 19:15:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x3f5770…
05-10 08:25:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x18a3ce…
05-05 11:28:58	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,018	2¢	$20	0x632bb0…
05-04 08:16:40	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x2739dd…
05-04 06:36:24	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc63c72…
05-04 03:16:24	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x220194…
05-04 02:20:22	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x12b4af…
05-04 02:20:20	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x776633…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0xeb6a06…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x66df92…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$4	0x4f009f…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x47ac45…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x4111aa…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x28ab7c…
05-04 02:20:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x011c93…
05-03 17:48:18	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	20¢	$30	0xe68d96…
05-03 14:07:44	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	239	99¢	$237	0x7b29c7…
05-02 02:44:24	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	BUY	180	65¢	$117	0x7634e9…
05-02 00:41:38	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3bc0fd…
05-01 22:58:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	179	86¢	$154	0x9beb4b…
05-01 22:56:54	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	134	10¢	$13	0x4c9593…
04-28 21:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xb8b36b…
04-27 21:11:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	256	8¢	$20	0xf791a9…
04-27 19:34:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	805	98¢	$789	0x7f9871…
04-09 20:37:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0xd63eae…
04-07 17:47:59	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xcfddb5…
04-01 23:03:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xd9e8a0…
04-01 19:17:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	622	80¢	$500	0x94d6ee…
04-01 14:22:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0xb62644…
04-01 14:05:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	323	62¢	$200	0x802842…
03-29 20:34:58	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x8c1c55…
03-29 00:08:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	169	90¢	$152	0x243f05…
03-28 23:43:54	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x36ad1a…
03-28 22:04:16	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x4b3a80…
03-26 22:59:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	183	60¢	$110	0xa94d2a…
03-22 21:35:31	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 draw	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc66453…
03-22 21:34:29	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfb261a…
03-18 20:01:17	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x755250…
03-18 17:57:43	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6a9d21…
03-18 17:51:37	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xafe2f0…
03-18 16:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b2450…
03-18 16:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa3d038…
03-16 19:23:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x741dbd…
03-16 18:48:07	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb71185…