Simplistic-Wafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-27 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$0

Other

29% 100% +$0

Politics

23% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$140	140	+140	Yes	+$0	05-05 16:09
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$114	114	+114	Yes	+$0	05-09 08:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$113	115	+115	open	—	05-19 22:21
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$112	123	+123	open	—	05-26 01:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$110	113	+113	open	—	05-15 06:18
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$61	63	+63	open	—	04-29 17:37
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$42	42	+42	open	—	04-14 01:58
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$26	28	+28	open	—	04-26 09:01
will xrp reach 3pt2 in january 2026	2	$25	25	+25	open	—	01-17 18:08
msft above 570 on january 30 2026	2	$24	24	+24	open	—	01-23 08:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$22	24	+24	open	—	04-21 15:49
googl above 370 on january 30 2026	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-24 03:01
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-06 22:11
nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	01-09 02:00
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-19 02:10
will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-11 06:17
amzn above 180 on february 27 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	02-25 00:40
will xrp dip to 1 in january 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-12 01:48
tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	2	$9	9	+9	open	—	02-23 10:41
will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-14 17:51
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	3	$8	8	+8	open	—	04-18 04:30
will solana dip to 70 in january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-15 15:09
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-20 03:20
will bnb reach 700 in march	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-31 00:37
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-20 04:10
will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-20 22:28
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-23 13:13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-18 15:52
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-06 12:45
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-22 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 13:16:35	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafed1a…
06-26 04:46:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd90441…
05-26 01:13:43	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0x53ccbc…
05-20 04:10:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9718a4…
05-19 22:21:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x8f09de…
05-15 06:18:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$110	0xceb2f0…
05-15 00:50:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf8cb7c…
05-09 09:07:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c3498…
05-09 08:00:55	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x5fe619…
05-07 07:12:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1e51f…
05-06 12:45:52	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x274579…
05-06 10:44:12	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7bea1…
05-05 16:09:14	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x39a560…
04-29 17:37:20	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0xa7f80e…
04-26 09:01:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x60aa74…
04-23 13:13:38	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d7cbc…
04-21 15:49:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0xd9470c…
04-20 12:58:26	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x68d678…
04-18 19:15:26	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0df51b…
04-18 15:52:58	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0ef606…
04-18 05:19:50	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd5553d…
04-18 04:30:10	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb8465b…
04-17 19:24:38	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb745ec…
04-17 00:22:50	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ae53d…
04-16 18:30:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xef9661…
04-16 03:15:54	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa61d74…
04-14 01:58:23	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb930e7…
04-14 00:58:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8918a1…
04-13 12:08:41	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5475b5…
04-12 21:50:45	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x918b90…
04-12 21:18:11	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a7b28…
04-08 14:45:19	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8ffab4…
04-07 02:52:39	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb09cf6…
04-06 15:36:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b41ad…
03-31 00:37:11	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x69b21f…
03-30 01:02:18	will bnb dip to 500 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc60bd8…
03-29 07:23:18	will chainlink reach 12 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7285e…
03-28 20:52:52	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb80e4…
03-26 23:48:55	tsla above 460 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb25c5b…
03-25 13:20:39	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x924eff…
03-25 12:42:25	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae1bb7…
03-24 18:58:47	will solana reach 130 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf61827…
03-24 16:29:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd749b9…
03-23 22:06:45	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49dbee…
03-23 14:19:13	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdb2c6c…
03-23 06:09:21	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6fb8a5…
03-21 20:01:43	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf2e3ff…
03-21 00:28:33	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x969462…
03-12 09:59:39	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ae00f…
03-12 02:40:45	nvda above 140 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x026352…
03-12 02:07:45	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4f5f5d…
03-10 10:22:45	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce451a…
03-09 23:20:43	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x959ddb…
03-09 09:20:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa89128…
03-09 04:13:35	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe55419…
03-09 02:30:13	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5632ee…
03-08 14:10:13	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xed5138…
03-08 03:15:11	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x481061…
03-07 14:42:33	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8b4b38…
03-07 06:51:13	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x234dff…
03-06 09:09:27	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x733d48…
03-05 18:22:07	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e1129…
03-05 04:31:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7d56b…
03-05 01:43:55	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeeb18e…
02-25 15:59:26	will solana reach 160 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6db1e0…
02-25 15:39:58	will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x002aa0…
02-25 00:40:42	amzn above 180 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x001a0c…
02-23 10:41:20	tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf24fbe…
02-23 09:01:30	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcd8312…
02-23 05:58:40	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfde968…
02-22 00:36:40	amzn above 270 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf21c5…
02-22 00:22:42	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb00f56…
02-20 14:15:22	tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc82ac9…
02-12 11:33:37	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74bb2e…
02-08 01:07:49	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc0a74a…
02-03 17:51:56	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x7e39a4…
01-24 03:01:54	googl above 370 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xadfe68…
01-23 08:59:00	msft above 570 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xde9848…
01-20 22:28:42	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x072f37…
01-20 03:20:56	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x772d04…
01-19 02:10:10	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81b309…
01-17 18:08:12	will xrp reach 3pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe9f130…
01-16 21:51:08	googl above 370 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1e7f79…
01-15 15:09:40	will solana dip to 70 in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe96273…
01-14 17:51:30	will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x60c07c…
01-12 01:48:10	will xrp dip to 1 in january 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b4dd4…
01-11 06:17:52	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69130e…
01-10 12:20:00	will xrp reach 3pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x370d35…
01-09 02:00:04	nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1982f8…
01-07 19:00:17	msft above 570 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x469bb1…
01-06 22:11:49	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x05d645…