(anonymous) 0x08ef9b…2ae466
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$59
Unrealized P&L
-$125
Hit rate
98.2%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
27
2,861 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$386
$33.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-28 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
63% 42% -$84
Politics
31% 52% -$166
Tech
2% 33% -$55
Pop-Culture
2% 67% +$12
Sports
1% 26% -$95
Crypto
1% 100% +$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +250 $135 82¢ $206 +$71 09-15 22:50
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +225 $128 85¢ $190 +$63 10-20 05:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $160 86¢ $173 +$13 09-15 21:53
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +168 $76 98¢ $165 +$89 08-28 11:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +167 $130 79¢ $132 +$2 09-12 19:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $72 96¢ $96 +$24 09-07 09:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +131 $54 56¢ $73 +$19 09-22 18:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +342 $95 21¢ $72 -$23 09-13 11:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $78 72¢ $72 -$6 09-08 14:47
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +377 $166 18¢ $66 -$100 09-16 16:19
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +302 $163 15¢ $46 -$117 10-20 10:43
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 09-18 20:36
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 09-18 21:39
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +60 $52 72¢ $44 -$9 10-13 08:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +71 $32 56¢ $39 +$7 09-21 22:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +36 $70 96¢ $35 -$35 09-18 17:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +106 $49 24¢ $25 -$24 09-16 13:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +29 $16 78¢ $23 +$7 09-19 06:57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $21 42¢ $23 +$2 09-19 15:19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +22 $21 93¢ $21 $0 09-06 10:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $44 20¢ $20 -$24 09-10 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:39
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:45
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 No +50 $34 36¢ $18 -$15 08-21 05:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $22 44¢ $18 -$4 09-21 15:13
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +50 $18 34¢ $17 -$2 08-23 06:53
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +20 $15 66¢ $13 -$2 08-23 09:02
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +59 $13 20¢ $12 -$1 10-27 04:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +20 $11 44¢ $9 -$2 09-21 15:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $9 4¢ $8 -$1 09-16 21:18