(anonymous) 0x08ef9b…2ae466
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$604
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved (90d)
967
Trades (90d)
2,836
2,895 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$33.2K
$34.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-30 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
62% 42% -$129
Politics
32% 51% -$238
Tech
2% 33% -$55
Pop-Culture
2% 67% +$12
Sports
1% 26% -$95
Crypto
1% 100% +$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +250 $135 69¢ $172 +$38 09-15 22:50
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +168 $76 98¢ $165 +$89 08-28 11:37
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $160 80¢ $161 +$1 09-15 21:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +167 $130 78¢ $130 $0 09-12 19:34
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +175 $128 74¢ $129 +$1 10-28 16:20
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +377 $166 31¢ $117 -$49 09-16 16:19
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +342 $95 22¢ $75 -$20 09-13 11:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $78 72¢ $72 -$6 09-08 14:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +131 $54 40¢ $52 -$2 09-22 18:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +60 $52 82¢ $50 -$3 10-13 08:06
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 09-18 20:36
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 09-18 21:39
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +159 $39 26¢ $42 +$3 10-28 21:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +106 $49 28¢ $29 -$20 09-16 13:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +71 $32 40¢ $28 -$4 09-21 22:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $44 26¢ $26 -$18 09-10 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $21 46¢ $24 +$3 09-19 15:19
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $22 60¢ $24 +$2 09-21 15:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +29 $16 82¢ $24 +$8 09-19 06:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +22 $21 92¢ $20 $0 09-06 10:17
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:39
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 No +50 $34 34¢ $17 -$17 08-21 05:33
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 +$0 08-23 09:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +20 $11 60¢ $12 +$1 09-21 15:54
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +50 $18 24¢ $12 -$6 08-23 06:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $8 20¢ $10 +$1 09-15 15:18
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +67 $8 11¢ $8 +$0 10-28 23:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $9 4¢ $8 -$1 09-16 21:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $8 6¢ $6 -$1 10-28 19:27