(anonymous) 0x08ef9b…2ae466
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$258
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved (30d)
80
Trades (30d)
136
2,880 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.78K
$34.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-28 13:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
62% 42% -$84
Politics
32% 52% -$179
Tech
2% 33% -$55
Pop-Culture
2% 67% +$12
Sports
1% 26% -$95
Crypto
1% 100% +$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +225 $128 100¢ $224 +$96 10-20 05:45
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +250 $135 84¢ $209 +$74 09-15 22:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $160 87¢ $174 +$14 09-15 21:53
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +168 $76 98¢ $165 +$89 08-28 11:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +167 $130 77¢ $128 -$2 09-12 19:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $72 95¢ $95 +$23 09-07 09:12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +125 $92 72¢ $91 -$1 10-28 14:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +342 $95 23¢ $79 -$16 09-13 11:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $78 72¢ $72 -$6 09-08 14:47
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +377 $166 16¢ $62 -$104 09-16 16:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +131 $54 46¢ $60 +$6 09-22 18:50
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $41 90¢ $45 +$4 09-18 21:39
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $41 90¢ $45 +$4 09-18 20:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +60 $52 74¢ $44 -$8 10-13 08:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +36 $70 95¢ $35 -$35 09-18 17:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +71 $32 46¢ $33 +$1 09-21 22:34
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +109 $26 28¢ $30 +$3 10-28 12:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +106 $49 22¢ $24 -$25 09-16 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $21 44¢ $23 +$2 09-19 15:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +29 $16 80¢ $23 +$7 09-19 06:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +40 $22 54¢ $22 +$0 09-21 15:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +22 $21 94¢ $21 +$0 09-06 10:17
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:39
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $54 20¢ $20 -$34 09-18 17:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $44 20¢ $20 -$24 09-10 17:03
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 No +50 $34 36¢ $18 -$16 08-21 05:33
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +50 $18 34¢ $17 -$2 08-23 06:53
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +20 $15 66¢ $13 -$2 08-23 09:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +20 $11 54¢ $11 +$0 09-21 15:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $9 4¢ $8 -$1 09-16 21:18