Magnificent-Experience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$288

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$32.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-28 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 89% -$74

Politics

33% 33% -$20

Other

14% 71% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Sports

1% 40% -$206

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+12	$12	99¢	$12	$0	10-28 03:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$5.5K	3,174	2,322	+852	No	+$5	04-29 06:33
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$4.4K	2,223	2,214	+9	No	+$2	02-10 00:53
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$3.5K	1,787	1,787	+0	open	—	07-14 15:02
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-22 23:43
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	05-09 03:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	07-14 18:13
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$1.5K	1,456	0	+1,456	No	+$1	04-29 06:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$1.3K	1,255	0	+1,255	No	+$1	05-29 03:36
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	1	$1.2K	1,209	0	+1,209	No	+$7	06-07 05:27
will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	2	$1.2K	840	344	+496	No	+$2	07-20 00:40
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$1.2K	1,155	0	+1,155	No	+$1	03-28 02:37
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	No	+$8	06-07 13:12
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$1	03-28 02:36
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$422	0	842	-842	No	+$1	02-12 11:27
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	02-26 11:24
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$403	202	202	+0	No	+$0	03-16 14:26
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$240	121	121	+0	No	+$0	03-14 14:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$203	106	106	+0	No	$0	02-12 08:27
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	02-12 08:27
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	1	$199	512	0	+512	Raptors	-$199	03-13 07:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$123	0	125	-125	No	-$2	02-22 14:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$111	112	0	+112	Yes	+$1	03-22 08:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	04-29 06:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$102	109	0	+109	Yes	-$102	02-12 08:29
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	09-07 09:03
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	$0	02-12 08:27
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	3	$95	51	50	+1	No	+$0	02-15 18:46
will claude 5 be released on february 13 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	02-12 12:41
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$1	03-22 08:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$52	57	0	+57	Yes	+$5	06-07 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:39:01	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfecbc1…
09-30 02:17:36	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa985d7…
09-14 04:33:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x164736…
09-07 09:03:37	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb9c716…
08-21 02:32:36	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x130b1c…
08-21 02:31:28	Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3a5a3b…
07-20 00:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd63de0…
07-20 00:42:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a6771…
07-20 00:40:28	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0xa0ea7e…
07-14 19:11:32	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	840	100¢	$837	0xbdbce8…
07-14 18:13:25	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,033	98¢	$1,013	0x3588a9…
07-14 15:02:04	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	654	100¢	$651	0x6e5253…
07-13 05:11:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3bc843…
07-13 05:10:22	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,033	98¢	$1,012	0x4b1012…
07-13 05:09:46	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	654	99¢	$650	0xddff72…
07-12 02:41:04	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xda95c2…
06-17 04:06:43	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc2dba6…
06-17 02:59:57	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3b832c…
06-17 01:03:47	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe3ac75…
06-16 02:53:33	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa13611…
06-16 02:26:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfdf694…
06-16 01:05:34	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd6f259…
06-16 01:05:25	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x0d994e…
06-16 01:01:40	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb388d6…
06-15 16:11:51	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6097b7…
06-15 16:10:55	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x8ba357…
06-15 16:06:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x631e69…
06-15 16:06:36	Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8ce0b1…
06-15 15:58:39	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2de47d…
06-15 01:53:16	Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8fda16…
06-14 04:31:57	Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x91e921…
06-14 04:29:55	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	56	40¢	$22	0xd98f25…
06-14 04:03:06	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x12d6a9…
06-14 03:48:46	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa6c01a…
06-14 03:32:46	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4eedb0…
06-14 02:55:48	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa5cc34…
06-07 13:12:28	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,107	99¢	$1,099	0xbb2ae0…
06-07 05:27:48	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,209	99¢	$1,202	0xb8afe0…
06-07 03:47:40	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d2d94…
06-07 03:43:48	Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x78fee8…
06-07 03:42:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xa11654…
06-07 03:42:15	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11,232	0¢	$11	0x38acc5…
05-29 09:41:33	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x71de62…
05-29 09:34:59	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfe7072…
05-29 08:17:24	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	755	99¢	$748	0x8e730e…
05-29 08:11:06	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xd66cf4…
05-29 08:06:50	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	266	99¢	$264	0x24ba52…
05-29 03:36:51	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xcc0739…
05-29 03:36:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,255	100¢	$1,254	0x769e4d…
05-22 23:43:48	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$161	0x519b69…
05-22 23:37:51	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,137	99¢	$1,122	0x2cddd0…
05-20 03:01:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8485ee…
05-20 03:01:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xffe080…
05-20 02:59:42	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,133	99¢	$1,123	0xc8cdeb…
05-09 03:22:49	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,222	98¢	$1,199	0x0e7687…
05-09 03:22:42	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,222	98¢	$1,200	0x6e9d4b…
05-09 03:22:05	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,300	99¢	$1,282	0x1b2273…
05-09 03:21:27	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xe1e111…
04-29 06:36:26	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x44593d…
04-29 06:36:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x212ad9…
04-29 06:35:46	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,456	100¢	$1,455	0x198ffa…
04-29 06:33:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	852	99¢	$847	0xc25bd1…
04-28 15:49:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	2,322	99¢	$2,308	0x5a03d0…
04-28 13:58:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	2,322	99¢	$2,308	0xfeca14…
04-19 03:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd9d482…
04-19 03:47:16	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe40fde…
03-28 02:37:31	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x918c4f…
03-28 02:37:09	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0xfc70ce…
03-28 02:36:51	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0x0dd1e6…
03-22 08:25:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x426259…
03-22 08:25:39	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 190 214	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xfcdb82…
03-22 08:25:19	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xaafc6d…
03-22 08:23:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x76d8d6…
03-22 08:22:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x4af657…
03-16 14:26:31	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xe1f1fd…
03-16 13:20:49	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xd78ad4…
03-16 13:19:07	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xa780d7…
03-14 14:12:59	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0x6b89b9…
03-13 07:09:01	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x3cc04c…
03-13 07:06:43	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xc58e71…
03-13 07:05:19	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x46ae18…
03-13 07:04:43	nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	Knicks	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xf05449…
03-13 07:04:33	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Suns	BUY	512	39¢	$199	0x1c494c…
03-13 07:04:13	will silver si hit high 150 by end of march	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6e26b4…
02-26 16:49:34	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x9a7188…
02-26 11:24:58	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x85be0f…
02-26 11:24:08	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xb3d193…
02-26 11:22:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10,003	0¢	$20	0xc512d6…
02-26 10:50:52	will nvda reach 272 in february	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x275808…
02-26 10:18:54	will nvda reach 272 in february	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe40a3f…
02-26 10:10:52	will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6eb01…
02-26 10:09:00	nba min lac 2026 02 26	Clippers	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xaa1e86…
02-22 14:24:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x1132d5…
02-22 14:12:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xb60530…
02-15 18:46:55	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xdf3b20…
02-15 18:46:33	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xea0c23…
02-12 12:41:49	will claude 5 be released on february 13 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x2bec33…
02-12 11:27:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	4¢	$19	0x5495e0…
02-12 09:08:01	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb00842…
02-12 09:07:25	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	421	96¢	$404	0x7045ad…