Unfit-Formal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

+$136

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

1,107

Trades

5,788

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-26 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 40% $-194

Other

12% 40% $-59

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 490 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-250	$-147	4¢	$-11	+$136	06-26 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on june 26 2026	17	$576	650	650	+0	open	—	06-26 12:40
pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	12	$379	351	351	+0	open	—	06-20 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$291	270	270	+0	open	—	06-26 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	11	$81	58	68	-10	Up	+$15	05-09 18:26
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$63	150	150	+0	open	—	06-22 09:42
wta stefani valdman 2026 06 09	6	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	06-09 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	7	$49	46	46	+0	Up	+$18	05-10 18:16
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$38	43	32	+11	open	—	06-09 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$38	60	0	+60	open	—	05-31 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	8	$37	38	28	+10	Up	$-0	05-09 13:27
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	9	$34	39	40	-1	Up	$-2	05-11 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	7	$32	32	24	+8	Down	+$2	05-11 11:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	7	$30	22	20	+2	Down	$-4	05-11 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	6	$28	40	16	+24	Up	$-2	05-11 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET	6	$27	30	20	+10	Down	$-3	05-10 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	5	$25	40	10	+30	Up	$-5	05-10 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	5	$25	21	16	+5	Down	+$7	05-11 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	6	$24	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	5	$23	21	24	-3	Down	+$1	05-10 22:25
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	6	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	8	$22	24	21	+3	Down	+$5	05-11 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	4	$22	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 17:44
wta bartunk vandewi 2026 06 09	7	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	06-10 10:15
wta volynet sonmez 2026 06 09	3	$21	30	20	+10	open	—	06-09 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	7	$20	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 21:28
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	5	$20	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET	6	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 22:06
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	3	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	06-15 05:12
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	4	$19	19	10	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 14:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	4	$19	20	10	+10	Down	+$1	05-10 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 12:40:13	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	350	7¢	$24	0xc4c851…
06-26 12:13:01	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xc31a65…
06-26 12:13:01	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x0b7d1c…
06-26 12:09:14	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x0570c3…
06-26 12:09:14	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	206	83¢	$171	0x0570c3…
06-26 12:08:53	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x6c15ea…
06-26 12:07:28	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xa28dc1…
06-26 12:02:17	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe86a2e…
06-26 12:00:17	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xc6c6bc…
06-26 11:59:25	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xf36e12…
06-26 11:54:04	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb3e5d0…
06-26 11:54:04	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x03bc6d…
06-26 11:54:02	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xddd565…
06-26 11:54:02	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x4ee548…
06-26 11:54:01	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x2ef178…
06-26 11:54:01	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x036552…
06-26 11:53:59	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0xe8aa6e…
06-26 07:39:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	270	58¢	$157	0xc0a696…
06-25 22:01:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfdfc84…
06-25 15:54:56	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc3d66d…
06-22 09:42:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0xcb539b…
06-21 23:25:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0xa8d2a7…
06-20 15:22:34	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	156	14¢	$22	0xc84a57…
06-20 15:22:26	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	SELL	145	85¢	$123	0xf715c3…
06-18 16:52:40	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x471ab2…
06-18 16:51:29	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xe5b7a9…
06-17 13:17:01	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	78	16¢	$12	0x5c6662…
06-17 10:41:19	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xbc9746…
06-17 10:41:19	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xbc9746…
06-17 09:48:04	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8eb99d…
06-17 09:21:58	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xde4922…
06-17 06:31:14	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa33c83…
06-16 23:21:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x7286fb…
06-16 23:12:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd64c9e…
06-16 23:12:35	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0xbb4627…
06-16 22:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x713c11…
06-16 04:10:45	sol updown 15m 1781582400	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa5509f…
06-16 04:10:27	xrp updown 15m 1781582400	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd85b1a…
06-16 04:08:33	btc updown 15m 1781582400	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf79354…
06-16 03:25:18	eth updown 15m 1781579700	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe5fd26…
06-16 03:08:25	btc updown 15m 1781578800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31ff89…
06-16 02:40:51	eth updown 15m 1781577000	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd9d73b…
06-16 01:26:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd85f5f…
06-16 00:08:54	eth updown 15m 1781568000	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1e71bb…
06-15 23:46:55	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x100b60…
06-15 23:08:04	btc updown 15m 1781564400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a7ad8…
06-15 22:09:15	eth updown 15m 1781560800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa5339f…
06-15 21:23:04	btc updown 15m 1781558100	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6868c3…
06-15 20:40:04	sol updown 15m 1781555400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x15d1f7…
06-15 18:38:57	btc updown 15m 1781548200	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x40b8cf…
06-15 18:08:09	eth updown 15m 1781546400	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xefdd20…
06-15 17:53:57	btc updown 15m 1781545500	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4f93bd…
06-15 17:38:04	btc updown 15m 1781544600	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbf2cf8…
06-15 16:38:07	btc updown 15m 1781541000	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x32dff9…
06-15 15:52:25	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x19c549…
06-15 15:23:07	btc updown 15m 1781536500	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf09463…
06-15 14:54:51	sol updown 15m 1781534700	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6c8e0a…
06-15 14:39:27	xrp updown 15m 1781533800	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe06db7…
06-15 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1781532900	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa7cbda…
06-15 13:53:12	btc updown 15m 1781531100	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd94bd7…
06-15 12:53:40	eth updown 15m 1781527500	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xedd101…
06-15 12:39:01	btc updown 15m 1781526600	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x41dae8…
06-15 11:55:39	eth updown 15m 1781523900	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x07a9f5…
06-15 11:08:10	btc updown 15m 1781521200	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x27a635…
06-15 10:39:34	sol updown 15m 1781519400	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xed252f…
06-15 10:38:39	btc updown 15m 1781519400	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x187ef6…
06-15 10:23:40	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2392d2…
06-15 08:08:27	btc updown 15m 1781510400	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfe249a…
06-15 07:23:52	xrp updown 15m 1781507700	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x22c776…
06-15 07:23:51	eth updown 15m 1781507700	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2bfcf1…
06-15 06:23:49	btc updown 15m 1781504100	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd40f01…
06-15 05:12:33	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x28d3d5…
06-15 05:08:51	btc updown 15m 1781499600	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x00f699…
06-15 04:23:37	eth updown 15m 1781496900	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1eb93a…
06-15 04:20:52	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb9c5a3…
06-15 04:08:45	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe2a3c3…
06-15 04:08:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x459070…
06-15 03:53:07	btc updown 15m 1781495100	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2b3fdf…
06-15 03:38:24	xrp updown 15m 1781494200	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb2447f…
06-15 03:38:04	btc updown 15m 1781494200	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x07c1f1…
06-15 03:35:51	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ae3f7…
06-15 03:35:28	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 omalley win by ko tko	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x924fd1…
06-15 03:31:54	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0f6c2a…
06-15 03:31:40	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 gane win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2a42a9…
06-15 03:31:24	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6c5922…
06-15 03:05:19	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfa3f8d…
06-15 02:56:42	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 omalley win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc4e59d…
06-15 02:56:36	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 zahabi win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x87c7a4…
06-15 02:54:40	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x928901…
06-15 02:38:07	btc updown 15m 1781490600	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8b0ebb…
06-15 02:24:19	btc updown 15m 1781489700	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0c814f…
06-15 01:54:03	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8078e2…
06-15 01:22:42	btc updown 15m 1781486100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x544d0f…
06-15 01:13:34	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xae90bd…
06-15 01:13:25	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xec0282…
06-15 01:12:48	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3bc747…
06-15 01:11:34	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21d58f…
06-15 01:07:15	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9265d5…
06-15 01:00:36	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xc1aab7…
06-14 23:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x995b99…