Spicy-Vista — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% -$101

Other

36% 54% +$56

Crypto

6% 25% -$13

Sports

4% 48% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-8,835	-$62	0¢	$-13	+$49	05-20 08:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$1	84¢	$0	-$1	10-23 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	53	$4.8K	2,769	2,769	+0	open	—	10-26 17:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	42	$2.8K	1,659	1,659	+0	open	—	10-26 21:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	16	$2.2K	1,166	1,166	+0	Yes	-$6	03-26 17:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	25	$2.1K	1,207	1,207	+0	open	—	10-26 16:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$1.6K	932	932	+0	open	—	10-26 10:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.5K	1,146	1,146	+0	open	—	10-25 01:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$1.4K	857	857	+0	open	—	10-23 19:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	22	$1.2K	827	827	+0	open	—	10-26 19:40
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	16	$1.2K	736	736	+0	open	—	10-24 14:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	15	$997	628	628	+0	open	—	10-26 07:54
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	6	$900	510	510	+0	No	+$0	04-05 04:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	13	$892	611	611	+0	open	—	10-24 07:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$722	421	421	+0	open	—	10-26 06:38
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	7	$648	378	378	+0	open	—	10-20 14:20
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	8	$646	364	364	+0	open	—	10-26 14:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$634	400	400	+0	open	—	10-18 02:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$600	303	303	+0	No	$0	03-25 03:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	10	$568	345	345	+0	open	—	10-03 10:17
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	4	$460	231	231	+0	No	$0	03-23 07:40
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	4	$429	280	280	+0	open	—	10-03 09:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	5	$415	254	254	+0	open	—	10-20 18:32
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	3	$401	203	203	+0	No	+$1	03-19 12:48
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$400	203	203	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 09:15
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$400	203	203	+0	No	$0	03-31 08:50
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	5	$399	202	202	+0	No	-$1	03-26 05:15
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$280	158	158	+0	No	+$0	04-04 07:58
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$240	126	126	+0	No	$0	03-31 08:48
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$219	155	155	+0	open	—	10-05 02:13
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$218	160	160	+0	open	—	10-03 04:55
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	2	$215	129	129	+0	open	—	10-05 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:15:05	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0x1556ac…
10-26 20:59:45	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0xb4cb88…
10-26 19:40:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	81¢	$88	0x10244f…
10-26 19:40:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8f93f9…
10-26 19:40:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x87feed…
10-26 19:40:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xbf5093…
10-26 19:40:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xe5bea6…
10-26 17:49:11	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xda3040…
10-26 17:33:59	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xf20e36…
10-26 16:55:03	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	124	85¢	$106	0x61f0a9…
10-26 16:54:41	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	124	86¢	$106	0x90163f…
10-26 16:31:53	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	121	85¢	$103	0x824bc8…
10-26 16:31:20	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	121	85¢	$103	0x453679…
10-26 14:11:23	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$109	0xd95cb9…
10-26 14:11:00	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x6c9ffa…
10-26 14:10:48	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	96	87¢	$84	0x04619f…
10-26 12:01:21	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	75¢	$110	0xdae52d…
10-26 12:01:03	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	76¢	$111	0x6f9570…
10-26 10:06:26	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	128	82¢	$105	0x84b38d…
10-26 10:06:00	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	128	82¢	$105	0xcc2066…
10-26 08:17:26	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	136	82¢	$112	0x7da7a1…
10-26 08:16:54	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	136	82¢	$112	0xf28dd3…
10-26 07:54:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x3bbd4c…
10-26 07:39:21	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x102e24…
10-26 06:38:48	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	117	87¢	$102	0x52a45e…
10-26 06:38:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	117	87¢	$102	0xbe9a7e…
10-25 02:59:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	128	84¢	$107	0x1421e1…
10-25 02:59:29	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	128	85¢	$108	0x71b208…
10-25 01:09:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	63¢	$104	0x728b7c…
10-25 01:08:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	65¢	$107	0x98e23a…
10-24 23:06:20	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0xc68167…
10-24 23:06:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0xb19d20…
10-24 22:48:39	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0x1a85bd…
10-24 22:33:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xf839fc…
10-24 21:40:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0x7ab3f7…
10-24 21:24:47	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xf515b5…
10-24 18:51:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	157	66¢	$104	0xd1a7ac…
10-24 18:50:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	66¢	$47	0x048c25…
10-24 18:50:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa5a2db…
10-24 18:50:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$51	0xc74c9e…
10-24 18:22:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xe29155…
10-24 18:06:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x811b1f…
10-24 17:50:08	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	121	88¢	$107	0x7635a6…
10-24 17:49:48	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	102	90¢	$92	0x674300…
10-24 17:39:54	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x1e89b4…
10-24 14:33:39	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	111	83¢	$92	0x761a9d…
10-24 14:32:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	111	83¢	$92	0x1560c5…
10-24 12:38:20	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	118	90¢	$106	0xe4ff0d…
10-24 12:38:05	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	118	90¢	$106	0x5676b5…
10-24 12:11:17	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	119	86¢	$103	0xda07fb…
10-24 12:11:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	119	86¢	$103	0xb0fd5b…
10-24 09:53:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0x3905d9…
10-24 09:37:56	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x71b647…
10-24 08:46:53	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	140	79¢	$111	0xa83299…
10-24 08:46:38	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	140	79¢	$111	0x3cba4a…
10-24 07:38:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	138	80¢	$111	0x59e3f8…
10-24 07:38:05	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	138	81¢	$111	0xa1ea4a…
10-24 07:26:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	166	66¢	$110	0x29453c…
10-24 07:26:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166	66¢	$110	0xed850e…
10-24 06:16:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	154	66¢	$102	0x15a12b…
10-24 06:16:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xdac1e2…
10-24 06:16:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	66¢	$90	0x8610a5…
10-24 00:13:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	140	79¢	$111	0x8347cd…
10-24 00:13:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	140	80¢	$112	0xa5bb62…
10-23 23:40:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	128	85¢	$109	0x547197…
10-23 23:40:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	128	85¢	$109	0xc6ab96…
10-23 20:29:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xd7845c…
10-23 20:29:23	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9aad6a…
10-23 19:36:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	129	82¢	$106	0x917b89…
10-23 19:36:39	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	129	82¢	$106	0xcad294…
10-23 16:47:06	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	128	87¢	$111	0x5db4e2…
10-23 16:46:53	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	128	87¢	$111	0x273b51…
10-23 06:00:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	132	84¢	$111	0x34e392…
10-23 05:58:48	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	132	84¢	$111	0xd704e4…
10-22 12:34:59	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	123	86¢	$106	0xbf0f03…
10-22 12:34:50	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	123	87¢	$107	0x45f2f3…
10-22 04:55:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	76¢	$107	0x99f62b…
10-22 04:54:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	76¢	$72	0xb486c9…
10-22 04:54:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x90d393…
10-22 04:15:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	159	66¢	$105	0x3b06a5…
10-22 04:15:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x52ac2d…
10-22 04:15:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	66¢	$82	0x8a67d3…
10-22 03:25:39	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x4cce0a…
10-22 03:10:08	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x664c72…
10-22 02:45:21	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	124	83¢	$103	0xab3bb4…
10-22 02:45:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	124	83¢	$103	0x606aab…
10-21 22:53:47	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	124	86¢	$107	0xa0edcf…
10-21 22:53:26	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	124	87¢	$108	0x51ad46…
10-21 22:14:15	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	119	86¢	$102	0xd7322c…
10-21 22:13:53	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	119	86¢	$102	0xa33125…
10-21 15:04:27	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0xcadfd7…
10-21 15:03:45	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x507c6d…
10-21 13:17:39	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x114ae0…
10-21 13:01:56	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1bdf9d…
10-21 04:49:32	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	123	84¢	$103	0x65a1c9…
10-21 04:49:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	111	84¢	$93	0x434767…
10-21 04:44:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xae5687…
10-21 03:12:54	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	44	88¢	$39	0xb84fe8…
10-21 03:11:36	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x4b5c77…
10-20 22:25:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	132	84¢	$111	0x03d0d0…