Realized P&L
-$101.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$894
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
604
Trades
14,282
lifetime
Volume
$1.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$340
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-29 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
97% 48% -$90,577
Sports
2% 14% -$10,981
Crypto
1% 44% -$43
Politics
0% 0% -$254
Tech
0% 100% +$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +214 $171 94¢ $201 +$30 10-21 12:20
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +525 -$449 26¢ $139 +$588 10-24 12:30
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 -$286 45¢ $0 +$286 10-27 12:27
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $11 23¢ $0 -$11 10-14 16:43