Ill-Informed-Theft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,412

Trades

2,493

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$11

Sports

15% 99% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$0	03-01 11:10
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-14 04:54
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	3	$20	10	10	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-07 21:56
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 10:41
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Masarova	+$0	03-13 15:17
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:41
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:26
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-13 00:57
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaae26…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff41f6…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96c4f4…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa838c0…
10-23 07:21:20	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x526c86…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa24959…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7e18e…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1b0d4…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x937742…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x64ae15…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd1dd9…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2806d…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5debd…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7652a3…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a9f0e…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x393a1c…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2075a0…
10-12 09:10:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82de4b…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef2cef…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf9a3…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4169a…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd87dbb…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbf66e…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e9826…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9405a…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe018cc…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9ec2f…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38e6f5…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9e9c1…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1fe05c…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42bcc7…
10-03 06:15:48	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa09ecb…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0d383…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfac300…
10-02 14:12:35	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478b69…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03c18a…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd70c6c…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4e304…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9366ff…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff9416…
10-01 11:33:09	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x283c6b…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e341…
09-30 23:54:42	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x695cf3…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fa7cd…
09-29 13:59:02	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa35b9…
09-29 13:21:15	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc097aa…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e24ff…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb04577…
09-28 16:53:20	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x627024…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eb984…
09-27 20:12:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55df8e…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dc3b9…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4b44f…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57adf2…
09-27 00:29:23	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e3e0a…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a0c3…
09-26 22:48:38	TCU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed29e2…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfd4a2…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1282c3…
09-25 23:23:14	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a9b5…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x69c6ba…
09-25 10:13:02	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x346c5d…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f16f…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c21da…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2245e4…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc405a4…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x677cbe…
09-21 16:18:42	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c5962…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b3423…
09-21 03:52:05	itf tsao1 tanaka2 2026 09 21	Chia Yi Tsao	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddc6f9…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ddebf…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x564dea…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb26a2…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa41bd0…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7a509…
09-20 02:40:51	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf01ba…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42bbfc…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x800a73…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426476…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa3881…
09-18 18:52:22	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc269f2…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a837c…
09-17 20:00:12	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6eeec…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27f3ba…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9ce81…
09-17 13:02:49	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x162c71…
09-17 04:43:57	itf ishii1 rajeck1 2026 09 17	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8003c5…
09-16 18:27:06	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86bf2d…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe926c3…
09-16 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41f617…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269771…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91a228…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeafdfe…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b8e78…
09-15 17:49:16	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c1be…
09-15 16:14:58	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6bb69…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec5190…
09-15 09:46:24	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65e034…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7df799…
09-14 19:16:45	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x219c44…