Realized P&L
+$7.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$183
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
211
Trades
1,664
lifetime
Volume
$154.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$11.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
63% 61% +$2,754
Other
35% 57% +$4,861
Tech
1% 50% +$120
Crypto
1% 100% +$210
Sports
0% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,700 $1,855 72¢ $1.9K +$76 10-05 01:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,336 -$2,021 81¢ $-1892 +$128 06-15 17:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,605 62¢ $1.6K -$42 10-14 15:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,500 $1,245 85¢ $1.3K +$30 10-05 00:56
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1,270 $1,028 90¢ $1.1K +$115 09-16 00:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $945 64¢ $952 +$7 10-26 02:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +566 $322 76¢ $433 +$110 10-05 18:58
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $400 76¢ $382 -$18 09-18 18:05
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +500 $345 70¢ $348 +$2 10-26 21:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $345 68¢ $342 -$2 10-26 21:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +374 $239 90¢ $335 +$95 07-27 12:55
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13,244 $300 2¢ $318 +$18 10-25 01:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +500 $409 36¢ $182 -$226 08-14 20:46
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15,099 $106 1¢ $128 +$23 10-24 07:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,133 $102 5¢ $108 +$5 10-19 22:59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,525 $102 3¢ $106 +$4 10-23 19:11
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,723 $22 2¢ $53 +$31 10-09 21:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +500 $110 6¢ $28 -$83 10-08 19:16
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,052 $14 1¢ $14 +$1 10-11 03:16
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +600 $102 2¢ $10 -$92 10-02 03:25
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 08-10 18:08