Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,113
lifetime
Volume
$3.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-08 19:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
14%
Crypto
10%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +13 $9 76¢ $10 +$1 06-08 05:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 13:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$1 06-08 00:41
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +7 $4 55¢ $4 $-1 06-07 22:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-04 10:28
Megaquake by June 30? No +4 $3 92¢ $4 +$0 06-08 03:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $-0 06-05 20:41
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-08 00:02
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-07 22:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $3 40¢ $3 $-0 06-07 22:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +8 $6 36¢ $3 $-3 06-05 13:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +4 $2 70¢ $3 +$0 06-07 12:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 06-08 03:51
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$0 06-06 04:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +4 $3 62¢ $2 $-0 06-06 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-07 21:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +3 $2 79¢ $2 $-0 06-07 20:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +10 $4 24¢ $2 $-1 06-08 05:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +7 $3 30¢ $2 $-1 06-06 04:52
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +2 $2 76¢ $2 $-0 06-07 12:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +4 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-05 13:10
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +3 $2 53¢ $2 $-0 06-08 01:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3 $2 52¢ $2 $-0 06-08 01:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 06-06 04:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 60¢ $1 $-0 06-06 04:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-05 13:12
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:16
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +4 $2 33¢ $1 $-1 06-04 10:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 06-08 00:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 06-07 11:45